NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	113		Excitement	6.9 [457]		MVP	Antonio Daniels (SEA): +10.5%
Phoenix Suns	105		Comeback	2.8 [223]		LVP	Nick Collison (SEA): -12.8%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Daniels	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.03	-0.00	12	65%	0.11	0	0.00	7	71%	0.03
Rashard Lewis	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.01	-0.03	19	55%	0.13	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Jerome James	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	7	86%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.06	0.00	10	57%	0.11	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Reggie Evans	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	6	81%	0.10	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Ray Allen	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.08,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.06	0.10	-0.01	24	42%	0.10	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Ronald Murray	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.05	-0.02	5	18%	-0.06	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	-0.00	0.01	17	64%	0.11	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	20	65%	0.18	4	-0.13	11	82%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.03	-0.03	20	50%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.03	12	54%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Steven Hunter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.02	-0.03	7	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	1.8	28.0	15.8	25.4	0.7	32.4	130.3
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +28.4%

PHX -3.7%

SEA +27.7%

PHX -7.1%

SEA +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	PHX	NBA	SEA	PHX	NBA
this game	18.7	12.5	15.5	122.8	112.9	104.0
season	16.5	13.5		109.5	112.9
opponent	16.0	15.6		106.2	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	18.1	18.6	20.6	17.5	18.7
PHX	13.2	12.7	11.6	12.5	12.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashard Lewis	72	73	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.17	15	-7	22	18.6	19.0	-0.44	12.3	13.3	-1.06
Vladimir Radmanovic	64	65	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.20	9	-1	10	18.5	19.0	-0.50	12.4	12.8	-0.44
Nick Collison	25	25	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.19	8	0	8	20.8	17.9	2.89	12.7	12.5	0.22
Ray Allen	80	81	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.30	2	6	-4	18.0	23.1	-5.10	12.6	11.8	0.78
Antonio Daniels	51	52	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.23	3	5	-2	19.3	17.9	1.40	12.3	12.8	-0.56
Luke Ridnour	61	61	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	5	-2	18.1	19.7	-1.64	12.4	12.7	-0.31
Reggie Evans	57	55	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.08	2	6	-4	18.7	18.5	0.18	12.3	12.8	-0.46
Ronald Murray	10	12	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	6	-4	20.9	18.4	2.52	14.1	12.3	1.80
Jerome James	40	41	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.10	-4	12	-16	18.5	18.8	-0.31	13.1	12.1	1.04

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Hunter	19	18	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.03	-1	-7	6	13.3	12.3	1.00	17.4	19.0	-1.57
Leandro Barbosa	13	10	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	-2	-4	11.0	12.8	-1.76	24.9	17.9	7.01
Shawn Marion	74	73	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.15	-3	-5	2	12.4	13.2	-0.81	18.9	17.8	1.02
Joe Johnson	82	79	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.24	0	-8	8	12.5	12.6	-0.14	19.0	16.6	2.37
Walter McCarty	19	19	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.12	-5	-3	-2	13.2	12.4	0.81	17.8	18.9	-1.02
Steve Nash	75	77	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.29	-1	-7	6	12.3	13.3	-0.94	18.1	21.3	-3.20
Quentin Richardson	76	78	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.30	-3	-5	2	12.8	11.1	1.78	18.0	22.1	-4.12
Jim Jackson	33	32	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.01	-14	6	-20	12.8	12.3	0.47	18.7	18.6	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	74	74	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.24	-7	-1	-6	12.3	13.3	-1.00	19.0	17.4	1.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.59,0.71,0.59,0.58,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.05,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 122, PHX 117	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.4,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.24,0.16,0.22,0.2,0.13,0.03,0,0,0,0	93.6%
MIA 92, NJN 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.28,0.16,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.09,0,0	92.8%
CHI 119, BOS 103	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	92.8%