NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	103		Excitement	3.2 [1169]		MVP	Gary Payton (BOS): +7.8%
Houston Rockets	92		Comeback	1.1 [572]		LVP	Tracy McGrady (HOU): -14.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	5	83%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mark Blount	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.12	-0.00	0.05	16	69%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0.06	0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	13	56%	0.06	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Delonte West	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	10	71%	0.07	4	-0.03	1	100%	-0.00
Al Jefferson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Allen	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	55%	0.00	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Marcus Banks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	3	37%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Raef LaFrentz	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	9	48%	-0.02	4	-0.06	7	86%	0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.12	0.00	0.07	8	89%	0.05	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	7	69%	0.05	1	-0.02	12	67%	-0.01
Ryan Bowen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.06	3	83%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	10	55%	0.02	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	-0.01	-0.06	8	12%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	12	33%	-0.09	1	-0.00	6	50%	-0.01
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.14	-0.00	0.00	22	42%	-0.07	4	-0.08	8	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.3	34.3	15.6	31.3	2.4	32.2	141.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +33.1%

BOS +3.3%

BOS +0.2%

BOS +8.1%

BOS +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	HOU	NBA	BOS	HOU	NBA
this game	15.6	15.4	15.5	110.8	98.9	104.0
season	14.4	16.0		104.7	104.2
opponent	15.8	16.0		100.6	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.2	13.7	18.7	16.3	15.6
HOU	15.8	14.0	17.3	15.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Allen	70	70	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.23	6	5	1	15.9	14.6	1.33	14.9	17.0	-2.19
Paul Pierce	75	74	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.06	9	2	7	15.7	15.2	0.50	15.9	13.4	2.48
Ricky Davis	65	64	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.25	1	10	-9	15.2	16.5	-1.28	14.8	16.8	-1.98
Mark Blount	50	48	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.10	6	5	1	16.0	15.0	0.97	16.5	14.2	2.23
Al Jefferson	17	19	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.10	12	-1	13	14.2	15.9	-1.71	15.2	15.5	-0.30
Marcus Banks	37	36	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.11	5	6	-1	15.5	15.6	-0.09	14.6	15.9	-1.37
Gary Payton	61	61	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.10	5	6	-1	15.7	15.3	0.34	15.6	15.1	0.46
Antoine Walker	59	60	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	7	-3	15.7	15.3	0.39	15.4	15.4	0.05
Delonte West	16	17	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	7	-3	14.6	15.8	-1.14	14.4	15.6	-1.21
Raef LaFrentz	15	16	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.04	3	8	-5	15.4	15.6	-0.20	17.2	15.0	2.16

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dikembe Mutombo	20	19	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-12	13	17.3	14.9	2.42	16.2	15.4	0.74
Scott Padgett	31	31	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.21	5	-16	21	15.0	15.6	-0.60	16.1	15.3	0.74
Ryan Bowen	19	17	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.20	2	-13	15	11.9	16.3	-4.34	15.7	15.5	0.17
Mike James	40	41	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-8	5	15.0	15.7	-0.65	15.5	15.6	-0.10
Clar. Weatherspoon	28	27	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.11	-11	0	-11	17.1	14.7	2.45	16.4	15.2	1.23
Jon Barry	63	63	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.24	-1	-10	9	14.8	16.6	-1.82	16.0	14.7	1.23
Bob Sura	60	59	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.03	-10	-1	-9	16.0	14.3	1.74	15.7	15.4	0.25
David Wesley	60	63	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.00	-12	1	-13	15.8	14.7	1.04	14.5	17.8	-3.24
Tracy McGrady	86	86	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.22	-8	-3	-5	15.3	16.0	-0.65	15.8	13.0	2.78
Yao Ming	58	59	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.06	-18	7	-25	15.2	15.7	-0.51	15.0	16.5	-1.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.26,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 94, DAL 75	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.24,0.16,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
POR 93, SAS 77	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.35,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.17,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
DAL 119, MIN 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.12,0.08,0.16,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%