NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	112		Excitement	7.1 [412]		MVP	Quentin Richardson (LAC): +18.0%
New York Knicks	110		Comeback	22.2 [35]		LVP	Mark Jackson (NYK): -11.5%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Richardson	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18	0.04	0.12	-0.02	24	56%	0.24	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.00
Darius Miles	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	5	81%	0.09	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.03
Harold Jamison	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02	0.03	-0.02	0.03	6	86%	0.09	4	-0.11	17	71%	-0.03
Elton Brand	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	12	53%	0.02	3	-0.06	8	62%	-0.00
Eric Piatkowski	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	-0.07	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	14	51%	-0.03	2	-0.04	9	89%	-0.01
Michael Olowokandi	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.00	-0.01	7	14%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.02	0.02	0.16	-0.09	0.05	24	68%	0.09	2	-0.08	11	82%	0.05
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	7	72%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	19	40%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	10	41%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	6	17%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.01	-0.02	16	40%	0.01	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
Mark Jackson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.07	0.01	12	50%	0.00	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.4	25.1	15.8	26.2	2.5	41.9	139.3
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +25.5%

LAC +13.7%

LAC +9.5%

NYK -1.8%

LAC +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	NYK	NBA	LAC	NYK	NBA
this game	14.8	14.6	15.6	115.5	111.1	102.3
season	15.9	15.9		103.6	99.6
opponent	15.6	15.4		103.9	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.4	17.0	13.4	13.7	14.8
NYK	15.2	16.4	15.4	12.0	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Miles	65	67	0.92	-0.42	1.33	0.30	21	-19	40	14.1	16.3	-2.25	14.5	14.8	-0.29
Quentin Richardson	79	81	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.36	11	-9	20	14.5	16.2	-1.67	14.7	14.2	0.44
Corey Maggette	78	81	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.47	4	-2	6	13.7	19.5	-5.87	14.6	14.6	0.04
Jeff McInnis	83	85	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.52	1	1	0	14.7	15.4	-0.65	14.1	17.4	-3.31
Elton Brand	89	92	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.50	1	1	0	14.9	14.0	0.88	14.2	19.9	-5.67
Harold Jamison	8	7	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.02	0	2	-2	14.0	14.9	-0.88	19.9	14.2	5.67
Earl Boykins	14	14	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.12	2	0	2	15.4	14.7	0.65	17.4	14.1	3.31
Eric Piatkowski	18	18	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.04	-8	10	-18	16.2	14.5	1.67	14.2	14.7	-0.44
Michael Olowokandi	51	50	-0.50	1.00	-1.49	0.15	-22	24	-46	17.5	11.8	5.71	14.7	14.5	0.23

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Othella Harrington	33	31	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.08	-4	2	-6	15.6	14.1	1.48	15.0	14.7	0.24
Shandon Anderson	33	33	-0.21	-0.28	0.07	0.11	-11	9	-20	14.9	14.4	0.53	15.0	14.7	0.25
Mark Jackson	73	72	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.48	9	-11	20	14.4	15.1	-0.67	14.8	14.7	0.11
Charlie Ward	26	25	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.08	-12	10	-22	15.1	14.4	0.67	14.7	14.8	-0.11
Latrell Sprewell	85	82	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.43	5	-7	12	14.6	14.3	0.35	14.6	15.7	-1.10
Allan Houston	82	81	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.55	5	-7	12	14.4	15.7	-1.35	14.9	14.2	0.66
Kurt Thomas	89	86	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.52	0	-2	2	14.7	13.8	0.87	14.5	16.9	-2.37
Clar. Weatherspoon	74	75	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.49	-2	0	-2	14.1	16.1	-2.00	15.0	14.0	1.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.73,0.8,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.81,0.85,0.74,0.7,0.53,0.53,0.32,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 105, MIN 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.77,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.57,0.57,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.01,0	93.0%
DAL 102, PHX 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.78,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.66,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.2,0.17,0.1,0.02,0.01,0,0	91.9%
DET 116, MIL 112	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.82,0.72,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.77,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.53,0.28,0.23,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.16,0	91.5%