NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	100		Excitement	11.6 [25]		MVP	Tyronn Lue (HOU): +3.7%
Charlotte Bobcats	101		Comeback	10.3 [201]		LVP	Tracy McGrady (HOU): -32.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyronn Lue	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	-0.01	9	58%	0.01	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Yao Ming	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	9	73%	0.19	6	-0.22	4	100%	0.02
Bob Sura	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	3	87%	0.06	3	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.09	0.01	-0.11	-0.01	5	61%	-0.09	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Maurice Taylor	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	7	43%	0.00	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	-0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.02,-0.11,-0.26	-0.07	-0.19	-0.00	13	46%	-0.15	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.33	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.3,-0.14,-0.2,-0.09,0.12,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.15,-0.33	-0.16	-0.11	0.05	30	41%	-0.13	4	-0.20	10	90%	-0.03

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	8	56%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	6	61%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.05
Keith Bogans	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.06	-0.08	0.00	12	68%	0.08	2	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	3	50%	-0.02	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Theron Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.15,0.15,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	0.03	0.02	26	41%	-0.02	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	3	20%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Jamal Sampson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	2	50%	-0.07	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.22	-0.22	-0.04	-0.18	0.00	6	50%	-0.15	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.06
Gerald Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.3,-0.24,-0.28	-0.28	-0.18	-0.11	-0.02	13	39%	-0.18	4	-0.10	12	75%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	29.5	0.3	26.3	15.4	26.6	2.4	37.4	2.0	20.9	160.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	1.9	17.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU -39.4%

CHA +25.0%

CHA +42.9%

CHA +21.3%

CHA +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	CHA	NBA	HOU	CHA	NBA
this game	14.9	14.0	15.5	90.9	91.8	104.0
season	16.0	15.5		104.2	99.0
opponent	15.1	15.8		105.4	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
HOU	12.5	15.6	13.8	17.4	16.9	14.9
CHA	13.7	12.7	15.5	14.5	13.1	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juwan Howard	72	72	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.14	5	-6	11	14.7	15.3	-0.59	14.9	12.3	2.63
Dikembe Mutombo	49	50	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.24	7	-8	15	16.0	14.1	1.93	14.3	13.7	0.55
Tyronn Lue	38	40	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.09	1	-2	3	16.0	14.4	1.64	12.9	14.6	-1.62
Scott Padgett	1	1	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.17	3	-4	7	3.0	15.0	-12.04	0.0	14.1	-14.11
Yao Ming	59	58	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.10	-10	9	-19	14.3	15.6	-1.31	14.1	13.8	0.26
Maurice Taylor	37	38	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.23	-4	3	-7	15.3	14.7	0.56	12.4	14.8	-2.38
Jim Jackson	99	100	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.46	3	-4	7	14.9	15.2	-0.28	14.1	12.4	1.74
Tracy McGrady	98	97	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.55	5	-6	11	14.8	16.3	-1.58	14.0	13.7	0.33
Ryan Bowen	19	18	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.23	-7	6	-13	14.8	15.0	-0.17	12.2	14.3	-2.17
Bob Sura	78	76	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.35	-8	7	-15	14.6	15.6	-0.98	14.5	12.8	1.72

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Wallace	80	81	0.83	-0.34	1.17	0.48	12	-11	23	14.4	12.8	1.67	14.8	15.2	-0.43
Brevin Knight	78	80	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.54	10	-9	19	13.9	14.2	-0.38	14.7	15.5	-0.83
Emeka Okafor	86	88	0.55	-0.04	0.59	0.46	3	-2	5	14.2	13.3	0.88	14.6	16.2	-1.62
Primoz Brezec	55	58	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.01	17	-16	33	13.5	14.4	-0.91	15.0	14.8	0.19
Keith Bogans	79	79	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.49	0	1	-1	14.3	13.3	1.01	14.7	15.5	-0.78
Jason Kapono	23	24	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.19	-1	2	-3	12.3	14.4	-2.18	15.0	14.9	0.04
Melvin Ely	33	32	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.04	-5	6	-11	14.5	13.8	0.68	14.8	15.0	-0.12
Theron Smith	9	7	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.03	-5	6	-11	12.7	14.1	-1.43	16.9	14.8	2.06
Jamal Sampson	36	33	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.14	-11	12	-23	14.5	13.7	0.77	15.4	14.7	0.71
Kareem Rush	39	38	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.04	-6	7	-13	13.1	14.5	-1.32	15.5	14.6	0.87
Jason Hart	32	30	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	0.01	-9	10	-19	14.2	13.9	0.38	15.5	14.7	0.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.34,0.39,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.39,0.35,0.45,0.31,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.26,0.19,0.31,0.53,0.29,0.45,0.15,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.23,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 111, DAL 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.19,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.08,0.26,0.29,0.17,0.31,0.21,0.24,0.15,0	87.4%
CHI 94, HOU 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.2,0.23,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.21,0.16,0.15,0	87.3%
CLE 82, VAN 80	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.31,0.41,0.39,0.55,0.45,0.33,0.27,0	87.2%