NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	86		Excitement	10.2 [62]		MVP	Jason Hart (CHA): +59.4%
Charlotte Bobcats	84		Comeback	6.0 [98]		LVP	Gerald Wallace (CHA): -40.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Laron Profit	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.1,0.23	0.01	0.22	0.00	5	60%	0.33	1	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	-0.00	12	67%	0.11	1	-0.01	9	67%	-0.06
Michael Ruffin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	16	50%	0.06	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.01,-0.12,-0.05	-0.08	0.03	0.00	18	46%	0.02	2	-0.07	10	100%	0.12
Antawn Jamison	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	5	18%	-0.06	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Juan Dixon	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.16	-0.05	-0.14	-0.03	3	0%	-0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.31	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.19,-0.19,-0.28,-0.28,-0.31,-0.31	-0.20	-0.11	-0.00	15	41%	-0.11	4	-0.19	16	81%	-0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.26,0.17,0.44,0.59	0.59	0.06	0.52	-0.01	12	77%	0.75	4	-0.16	2	100%	0.04
Cory Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	0.00	1	150%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.06	0.01	14	57%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.09	-0.09	0.02	-0.11	0.00	16	51%	-0.09	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.02
Theron Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1	-0.10	-0.00	-0.08	0.01	6	50%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	5	43%	-0.09	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.11	-0.09	0.00	13	25%	-0.20	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.4	-0.40	-0.20	-0.21	-0.01	15	21%	-0.32	2	-0.08	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	1.6	27.4	15.7	27.2	1.7	40.2	136.6
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +9.2%

WAS +54.7%

CHA -8.5%

WAS +17.1%

CHA -22.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHA	NBA	WAS	CHA	NBA
this game	15.2	17.3	15.5	97.7	94.4	104.0
season	14.7	15.5		104.7	99.0
opponent	15.1	15.5		105.4	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.7	17.8	12.7	15.6	15.2
CHA	16.6	16.5	21.0	15.7	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Laron Profit	41	44	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.42	9	-7	16	14.0	16.2	-2.26	17.4	17.3	0.17
Larry Hughes	71	72	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.59	2	0	2	14.9	16.2	-1.23	17.2	17.8	-0.51
Brendan Haywood	69	70	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.33	9	-7	16	15.5	14.1	1.37	16.7	19.6	-2.90
Gilbert Arenas	86	87	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.43	2	0	2	15.1	19.0	-3.91	17.3	21.0	-3.74
Kwame Brown	72	72	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.00	6	-4	10	15.1	15.4	-0.31	18.4	12.9	5.52
Juan Dixon	17	17	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.30	-5	7	-12	15.1	15.2	-0.08	16.4	17.6	-1.23
Steve Blake	11	11	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	0	2	17.7	14.8	2.91	15.3	17.6	-2.37
Antawn Jamison	43	42	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.01	-4	6	-10	15.7	14.7	0.96	16.4	18.2	-1.83
Michael Ruffin	30	30	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.19	-11	13	-24	15.5	15.0	0.48	19.3	16.4	2.94

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Melvin Ely	40	40	0.25	-0.75	0.99	0.10	5	-7	12	18.0	16.8	1.23	15.4	15.0	0.40
Jason Kapono	61	62	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.25	8	-10	18	17.4	17.1	0.30	15.4	14.7	0.75
Cory Alexander	21	23	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.05	0	-2	2	18.9	16.9	1.97	13.7	15.7	-1.95
Primoz Brezec	65	64	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-1	0	17.1	18.0	-0.89	14.8	16.1	-1.24
Gerald Wallace	71	68	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.45	3	-5	8	17.4	17.1	0.37	15.1	15.3	-0.15
Jason Hart	70	66	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.39	-3	1	-4	16.7	19.8	-3.17	15.6	13.9	1.76
Theron Smith	18	19	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.43	-5	3	-8	16.9	17.5	-0.51	14.2	15.5	-1.31
Emeka Okafor	70	70	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.49	-3	1	-4	17.6	16.4	1.25	15.6	13.4	2.25
Keith Bogans	29	28	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.17	-14	12	-26	16.7	17.6	-0.93	14.9	15.3	-0.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.65,0.68,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.7,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.49,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.57,0.53,0.67,0.68,0.47,0.59,0.52,0.61,0.71,0.57,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 91, DAL 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.77,0.73,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.64,0.73,0.65,0.59,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.74,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.4,0.53,0.55,0.72,0.68,0.58,0	90.4%
IND 110, MIA 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.44,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.69,0.66,0.81,0.85,0.71,0.73,0	89.8%
LAL 111, UTA 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.75,0.71,0.76,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.67,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.76,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.55,0.84,0	89.8%