NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	103		Excitement	9.7 [91]		MVP	Larry Hughes (WAS): +41.0%
Boston Celtics	108		Comeback	3.1 [683]		LVP	Jarvis Hayes (WAS): -32.3%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Hughes	0.41	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.41	0.20	0.21	-0.00	20	79%	0.51	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Antawn Jamison	0.18	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.08,0.35,0.24,0.18	0.07	0.13	0.01	28	51%	0.18	0	0.00	1	100%	0.02
Michael Ruffin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.01	7	43%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	11	52%	-0.00	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Juan Dixon	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	3	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Steve Blake	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.05	-0.08	0.01	8	31%	-0.10	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	7	36%	0.06	4	-0.22	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	-0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.32	-0.06	-0.27	0.00	6	43%	-0.07	2	-0.25	2	100%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.09	0.00	12	69%	0.24	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.02	-0.00	5	100%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.08	-0.00	4	80%	0.16	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03
Jiri Welsch	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.05	-0.01	8	50%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.06
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.03,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.02	18	59%	0.05	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.11
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	8	57%	0.04	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.03
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	10	60%	0.05	3	-0.10	5	100%	0.02
Mark Blount	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	0.06	0.01	8	33%	0.02	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	3	12%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	3	20%	-0.13	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	3.3	27.7	15.0	24.3	1.6	29.5	123.0
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +7.7%

BOS +17.3%

WAS -11.3%

BOS +29.9%

BOS +6.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	BOS	NBA	WAS	BOS	NBA
this game	15.6	13.9	15.5	105.1	111.3	104.0
season	14.7	14.4		104.7	104.7
opponent	16.0	15.5		104.1	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.3	16.2	16.2	16.0	15.6
BOS	14.5	11.5	14.4	15.3	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Blake	57	57	0.17	-0.67	0.84	0.08	3	-8	11	16.2	14.9	1.34	13.5	14.4	-0.90
Brendan Haywood	60	60	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.09	0	-5	5	15.3	16.1	-0.77	13.1	15.2	-2.09
Jared Jeffries	63	61	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.11	0	-5	5	15.4	16.1	-0.75	14.1	13.5	0.63
Juan Dixon	14	13	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	0	-5	16.5	15.5	1.01	13.5	14.0	-0.41
Antawn Jamison	78	79	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.31	-1	-4	3	16.0	14.3	1.67	14.3	12.3	1.92
Michael Ruffin	38	37	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.27	-5	0	-5	16.1	15.3	0.77	15.2	13.1	2.09
Anthony Peeler	47	46	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.34	-5	0	-5	15.2	16.0	-0.77	14.5	13.3	1.19
Larry Hughes	78	78	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.45	-3	-2	-1	15.3	16.9	-1.59	13.9	14.1	-0.19
Jarvis Hayes	55	54	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.29	-9	4	-13	15.5	15.9	-0.41	13.1	14.9	-1.77

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Payton	67	66	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.48	7	-2	9	13.5	14.8	-1.26	15.8	15.2	0.66
Paul Pierce	76	76	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.42	3	2	1	13.9	13.9	0.05	15.7	15.5	0.11
Mark Blount	64	64	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.49	-1	6	-7	14.2	13.4	0.81	15.8	15.2	0.61
Ricky Davis	64	64	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.30	5	0	5	13.4	14.9	-1.49	14.7	17.4	-2.68
Jiri Welsch	39	41	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.31	2	3	-1	13.5	14.2	-0.73	16.5	15.0	1.43
Tony Allen	20	21	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.07	8	-3	11	13.8	13.9	-0.06	15.1	15.8	-0.62
Raef LaFrentz	71	69	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.15	-1	6	-7	14.2	13.0	1.23	16.2	14.3	1.83
Al Jefferson	22	23	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.08	2	3	-1	13.5	14.0	-0.51	14.9	15.9	-1.00
Walter McCarty	32	34	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.11	2	3	-1	14.4	13.6	0.81	15.6	15.6	0.02
Marcus Banks	30	32	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.13	-2	7	-9	14.8	13.5	1.26	15.2	15.8	-0.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.36,0.24,0.47,0.38,0.79,0.45,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 72, CHI 78	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.3,0.35,0.47,0.31,0.46,0.44,0.91,1	91.7%
VAN 98, PHX 106	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.4,0.53,0.45,0.63,0.76,0.85,1	91.4%
MIA 96, MIL 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.4,0.54,0.62,0.47,0.37,0.32,0.21,0.19,0.27,0.31,0.55,0.67,0.85,1	90.5%