NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	109		Excitement	3.8 [1082]		MVP	Damon Stoudamire (POR): +12.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	100		Comeback	1.2 [550]		LVP	Kyle Korver (PHI): -7.6%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.01	-0.02	16	63%	0.14	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.02
Nick Van Exel	0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.16	0.03	0.09	19	74%	0.14	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.00	-0.05	6	61%	0.06	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.01
James Thomas	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	59%	0.01	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.01
Ruben Patterson	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	7	59%	0.01	2	-0.01	8	87%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.11	0.00	-0.07	16	49%	0.04	5	-0.08	5	80%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	-0.01	15	58%	0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	6	42%	-0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	5	53%	-0.00	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	0.02	16	47%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.03	7	61%	0.00	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	0.07	14	65%	0.00	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	11	36%	-0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.4	29.4	14.8	25.4	2.6	31.3	132.2
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +40.5%

POR +4.2%

POR +1.1%

POR +1.4%

POR +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	PHI	NBA	POR	PHI	NBA
this game	16.3	13.7	15.5	113.5	104.2	104.0
season	15.8	13.9		101.2	101.1
opponent	15.8	15.6		101.9	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.3	14.2	15.7	20.3	16.3
PHI	12.9	15.8	13.8	12.4	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ruben Patterson	73	73	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.02	17	-8	25	15.7	18.0	-2.27	14.1	12.7	1.36
Joel Przybilla	51	51	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.01	14	-5	19	15.7	16.9	-1.21	14.3	13.1	1.21
Derek Anderson	35	36	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.16	4	5	-1	14.4	17.3	-2.90	12.3	14.6	-2.23
Zach Randolph	77	76	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.01	9	0	9	16.5	15.4	1.06	13.7	13.8	-0.15
Nick Van Exel	69	68	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.15	4	5	-1	17.2	14.0	3.21	14.6	11.5	3.15
Sebastian Telfair	27	28	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.09	5	4	1	14.0	17.2	-3.21	11.5	14.6	-3.15
Damon Stoudamire	69	67	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.32	-4	13	-17	17.6	12.8	4.81	14.2	12.6	1.69
James Thomas	18	20	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.25	-3	12	-15	15.9	16.3	-0.40	13.8	13.7	0.15
Theo Ratliff	42	42	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.16	-2	11	-13	17.3	15.4	1.89	13.1	14.2	-1.04
Travis Outlaw	19	19	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.04	1	8	-7	15.5	16.5	-0.99	13.1	13.9	-0.78

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samuel Dalembert	43	45	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.24	6	-15	21	13.8	13.6	0.20	17.0	15.7	1.29
John Salmons	50	50	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.16	2	-11	13	14.1	13.3	0.73	18.2	14.1	4.11
Willie Green	32	31	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.15	1	-10	11	12.0	14.6	-2.64	16.6	16.1	0.51
Kevin Ollie	17	16	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.05	-5	-4	-1	14.1	13.6	0.47	16.2	16.3	-0.10
Kenny Thomas	70	71	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.28	2	-11	13	14.2	12.5	1.69	17.5	12.6	4.91
Corliss Williamson	35	33	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-8	-1	-7	12.6	14.4	-1.73	15.2	16.9	-1.71
Andre Iguodala	66	68	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.32	0	-9	9	14.7	11.7	2.95	16.2	16.5	-0.27
Allen Iverson	71	71	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.02	-13	4	-17	13.6	14.2	-0.64	16.0	17.2	-1.20
Kyle Korver	52	52	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.06	-12	3	-15	13.4	14.1	-0.71	14.7	18.1	-3.36
Marc Jackson	44	43	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.10	-18	9	-27	13.8	13.7	0.08	14.3	17.9	-3.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 106, DET 80	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.2,0.13,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
CHA 92, WAS 76	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
LAL 99, SAS 75	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.36,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.32,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%