NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	94		Excitement	10.6 [50]		MVP	Michael Finley (DAL): +72.7%
Chicago Bulls	93		Comeback	9.7 [77]		LVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): -70.3%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0.73	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.73	0.12	0.61	0.01	20	61%	0.73	0	0.00	4	100%	0.12
Josh Howard	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.01	13	59%	0.22	1	-0.14	1	100%	0.01
Erick Dampier	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	5	75%	0.09	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Shawn Bradley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Alan Henderson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.04	0.01	10	30%	-0.08	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.11	-0.13	-0.00	8	29%	-0.08	3	-0.16	1	0%	-0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.70	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.2,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.26,-0.34,-0.46,-0.7	-0.21	-0.49	0.00	18	38%	-0.64	2	-0.07	19	68%	-0.16

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.15,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,0.31	0.31	-0.04	0.35	-0.00	12	58%	0.50	5	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.05	0.00	8	75%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	6	33%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	16	44%	-0.04	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.17	-0.17	-0.03	-0.14	-0.00	7	75%	0.02	5	-0.19	2	100%	0.02
Eddy Curry	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.19,-0.29	-0.29	0.00	-0.28	0.01	12	71%	0.07	5	-0.36	4	50%	-0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.31	-0.31	-0.08	-0.26	-0.02	15	40%	-0.24	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.8	31.1	16.5	25.3	2.5	37.2	138.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI -14.2%

DAL +29.6%

CHI -11.5%

DAL +41.2%

DAL +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	CHI	NBA	DAL	CHI	NBA
this game	14.3	16.1	15.5	100.0	97.9	104.0
season	14.9	15.1		108.2	100.1
opponent	15.4	15.5		98.9	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.7	14.9	14.1	14.5	14.3
CHI	17.6	15.1	15.9	16.1	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marquis Daniels	61	62	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.47	9	-8	17	14.0	14.8	-0.77	15.2	17.9	-2.75
Josh Howard	65	64	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.56	3	-2	5	14.4	14.1	0.31	17.4	13.6	3.81
Dirk Nowitzki	83	82	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.56	-2	3	-5	14.7	11.5	3.14	16.3	14.9	1.42
Michael Finley	83	86	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.48	0	1	-1	14.1	16.2	-2.11	16.1	16.8	-0.70
Alan Henderson	14	14	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.23	4	-3	7	14.4	14.3	0.13	17.7	15.9	1.84
Calvin Booth	18	20	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.07	8	-7	15	13.8	14.4	-0.60	16.1	16.2	-0.06
Devin Harris	5	5	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.00	2	-1	3	19.0	14.1	4.94	16.6	16.1	0.48
Erick Dampier	39	39	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.40	-12	13	-25	14.0	14.5	-0.50	15.2	16.8	-1.64
Shawn Bradley	31	32	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.20	3	-2	5	14.5	14.2	0.34	16.1	16.2	-0.08
Darrell Armstrong	50	51	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.07	-2	3	-5	14.3	14.4	-0.08	15.2	17.2	-2.01
Jason Terry	21	20	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.02	-8	9	-17	13.9	14.5	-0.59	17.8	15.7	2.09

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Duhon	52	53	0.37	-0.87	1.25	-0.01	13	-14	27	16.1	16.2	-0.07	15.1	13.3	1.78
Antonio Davis	47	47	0.31	-0.81	1.12	-0.01	11	-12	23	16.9	15.4	1.56	14.4	14.3	0.13
Eric Piatkowski	9	8	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.00	-3	2	-5	18.8	15.9	2.91	12.7	14.5	-1.72
Andres Nocioni	44	42	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.29	0	-1	1	15.0	17.1	-2.14	14.1	14.5	-0.45
Luol Deng	69	68	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.35	-1	0	-1	16.4	15.4	1.00	14.0	15.1	-1.10
Eddy Curry	68	68	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.33	-3	2	-5	16.9	14.3	2.59	14.6	13.5	1.19
Kirk Hinrich	76	76	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.47	-1	0	-1	16.5	14.9	1.57	14.2	14.7	-0.43
Tyson Chandler	57	57	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.43	-10	9	-19	15.2	17.6	-2.43	14.4	14.2	0.26
Ben Gordon	53	51	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.47	-11	10	-21	15.3	17.2	-1.96	13.9	14.8	-0.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.7,0.78,0.88,0.76,0.73,0.59,0.65,0.53,0.75,0.89,0.69,0.63,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 90, ATL 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.84,0.79,0.71,0.63,0.69,0.59,0.72,0.75,0.66,0.67,0.29,0	91.1%
MIA 101, NJN 98	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.82,0.89,0.78,0.71,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.63,0.53,0.54,0.78,0.86,0.95,0.94,0.58,0	91.1%
NJN 88, DET 86	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.81,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.79,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.55,0.57,0.42,0	90.5%