NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	112		Excitement	10.2 [59]		MVP	Mike Bibby (SAC): +98.4%
Sacramento Kings	113		Comeback	12.1 [135]		LVP	Kenny Thomas (SAC): -44.5%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Simmons	0.47	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.47	0.06	0.41	0.00	17	63%	0.59	2	-0.12	4	100%	0.03
Quinton Ross	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.06	0.00	9	67%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zeljko Rebraca	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	-0.00	10	73%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Chris Kaman	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	-0.01	0.09	-0.01	10	57%	0.16	2	-0.08	3	33%	-0.01
Chris Wilcox	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	4	78%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	8	56%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Lionel Chalmers	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.09	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09	0.03	-0.11	0.01	22	53%	-0.02	1	-0.07	5	100%	0.04

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.29,0.98	0.98	0.11	0.84	-0.03	20	64%	1.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.03
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	-0.03	-0.01	14	70%	0.13	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.2,0.15,0.09,0,0,-0.15,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	15	61%	0.21	2	-0.16	6	100%	0.10
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	9	61%	0.05	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.04
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	10	30%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.27,-0.27,-0.45	-0.45	-0.09	-0.35	0.00	12	46%	-0.02	4	-0.43	2	0%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.5	23.3	15.8	29.0	2.8	35.2	132.0
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +41.9%

SAC +26.2%

LAC -0.3%

LAC -15.6%

LAC -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	SAC	NBA	LAC	SAC	NBA
this game	16.9	13.5	15.5	117.9	118.9	104.0
season	16.0	14.7		103.0	108.1
opponent	15.6	15.5		106.4	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	17.2	17.8	15.6	16.9	16.9
SAC	14.1	13.5	13.8	12.4	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Wilcox	35	34	0.48	-0.98	1.46	0.04	15	-16	31	18.9	15.6	3.26	14.5	12.9	1.66
Rick Brunson	70	71	0.42	-0.92	1.33	0.06	12	-13	25	16.1	18.8	-2.70	13.3	13.8	-0.50
Lionel Chalmers	24	24	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.15	-11	10	-21	19.6	15.9	3.71	13.8	13.3	0.50
Zeljko Rebraca	49	49	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.41	4	-5	9	17.7	16.0	1.70	12.8	14.2	-1.34
Elton Brand	39	41	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.04	-16	15	-31	16.1	17.4	-1.36	13.9	13.1	0.73
Corey Maggette	73	73	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.52	2	-3	5	16.1	19.5	-3.39	12.7	15.9	-3.12
Quinton Ross	50	51	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.41	-2	1	-3	18.0	15.6	2.46	13.5	13.4	0.06
Bobby Simmons	82	81	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.57	-5	4	-9	16.4	19.8	-3.38	13.5	13.3	0.21
Chris Kaman	53	51	-0.84	0.34	-1.19	-0.73	-4	3	-7	15.7	18.3	-2.61	14.0	12.8	1.16

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corliss Williamson	43	43	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.47	10	-9	19	13.1	13.8	-0.72	17.8	16.1	1.71
Cuttino Mobley	83	83	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.50	3	-2	5	13.6	12.2	1.39	16.3	20.5	-4.17
Peja Stojakovic	76	77	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.50	-2	3	-5	12.9	15.8	-2.97	16.5	18.5	-2.03
Mike Bibby	83	84	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.46	-1	2	-3	13.2	15.3	-2.14	16.6	18.5	-1.81
Kenny Thomas	63	63	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.41	-3	4	-7	13.4	13.7	-0.29	17.4	15.7	1.76
Darius Songaila	32	32	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	-3	7	13.7	13.4	0.29	15.7	17.4	-1.76
Eddie House	12	11	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.01	2	-1	3	15.3	13.2	2.14	18.5	16.6	1.81
Maurice Evans	31	30	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.06	1	0	1	14.5	13.0	1.47	19.3	15.7	3.58
Brian Skinner	52	52	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.00	-9	10	-19	13.8	13.1	0.72	16.1	17.8	-1.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.35,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.48,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.78,0.76,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.38,0.26,0.34,0.48,0.27,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.55,0.37,0.22,0.41,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 77, DET 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.43,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.47,0.47,0.67,0.48,0.45,0.23,0.73,1	90.5%
CLE 102, ORL 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.53,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.74,0.71,0.59,0.66,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.38,0.28,0.55,0.73,1	89.5%
NJN 93, LAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.56,0.44,0.62,0.63,0.43,0.28,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.47,0.61,0.46,0.41,0.58,1	89.5%