NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	105		Excitement	3.9 [1050]		MVP	Bryon Russell (DEN): +12.3%
Los Angeles Clippers	89		Comeback	1.4 [489]		LVP	Corey Maggette (LAC): -11.8%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryon Russell	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.01	-0.01	5	92%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eduardo Najera	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	9	62%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.02	0.02	14	68%	0.11	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Wesley Person	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	8	62%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.01	0.02	12	73%	0.08	4	-0.05	6	100%	0.02
Greg Buckner	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DerMarr Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Pope	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.08	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	15	41%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Andre Miller	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.00	-0.01	9	25%	-0.08	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	75%	0.04	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Zeljko Rebraca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	2	87%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	14	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	-0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lionel Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	2	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	10	59%	0.05	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Bobby Simmons	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	17	47%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	0.00	6	29%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Corey Maggette	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.14	-0.01	-0.03	14	31%	-0.08	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	1.8	32.4	16.6	23.4	1.8	28.5	126.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +41.8%

DEN +8.0%

LAC -4.3%

DEN +1.1%

DEN +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	LAC	NBA	DEN	LAC	NBA
this game	14.7	15.4	15.5	109.4	93.7	104.0
season	14.8	16.0		103.8	103.0
opponent	15.5	15.6		103.8	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	14.8	14.2	13.9	15.9	14.7
LAC	15.2	15.8	17.4	13.5	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Person	41	43	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.14	19	-3	22	14.8	14.7	0.11	14.9	15.9	-0.94
Eduardo Najera	47	47	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.03	15	1	14	15.4	14.1	1.34	15.7	15.2	0.43
Earl Boykins	42	43	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.09	16	0	16	15.9	13.8	2.15	15.0	15.8	-0.85
Bryon Russell	32	30	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.18	19	-3	22	14.9	14.6	0.33	15.6	15.4	0.18
Marcus Camby	69	69	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.08	9	7	2	14.2	15.9	-1.68	16.0	14.0	2.04
Greg Buckner	36	36	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.04	9	7	2	16.2	13.8	2.32	15.0	15.7	-0.67
Carmelo Anthony	63	63	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.23	-2	18	-20	14.5	15.1	-0.61	15.6	15.2	0.43
Francisco Elson	40	40	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	13	-10	14.0	15.2	-1.28	15.8	15.2	0.66
Andre Miller	59	57	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.17	-3	19	-22	14.1	15.7	-1.56	15.7	15.1	0.65
DerMarr Johnson	45	42	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.15	-5	21	-26	13.8	15.5	-1.73	15.7	15.2	0.49
Mark Pope	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	16	-16	16.0	14.6	1.37	6.2	16.0	-9.76

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Anderson	19	19	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-16	16	12.6	16.1	-3.51	16.3	14.3	1.99
Chris Wilcox	18	19	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-18	20	12.1	16.2	-4.11	14.6	14.7	-0.11
Mikki Moore	12	13	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.01	-3	-13	10	13.2	15.8	-2.60	15.5	14.6	0.95
Rick Brunson	60	60	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.14	0	-16	16	16.2	14.2	1.97	13.8	16.2	-2.36
Zeljko Rebraca	24	22	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.00	-5	-11	6	13.7	16.0	-2.38	16.9	14.1	2.84
Quinton Ross	48	48	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.07	-12	-4	-8	13.8	17.1	-3.25	16.0	13.4	2.60
Elton Brand	65	64	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.21	-3	-13	10	16.1	14.1	2.01	14.4	15.3	-0.94
Chris Kaman	58	60	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.13	-15	-1	-14	17.0	12.9	4.09	14.2	15.6	-1.47
Lionel Chalmers	16	17	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.12	-16	0	-16	16.1	15.3	0.75	16.1	14.4	1.63
Corey Maggette	77	78	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.02	-13	-3	-10	15.7	14.2	1.51	14.6	15.4	-0.89
Bobby Simmons	78	80	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.03	-15	-1	-14	16.1	12.4	3.69	14.0	18.1	-4.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.27,0.28,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.14,0.16,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 98, POR 79	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
LAL 111, PHI 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.27,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.2,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
LAC 120, ORL 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.21,0.25,0.16,0.21,0.25,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%