NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	99		Excitement	8.1 [267]		MVP	Latrell Sprewell (MIN): +25.4%
Boston Celtics	97		Comeback	4.3 [183]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -32.3%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Latrell Sprewell	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.25	-0.06	0.31	0.00	9	33%	0.28	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.09	0.08	0.00	7	79%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Thomas	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.06	0.00	8	75%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	13	61%	0.11	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.03
Mark Madsen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	2	60%	-0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Anthony Carter	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	4	40%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Kevin Garnett	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.03,-0.08,-0.08	0.00	-0.09	-0.01	15	60%	0.11	3	-0.18	5	60%	-0.02
Trenton Hassell	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.13	0.01	-0.13	0.01	10	60%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.02	-0.10	0.01	10	50%	-0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.16	0.16	-0.01	0.15	-0.02	18	55%	0.24	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.05	0.00	7	43%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	9	56%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.13	-0.08	0.01	11	77%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.04	0.00	7	71%	0.04	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	0.05	-0.14	0.02	9	80%	0.04	3	-0.14	2	50%	-0.08
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.32	-0.32	-0.08	-0.24	0.00	16	37%	-0.09	2	-0.24	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	1.7	25.4	16.4	21.4	1.8	33.8	122.1
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +14.0%

MIN +10.5%

MIN +15.9%

MIN +9.9%

BOS -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	BOS	NBA	MIN	BOS	NBA
this game	17.4	15.7	15.5	113.8	111.5	104.0
season	15.8	14.4		106.2	104.7
opponent	16.0	15.9		104.1	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	17.6	18.0	16.2	17.8	17.4
BOS	15.1	14.8	15.8	17.4	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wally Szczerbiak	49	50	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.45	8	-6	14	17.2	17.6	-0.33	16.3	15.0	1.28
Fred Hoiberg	37	39	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.35	4	-2	6	17.5	17.3	0.16	15.9	15.6	0.34
Kevin Garnett	70	69	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.58	-4	6	-10	17.2	17.9	-0.71	15.0	18.7	-3.70
Trenton Hassell	50	49	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.42	0	2	-2	17.3	17.5	-0.16	15.3	16.3	-1.08
John Thomas	69	69	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.04	9	-7	16	17.1	18.4	-1.36	16.2	13.9	2.33
Anthony Carter	33	31	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.10	13	-11	24	17.4	17.4	-0.01	18.1	14.4	3.62
Mark Madsen	26	26	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.12	5	-3	8	17.5	17.3	0.13	18.3	14.7	3.61
Latrell Sprewell	47	47	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.37	-12	14	-26	18.1	16.5	1.56	14.2	17.6	-3.40
Troy Hudson	54	55	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.21	-13	15	-28	17.4	17.4	0.01	14.7	17.5	-2.79

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raef LaFrentz	63	65	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.15	10	-12	22	15.5	16.3	-0.77	17.1	18.2	-1.09
Justin Reed	8	7	0.10	-0.60	0.69	0.07	1	-3	4	21.1	15.2	5.94	18.1	17.3	0.84
Mark Blount	34	32	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.11	-3	1	-4	17.6	14.5	3.09	17.2	17.5	-0.29
Al Jefferson	10	10	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.03	-7	5	-12	17.6	15.5	2.11	16.0	17.5	-1.55
Marcus Banks	10	10	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.03	-7	5	-12	17.6	15.5	2.11	16.0	17.5	-1.55
Gary Payton	61	62	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.56	10	-12	22	14.4	18.8	-4.33	17.9	16.1	1.81
Ricky Davis	83	82	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.47	1	-3	4	15.8	13.7	2.08	17.3	18.2	-0.88
Paul Pierce	73	74	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.50	1	-3	4	14.8	20.7	-5.93	17.4	17.0	0.43
Delonte West	32	31	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.26	-9	7	-16	17.1	14.9	2.20	17.3	17.4	-0.07
Antoine Walker	61	62	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.50	-7	5	-12	15.2	17.1	-1.91	17.6	16.8	0.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.74,0.72,0.69,0.56,0.44,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.76,0.81,0.59,0.47,0.39,0.14,0.46,0.45,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 94, DAL 90	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.56,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.66,0.57,0.79,0.67,0.68,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.25,0.36,0.45,0.74,0	90.7%
MIN 110, NJN 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.41,0.49,0.48,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.4,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.33,0.45,0.29,0.16,0	90.6%
HOU 81, CLE 78	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.33,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.64,0.65,0.55,0.69,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.52,0.68,0.69,0.46,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.59,0	89.3%