NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	101		Excitement	8.6 [183]		MVP	Ben Gordon (CHI): +27.6%
Chicago Bulls	97		Comeback	13.9 [46]		LVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): -26.2%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0.24	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.24,0.24	0.07	0.17	-0.00	15	66%	0.30	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.09	0.06	0.04	0.01	16	59%	0.09	0	0.00	9	100%	0.06
Jiri Welsch	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.05	0.00	3	75%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Tom Gugliotta	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	11	55%	0.09	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Tony Allen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.03	0.03	3	100%	0.04	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Walter McCarty	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.24,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.24,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.29,-0.24,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.20	-0.00	-0.01	12	44%	-0.05	5	-0.14	17	76%	0.08

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.28	0.28	0.13	0.11	-0.03	21	65%	0.31	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	100%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.03	-0.02	3	37%	0.05	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	5	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	6	57%	0.02	3	-0.06	9	67%	0.01
Chris Duhon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	5	42%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.07
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	4	30%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.22	-0.22	-0.09	-0.13	0.01	9	40%	-0.15	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.07	-0.14	0.02	13	43%	-0.19	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.18	-0.09	-0.01	10	35%	-0.12	5	-0.14	6	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.7	34.1	15.7	29.2	2.6	40.1	149.6
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +41.2%

BOS +20.7%

CHI -31.7%

BOS +17.2%

BOS +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CHI	NBA	BOS	CHI	NBA
this game	13.8	15.2	15.5	101.0	98.0	104.0
season	14.4	15.1		104.7	100.1
opponent	15.4	16.0		98.9	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.6	16.0	13.3	12.5	13.8
CHI	16.4	14.0	15.6	14.7	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raef LaFrentz	81	83	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.49	10	-6	16	13.3	15.7	-2.40	15.1	15.7	-0.63
Paul Pierce	91	91	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.38	5	-1	6	13.3	18.4	-5.11	15.2	15.2	-0.10
Mark Blount	72	69	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.49	0	4	-4	13.5	14.6	-1.18	15.1	15.3	-0.25
Gary Payton	71	70	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.42	-1	5	-6	14.0	13.2	0.87	14.9	15.8	-0.89
Jiri Welsch	22	23	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.01	7	-3	10	13.0	14.0	-1.07	14.0	15.5	-1.46
Ricky Davis	69	66	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.34	-5	9	-14	15.2	10.6	4.65	14.9	15.6	-0.67
Marcus Banks	29	29	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.04	5	-1	6	13.2	14.0	-0.87	15.8	14.9	0.89
Walter McCarty	31	30	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.09	6	-2	8	13.8	13.8	0.02	15.6	15.0	0.63
Tony Allen	18	19	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	3	-2	11.6	14.3	-2.66	16.6	14.8	1.75
Tom Gugliotta	11	9	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.03	0	4	-4	18.2	13.2	4.93	18.1	14.9	3.24
Kendrick Perkins	5	6	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	-0.05	-8	12	-20	16.2	13.7	2.54	13.2	15.3	-2.12

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kirk Hinrich	63	66	0.39	-0.89	1.28	0.12	9	-13	22	16.1	13.6	2.48	13.8	13.8	0.04
Antonio Davis	54	54	0.16	-0.66	0.81	0.16	0	-4	4	15.2	15.1	0.05	13.7	13.8	-0.11
Othella Harrington	12	13	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.03	1	-5	6	16.4	15.0	1.43	17.2	13.3	3.87
Luol Deng	54	54	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.32	8	-12	20	16.1	14.0	2.13	14.5	13.0	1.50
Adrian Griffin	4	3	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-1	-2	7.0	15.5	-8.51	7.3	14.0	-6.66
Jannero Pargo	18	17	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	0	-4	12.3	15.8	-3.52	13.1	13.9	-0.81
Eric Piatkowski	20	19	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.06	-7	3	-10	13.2	15.7	-2.46	13.6	13.8	-0.26
Andres Nocioni	41	43	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-9	5	-14	14.7	15.5	-0.82	13.4	14.1	-0.73
Ben Gordon	60	60	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.42	3	-7	10	14.9	15.5	-0.58	14.2	13.1	1.15
Eddy Curry	70	72	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.57	2	-6	8	15.7	13.9	1.84	13.3	14.9	-1.58
Tyson Chandler	62	61	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.37	-11	7	-18	14.3	16.6	-2.33	13.6	14.0	-0.39
Chris Duhon	37	38	-0.81	0.31	-1.13	-0.55	-9	5	-14	16.5	14.4	2.07	13.4	14.0	-0.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.59,0.7,0.68,0.73,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.73,0.92,0.87,0.81,0.81,0.67,0.67,0.47,0.53,0.65,0.87,0.89,0.72,0.57,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 89, LAC 85	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.6,0.65,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.77,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.68,0.15,0	90.8%
PHX 106, MIA 101	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.62,0.67,0.76,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.63,0.54,0.4,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.77,0.74,0.82,0.7,0.66,0.74,0.76,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.73,0.61,0.7,0.22,0.01,0	90.2%
ORL 106, SAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.73,0.64,0.66,0.82,0.75,0.63,0.45,0.15,0	90.1%