NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	109		Excitement	3.8 [1081]		MVP	Shane Battier (MEM): +9.6%
Charlotte Bobcats	89		Comeback	1.0 [666]		LVP	Emeka Okafor (CHA): -11.3%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.01	10	75%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	6	83%	0.08	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.03	10	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.07	0.02	-0.08	17	43%	0.03	0	0.00	10	70%	0.01
Bonzi Wells	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	12	59%	0.05	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.02
Andre Emmett	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	1	33%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jake Tsakalidis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	59%	0.01	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	11	35%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Sampson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	75%	0.06	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Bernard Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	8	31%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.06	8	41%	-0.01	1	-0.00	6	50%	0.01
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.05	7	79%	0.03	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.03
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	7	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00	3	-0.03	4	100%	0.00
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.01	-0.04	10	40%	0.00	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	10	30%	-0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.01	0.02	13	45%	-0.09	1	-0.03	12	58%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	32.2	7.0	30.3	2.3	30.1	127.6
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +29.9%

MEM +2.8%

MEM +2.9%

MEM +13.7%

MEM +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	CHA	NBA	MEM	CHA	NBA
this game	18.9	14.2	15.5	125.3	102.3	104.0
season	16.4	15.5		103.7	99.0
opponent	15.1	15.5		105.4	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	19.3	18.3	18.2	19.7	18.9
CHA	13.5	17.7	12.6	13.7	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Posey	64	65	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.01	16	4	12	18.9	18.8	0.05	14.9	12.3	2.57
Stromile Swift	34	34	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.00	14	6	8	19.5	18.4	1.10	15.6	13.4	2.21
Shane Battier	63	65	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.09	17	3	14	18.8	19.1	-0.31	14.4	13.7	0.75
Dahntay Jones	50	50	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.09	16	4	12	20.0	17.3	2.68	14.9	13.4	1.55
Earl Watson	36	37	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.01	12	8	4	18.6	19.0	-0.38	15.9	13.0	2.92
Pau Gasol	59	57	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.04	7	13	-6	18.7	19.1	-0.36	13.5	15.7	-2.18
Jason Williams	51	50	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.07	8	12	-4	19.0	18.6	0.38	13.0	15.9	-2.92
Bonzi Wells	35	36	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	17	-14	18.3	19.3	-1.01	13.7	14.6	-0.89
Andre Emmett	6	4	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.07	3	17	-14	12.2	19.4	-7.19	8.0	14.5	-6.54
Jake Tsakalidis	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	18	-16	17.0	18.9	-1.93	12.5	14.3	-1.78
Lorenzen Wright	34	35	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.08	2	18	-16	18.8	18.9	-0.06	13.0	15.1	-2.08

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bernard Robinson	8	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-16	12	11.9	14.5	-2.61	19.5	18.8	0.70
Melvin Ely	36	37	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.15	-9	-11	2	14.1	14.4	-0.27	18.1	19.4	-1.26
Keith Bogans	40	41	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.14	-2	-18	16	13.3	15.0	-1.70	18.7	19.0	-0.25
Jason Hart	22	19	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.26	-16	-4	-12	15.8	13.7	2.05	17.3	19.3	-2.05
Gerald Wallace	62	63	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.16	-3	-17	14	14.2	14.3	-0.05	19.1	18.3	0.79
Jason Kapono	25	24	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.25	-17	-3	-14	14.3	14.2	0.05	18.3	19.1	-0.79
Primoz Brezec	59	59	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.11	-5	-15	10	13.8	15.1	-1.33	18.7	19.2	-0.52
Brevin Knight	65	68	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.17	-4	-16	12	13.7	15.8	-2.05	19.3	17.3	2.05
Kareem Rush	39	38	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.08	-13	-7	-6	15.7	13.1	2.58	18.9	18.9	0.01
Emeka Okafor	53	55	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.13	-6	-14	8	14.3	14.1	0.20	20.1	16.8	3.29
Jamal Sampson	26	23	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.29	-21	1	-22	15.3	13.8	1.47	17.6	19.3	-1.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 90, CLE 79	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.19,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
ATL 117, BKN 97	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.32,0.21,0.2,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
TOR 106, WAS 99	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%