NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	87		Excitement	4.9 [874]		MVP	Primoz Brezec (CHA): +11.7%
Charlotte Bobcats	94		Comeback	1.9 [875]		LVP	Mike Bibby (SAC): -18.4%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Skinner	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	-0.01	-0.03	10	65%	0.08	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.01
Kevin Martin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Ostertag	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.03	-0.04	14	61%	0.12	6	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	13	46%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Corliss Williamson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	12	58%	0.00	5	-0.08	7	86%	0.01
Eddie House	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.01	0.04	5	30%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	9	22%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.18	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.20	-0.02	-0.04	15	41%	0.01	8	-0.19	4	100%	0.02

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.06	-0.01	14	63%	0.14	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	10	74%	0.08	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Gerald Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.03	0.05	-0.04	12	59%	0.12	4	-0.05	3	67%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	6	58%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theron Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	7	61%	0.01	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	0.00	-0.03	11	27%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.02	17	31%	-0.12	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	19.9	2.3	27.5	15.4	23.5	2.4	30.6	121.6
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +27.4%

SAC -4.0%

CHA +7.0%

CHA +18.2%

CHA +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	CHA	NBA	SAC	CHA	NBA
this game	12.8	15.9	15.5	86.1	94.0	104.0
season	14.7	15.5		108.1	99.0
opponent	15.1	15.6		105.4	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.6	14.3	12.8	10.6	12.8
CHA	15.2	15.1	16.6	16.4	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Martin	15	15	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.18	7	-14	21	11.5	13.0	-1.57	14.5	16.1	-1.65
Greg Ostertag	15	14	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-8	9	14.4	12.5	1.88	13.6	16.2	-2.67
Eddie House	27	27	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.23	2	-9	11	13.1	12.7	0.47	16.1	15.8	0.28
Corliss Williamson	82	82	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.22	0	-7	7	12.4	14.6	-2.25	15.7	16.4	-0.70
Maurice Evans	39	39	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.22	-2	-5	3	13.3	12.5	0.87	16.3	15.6	0.68
Mike Bibby	83	83	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.22	-3	-4	1	12.5	14.2	-1.73	16.1	14.9	1.12
Brian Skinner	86	86	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.18	-8	1	-9	12.5	14.4	-1.88	16.2	13.6	2.67
Kenny Thomas	81	79	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.14	-12	5	-17	13.0	12.1	0.88	15.8	16.1	-0.35
Cuttino Mobley	77	75	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.04	-20	13	-33	13.3	11.3	1.98	15.9	15.9	-0.01

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Primoz Brezec	73	76	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.16	11	-4	15	16.1	15.3	0.74	13.0	12.3	0.64
Gerald Wallace	73	74	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.18	6	1	5	15.0	18.1	-3.07	12.4	13.8	-1.38
Melvin Ely	35	37	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.02	11	-4	15	16.6	15.5	1.12	13.8	12.2	1.63
Brevin Knight	69	69	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.25	2	5	-3	15.4	17.0	-1.59	12.4	13.7	-1.34
Keith Bogans	28	29	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.11	6	1	5	16.8	15.5	1.32	13.9	12.4	1.54
Kareem Rush	69	70	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.29	-2	9	-11	15.1	17.6	-2.48	12.4	13.7	-1.31
Jason Hart	36	36	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.09	3	4	-1	17.2	15.1	2.11	13.5	12.4	1.04
Emeka Okafor	74	73	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	6	-5	15.8	16.1	-0.28	12.4	13.8	-1.41
Theron Smith	32	31	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.21	-2	9	-11	17.5	15.1	2.44	13.4	12.5	0.89
Malik Allen	11	10	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	8	-9	14.5	16.0	-1.59	11.6	12.9	-1.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.74,0.77,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.89,0.86,0.83,0.93,0.96,0.96,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 96, DET 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.73,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.73,0.8,0.76,0.87,0.89,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.8%
TOR 90, POR 97	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.66,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.73,0.81,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.86,0.88,0.78,0.89,0.95,0.89,0.96,0.99,0.99,1	94.4%
ORL 72, TOR 90	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.3%