NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	105		Excitement	5.9 [681]		MVP	Jumaine Jones (LAL): +18.9%
Minnesota Timberwolves	96		Comeback	9.1 [69]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (MIN): -9.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jumaine Jones	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.08	0.12	0.02	3	100%	0.19	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17	0.06	0.08	-0.02	19	55%	0.17	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Brian Cook	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.07	0.00	6	67%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	10	54%	0.04	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01	0.07	-0.04	0.05	19	69%	0.11	5	-0.12	7	100%	0.04
Brian Grant	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tierre Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.02	-0.02	6	42%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.11	0.03	-0.02	16	36%	-0.00	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.08	0.00	4	100%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	-0.00	0.03	15	62%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Thomas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.04	-0.00	11	55%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	8	47%	-0.04	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	3	25%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	12	57%	-0.03	3	-0.06	16	81%	-0.01
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	0.02	19	47%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	1.8	24.9	15.6	28.9	1.8	31.5	128.2
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +53.8%

LAL +0.3%

LAL +10.0%

MIN -11.9%

MIN -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MIN	NBA	LAL	MIN	NBA
this game	16.7	14.1	15.5	112.9	102.1	104.0
season	15.7	15.8		105.8	106.2
opponent	15.9	15.3		104.6	108.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	19.7	14.8	18.0	14.2	16.7
MIN	10.7	17.8	11.6	16.5	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Cook	33	32	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.26	16	-7	23	15.8	17.2	-1.40	18.1	12.0	6.06
Caron Butler	78	78	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.30	12	-3	15	17.0	15.5	1.49	13.5	16.9	-3.42
Chris Mihm	77	79	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.24	13	-4	17	16.7	16.9	-0.19	14.1	13.9	0.27
Jumaine Jones	33	34	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.18	15	-6	21	13.9	18.3	-4.36	17.3	12.3	4.96
Chucky Atkins	79	80	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.27	10	-1	11	17.1	14.6	2.45	13.2	19.1	-5.85
Tierre Brown	14	14	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.04	-1	10	-11	14.6	17.1	-2.45	19.1	13.2	5.85
Brian Grant	26	25	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.02	-3	12	-15	17.2	16.5	0.65	13.0	14.5	-1.49
Lamar Odom	45	47	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	0.02	-9	18	-27	18.3	15.3	3.00	12.4	15.8	-3.43
Kobe Bryant	80	81	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.03	-8	17	-25	17.0	14.8	2.18	13.0	20.7	-7.66

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ervin Johnson	12	12	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.02	4	-13	17	12.1	14.4	-2.31	16.2	16.8	-0.54
John Thomas	3	1	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.07	-4	-5	1	24.0	13.8	10.23	16.0	16.7	-0.73
Fred Hoiberg	7	8	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.13	-6	-3	-3	19.3	13.7	5.61	11.1	17.2	-6.12
Troy Hudson	67	67	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.26	7	-16	23	13.2	16.4	-3.19	16.6	16.9	-0.28
Latrell Sprewell	79	78	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.16	3	-12	15	12.8	20.7	-7.90	17.1	14.5	2.61
Kevin Garnett	81	78	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.22	1	-10	11	13.3	19.2	-5.96	17.3	13.6	3.72
Eddie Griffin	17	19	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.01	-7	-2	-5	16.9	13.5	3.47	14.9	17.2	-2.29
Wally Szczerbiak	76	75	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.23	-7	-2	-5	13.7	15.9	-2.29	16.4	18.1	-1.72
Anthony Carter	27	26	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.02	-16	7	-23	16.4	13.2	3.19	16.9	16.6	0.28
Michael Olowokandi	64	64	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.27	-9	0	-9	15.0	12.2	2.78	17.3	15.3	2.00
Trenton Hassell	37	37	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.24	-11	2	-13	15.5	13.2	2.34	16.5	16.9	-0.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.77,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.57,0.57,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 102, PHX 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.78,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.66,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.2,0.17,0.1,0.02,0.01,0,0	93.7%
LAC 112, NYK 110	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.73,0.8,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.81,0.85,0.74,0.7,0.53,0.53,0.32,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.04,0	93.0%
WAS 106, CLE 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.76,0.73,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.62,0.52,0.47,0.36,0.15,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.01,0,0	92.5%