NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	108		Excitement	6.8 [486]		MVP	Gerald Wallace (CHA): +17.0%
Orlando Magic	94		Comeback	1.2 [573]		LVP	Dwight Howard (ORL): -21.9%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Wallace	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.04	0.12	-0.01	14	61%	0.19	1	-0.02	8	50%	-0.04
Jason Hart	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.07	0.03	10	78%	0.19	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Primoz Brezec	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.13	0.03	0.01	14	71%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	12	57%	0.03	1	-0.01	16	81%	0.03
Jason Kapono	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	8	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bernard Robinson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.15,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.15	0.00	-0.01	16	41%	-0.04	5	-0.10	5	100%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	18	55%	0.08	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Mark Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.12	0.03	-0.07	14	53%	0.15	7	-0.17	6	67%	-0.02
Kelvin Cato	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	5	30%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.06	0.03	22	54%	0.02	4	-0.14	8	100%	0.05
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.13	-0.07	0.02	16	40%	-0.08	4	-0.14	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	483.3	2.7	31.2	17.7	25.0	1.6	31.4	592.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +35.7%

CHA +1.6%

ORL -14.8%

CHA +28.3%

ORL -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	ORL	NBA	CHA	ORL	NBA
this game	15.5	13.6	15.5	109.1	94.9	104.0
season	15.5	14.3		99.0	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.1		105.1	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.1	18.5	15.8	12.8	15.5
ORL	11.5	12.2	14.9	16.0	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brevin Knight	81	82	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.15	15	-1	16	14.4	20.1	-5.67	13.4	14.7	-1.32
Primoz Brezec	79	80	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.08	15	-1	16	15.1	16.8	-1.72	13.8	12.6	1.22
Gerald Wallace	87	86	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.10	14	0	14	15.0	18.8	-3.82	14.0	10.9	3.10
Jason Hart	53	52	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.03	14	0	14	16.5	14.3	2.23	14.3	12.9	1.46
Emeka Okafor	82	81	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.01	15	-1	16	15.1	17.3	-2.20	13.2	15.4	-2.23
Matt Carroll	17	16	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.01	5	9	-4	15.1	15.5	-0.43	15.2	13.3	1.87
Melvin Ely	33	33	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	16	-18	17.7	14.4	3.33	14.7	13.1	1.58
Bernard Robinson	18	18	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	14	-14	17.8	15.0	2.81	10.8	14.2	-3.47
Jason Kapono	45	47	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.01	-6	20	-26	15.9	15.1	0.76	12.6	14.5	-1.90

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Hunter	10	9	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.02	2	-16	18	10.8	13.9	-3.13	17.0	15.3	1.68
Mark Jones	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-14	14	8.5	13.8	-5.33	11.7	15.6	-3.88
Stacey Augmon	22	22	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.10	-7	-7	0	11.6	14.2	-2.55	16.5	15.2	1.26
Tony Battie	40	41	-0.15	-0.34	0.19	-0.10	-2	-12	10	12.7	14.2	-1.50	16.3	14.9	1.40
Kelvin Cato	60	60	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.10	-5	-9	4	14.2	12.6	1.61	15.6	15.3	0.28
Jameer Nelson	88	86	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.02	-10	-4	-6	13.1	17.5	-4.32	15.4	16.2	-0.78
Grant Hill	80	81	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.11	-6	-8	2	13.7	13.2	0.57	15.3	16.3	-0.98
DeShawn Stevenson	76	77	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.03	-13	-1	-12	14.1	12.0	2.11	15.3	16.1	-0.85
Pat Garrity	32	32	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.13	-10	-4	-6	14.7	13.1	1.68	15.5	15.5	0.04
Dwight Howard	83	83	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.07	-19	5	-24	14.2	10.5	3.72	15.2	16.9	-1.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.55,0.48,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.24,0.1,0.03,0.03,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 103, CHI 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.31,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.24,0.1,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%
LAC 98, MEM 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.42,0.55,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.01,0.04,0.01,0	93.1%
SAS 102, ATL 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.33,0.26,0.17,0.24,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.5,0.52,0.38,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.24,0.09,0.07,0.04,0,0,0	93.1%