NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	101		Excitement	9.8 [82]		MVP	Ray Allen (SEA): +71.9%
Seattle SuperSonics	109		Comeback	3.8 [688]		LVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): -29.7%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Sweetney	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.02	0.04	-0.03	7	67%	0.12	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Kurt Thomas	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.05	-0.03	7	43%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	2	83%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.03
Jamal Crawford	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	10	48%	0.02	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.05
Jermaine Jackson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07	-0.15	0.07	-0.02	19	40%	0.02	3	-0.09	10	80%	0.01
Maurice Taylor	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	4	30%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Malik Rose	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.00	-0.08	0.00	7	65%	-0.01	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.03
Stephon Marbury	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17	0.03	-0.16	0.04	27	51%	-0.17	0	0.00	7	100%	0.08

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.73,0.72,0.72	0.72	0.22	0.51	0.01	23	74%	0.77	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.11
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.09	-0.00	6	67%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	57%	-0.01	1	-0.04	3	0%	-0.05
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	3	75%	0.01	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.13	-0.04	-0.02	7	21%	-0.10	1	-0.04	5	40%	-0.08
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.02	-0.12	0.01	11	58%	-0.05	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.10
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.23,-0.23,-0.31,-0.31,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	-0.03	-0.25	0.02	22	54%	-0.11	3	-0.18	12	100%	0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.3	1.7	31.2	15.6	25.1	1.7	49.4	1.0	15.5	167.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	1.9	17.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +45.6%

SEA +10.1%

SEA +18.0%

NYK -26.7%

SEA +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	SEA	NBA	NYK	SEA	NBA
this game	16.2	15.7	15.5	102.0	107.9	104.0
season	15.8	16.5		103.9	109.5
opponent	15.6	15.3		107.9	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NYK	15.5	14.5	17.7	17.4	15.6	16.2
SEA	16.4	16.2	15.0	15.4	14.4	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Ariza	48	49	0.29	-0.79	1.09	0.06	8	-16	24	14.5	17.7	-3.17	14.2	17.1	-2.89
Michael Sweetney	40	41	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.15	-3	-5	2	17.8	15.1	2.72	16.7	14.9	1.82
Jermaine Jackson	1	2	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-8	8	11.0	16.2	-5.20	8.5	15.8	-7.30
Jerome Williams	4	3	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.01	-6	-2	-4	17.7	16.1	1.67	12.3	15.8	-3.42
Maurice Taylor	29	29	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.12	-2	-6	4	17.2	15.7	1.49	15.5	15.7	-0.24
Tim Thomas	88	89	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.09	-7	-1	-6	16.2	16.1	0.07	15.2	18.7	-3.51
Stephon Marbury	94	97	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.25	-2	-6	4	16.1	16.8	-0.68	15.8	13.0	2.76
Jamal Crawford	69	70	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.03	-11	3	-14	16.1	16.2	-0.12	16.2	14.5	1.69
Malik Rose	58	60	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.62	5	-13	18	16.0	16.4	-0.41	17.6	12.8	4.75
Kurt Thomas	54	55	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.17	-14	6	-20	16.2	16.1	0.07	14.7	16.8	-2.19

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vitaly Potapenko	50	49	0.97	-0.47	1.44	0.65	11	-3	14	16.9	14.5	2.39	16.3	16.0	0.39
Luke Ridnour	78	77	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.16	20	-12	32	15.0	17.9	-2.87	16.4	15.2	1.25
Nick Collison	56	54	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.37	4	4	0	16.3	14.9	1.42	16.2	16.1	0.07
Rashard Lewis	86	85	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.18	7	1	6	15.2	18.3	-3.15	16.3	15.5	0.76
Ray Allen	90	88	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.15	7	1	6	15.5	16.8	-1.31	16.2	16.1	0.07
Antonio Daniels	51	47	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.11	5	3	2	14.3	17.0	-2.71	15.3	17.0	-1.71
Jerome James	27	27	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.03	2	6	-4	15.5	15.7	-0.18	16.9	15.9	0.96
Reggie Evans	43	43	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.14	0	8	-8	16.4	15.1	1.37	17.2	15.4	1.79
Damien Wilkins	10	11	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.02	-7	15	-22	15.9	15.6	0.27	14.6	16.3	-1.70
Ronald Murray	14	14	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.07	-9	17	-26	18.8	15.1	3.64	12.9	16.7	-3.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.34,0.36,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.26,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.57,0.76,0.81,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.47,0.63,0.85,0.83,0.46,0.52,0.7,0.91,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 103, PHI 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.62,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.77,0.92,1	90.2%
NYK 85, CLE 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.46,0.66,0.75,0.71,0.71,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.75,0.84,0.87,0.95,0.54,0.75,0.72,0.84,0.74,1	89.6%
OKC 119, DAL 128	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.39,0.45,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.3,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.53,0.74,0.71,0.87,0.81,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.69,0.79,0.97,0.98,1	88.4%