NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	87		Excitement	2.2 [1282]		MVP	Desmond Mason (MIL): +11.4%
Milwaukee Bucks	115		Comeback	1.0 [1296]		LVP	Mike James (MIL): -6.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clar. Weatherspoon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	19	48%	0.02	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Juwan Howard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.02	6	67%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	62%	0.01	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Maurice Taylor	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	12	47%	-0.00	3	-0.03	8	62%	-0.01
Bob Sura	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0.03	10	66%	-0.02	3	-0.02	9	78%	-0.00
Jon Barry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.19	0.00	-0.15	8	0%	-0.04	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reece Gaines	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.08	9	61%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.13	0.00	0.01	15	73%	0.12	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	85%	0.05	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Fizer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	8	68%	0.04	2	-0.02	6	50%	-0.00
Zendon Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	7	29%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	9	36%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	0.01
Michael Redd	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	0.00	0.06	14	70%	0.03	4	-0.04	12	75%	-0.02
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	0.04	10	59%	-0.02	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	28.5	15.8	27.2	2.5	27.7	129.2
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +29.0%

MIL +1.4%

MIL +15.7%

MIL +2.8%

MIL +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MIL	NBA	HOU	MIL	NBA
this game	13.3	15.1	15.5	85.3	113.9	104.0
season	16.0	16.0		104.2	104.4
opponent	15.0	15.8		107.4	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.0	14.5	13.8	12.0	13.3
MIL	12.8	15.5	16.9	15.7	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clar. Weatherspoon	5	5	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.11	4	-32	36	14.4	13.2	1.18	17.2	15.0	2.20
Scott Padgett	32	32	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.03	-2	-26	24	11.6	14.0	-2.40	15.3	15.0	0.30
Dikembe Mutombo	23	23	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.21	-11	-17	6	14.0	13.1	0.99	14.7	15.2	-0.48
Maurice Taylor	58	58	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.21	-15	-13	-2	12.9	13.8	-0.96	15.2	15.0	0.27
Juwan Howard	44	43	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.11	-13	-15	2	13.8	12.9	0.96	15.0	15.2	-0.27
Reece Gaines	70	69	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.16	-15	-13	-2	13.3	13.2	0.08	14.8	15.7	-0.85
Jon Barry	84	83	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.14	-16	-12	-4	12.9	15.2	-2.37	15.3	14.0	1.35
Bob Sura	76	76	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.25	-22	-6	-16	13.3	13.3	-0.04	15.3	14.5	0.78
Yao Ming	48	47	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.31	-24	-4	-20	13.5	13.1	0.43	14.7	15.4	-0.72
Tracy McGrady	70	69	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.35	-26	-2	-24	14.0	11.6	2.40	15.0	15.3	-0.30

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Desmond Mason	55	55	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.18	20	8	12	14.6	15.8	-1.20	13.0	13.6	-0.60
Michael Redd	70	71	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.41	27	1	26	15.1	15.2	-0.12	13.6	12.5	1.09
Mo Williams	44	45	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.39	23	5	18	14.9	15.3	-0.39	14.0	12.7	1.22
Zaza Pachulia	58	58	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.00	9	19	-10	16.0	13.9	2.13	13.4	13.2	0.20
Marcus Fizer	61	62	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.02	8	20	-12	15.0	15.2	-0.23	12.6	14.3	-1.65
Joe Smith	40	40	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.34	20	8	12	15.2	15.0	0.23	14.3	12.6	1.65
Dan Gadzuric	30	31	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.29	18	10	8	14.3	15.4	-1.10	14.2	12.9	1.32
Mike James	57	57	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.07	5	23	-18	15.3	14.9	0.39	12.7	14.0	-1.22
Kendall Gill	56	56	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.09	10	18	-8	15.7	14.4	1.32	13.4	13.1	0.30
Eddie House	21	22	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	29	-30	15.1	15.1	-0.02	12.5	13.5	-0.93
Zendon Hamilton	13	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	27	-26	12.8	15.4	-2.60	10.7	13.7	-2.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.74,0.76,0.74,0.76,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 85, DET 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%
TOR 64, BOS 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.83,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
NJN 86, ORL 119	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.57,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.8,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%