inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 100 Excitement9.4 [104] MVPCarmelo Anthony (DEN): +28.4%
Boston Celtics 99 Comeback3.6 [222] LVPPaul Pierce (BOS): -31.4%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony0.280,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,0.02,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.28-0.040.330.012053%0.424-0.14786%0.06
Marcus Camby0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.010.060.01964%0.112-0.05786%0.03
Earl Boykins0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.010.04-0.01847%0.061-0.021100%0.01
Bryon Russell0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.000.03-0.00275%0.081-0.0500%0.00
Greg Buckner0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.010.001150%0.061-0.0300%0.00
Francisco Elson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.020.00450%-0.0100.0000%0.00
DerMarr Johnson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00267%0.011-0.022100%0.01
Andre Miller-0.060,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.01,0,-0.060.00-0.040.021263%0.053-0.11650%-0.07
Kenyon Martin-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.08-0.07-0.02-0.011945%0.063-0.132100%0.02

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jiri Welsch0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.030.050.01764%0.101-0.0300%0.00
Walter McCarty0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.040.00357%0.0500.0010%-0.04
Al Jefferson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.02-0.00542%0.021-0.04250%-0.01
Marcus Banks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Mark Blount0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.001050%-0.011-0.02650%-0.04
Raef LaFrentz0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.000.011136%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Tony Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.03-0.0030%-0.071-0.0200%0.00
Ricky Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.1-0.10-0.06-0.04-0.001649%-0.023-0.085100%0.05
Gary Payton0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12-0.12-0.07-0.06-0.011142%-0.062-0.054100%0.06
Paul Pierce0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.21,-0.21,-0.31-0.31-0.02-0.270.032253%-0.222-0.091471%0.09
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.70.827.417.630.23.336.5139.5
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +114.2%
BOS -36.2%
BOS -16.6%
BOS -26.1%
DEN +14.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENBOSNBADENBOSNBA
this game15.613.515.5100.0101.0104.0
season14.814.4103.8104.7
opponent16.015.6104.1102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN16.213.816.016.315.6
BOS12.414.412.714.413.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bryon Russell43430.72-0.220.950.3712-112315.915.30.6514.812.52.32
Andre Miller77740.59-0.090.680.71-45-915.914.51.3512.815.6-2.75
Kenyon Martin91880.59-0.090.680.5901-115.615.40.1313.116.7-3.55
Francisco Elson27270.250.250.00-0.2216-153114.516.0-1.4816.012.53.49
Carmelo Anthony82800.190.31-0.120.57-1314-2715.515.9-0.4713.015.9-2.91
Marcus Camby82810.160.34-0.180.57-1415-2915.914.01.9013.115.6-2.59
DerMarr Johnson25250.110.39-0.27-0.066-51114.915.8-0.9115.113.02.16
Greg Buckner38360.040.46-0.420.0110116.015.30.7112.414.2-1.77
Earl Boykins3536-0.160.66-0.82-0.1910114.616.1-1.4314.512.91.61

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jiri Welsch51520.28-0.781.07-0.2418-193712.814.3-1.4316.514.51.96
Raef LaFrentz64640.07-0.570.63-0.4016-173312.914.7-1.7915.715.20.48
Tony Allen2222-0.03-0.470.440.23-98-1715.612.92.7416.015.40.51
Al Jefferson2931-0.21-0.290.080.17-1312-2514.713.01.6315.015.8-0.76
Walter McCarty3031-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.06-76-1314.513.11.4716.015.40.59
Marcus Banks1314-0.29-0.21-0.080.09-1312-2516.013.12.8713.415.9-2.48
Mark Blount7374-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.412-3513.214.5-1.3015.515.8-0.39
Gary Payton7273-0.520.02-0.54-0.706-71312.915.2-2.2915.715.10.56
Paul Pierce7679-0.530.03-0.56-0.706-71312.915.6-2.7415.515.9-0.44
Ricky Davis6060-0.650.15-0.81-0.33-1110-2114.312.31.9915.016.3-1.32


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.31,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.24,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.56,0.48,0.56,0.4,0.34,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.53,0.25,0.16,0.06,0.08,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 120, SAS 1080.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.45,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.43,0.4,0.54,0.14,0.06,0.01,0,091.8%
SAC 100, DET 930.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.54,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.21,0.24,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.66,0.59,0.52,0.53,0.64,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.11,0.15,0.08,091.2%
DEN 113, HOU 1090.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.6,0.38,0.21,0.1,0.1,091.1%