NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	97		Excitement	2.1 [1288]		MVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): +14.3%
San Antonio Spurs	116		Comeback	1.2 [1126]		LVP	Manu Ginobili (SAS): -5.8%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anderson Varejao	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	6	62%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Ira Newble	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Jackson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	6	33%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	19	57%	0.02	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Scott Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	-0.00	-0.06	16	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	8	64%	-0.01	3	-0.03	6	100%	0.01
Drew Gooden	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.06	0.00	0.11	24	55%	-0.05	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	0	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Duncan	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.23	0.00	0.09	15	85%	0.14	0	0.00	10	80%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.16	0.00	0.11	11	83%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	0.00	0.05	5	100%	0.05	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	78%	0.03	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	7	75%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.04	9	67%	0.06	4	-0.04	9	78%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	3	67%	0.01	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Wilks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	100%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	0.00	-0.05	5	20%	-0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.0	31.2	16.7	25.2	2.4	23.6	127.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +46.9%

SAS +6.8%

CLE -3.9%

CLE -1.7%

SAS +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	SAS	NBA	CLE	SAS	NBA
this game	16.6	15.2	15.5	107.8	127.5	104.0
season	16.2	16.3		104.6	105.8
opponent	15.6	15.3		98.4	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	19.3	16.7	15.6	14.5	16.6
SAS	12.0	12.8	18.7	18.2	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Jackson	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-21	23	14.7	16.7	-1.94	14.6	15.3	-0.67
Anderson Varejao	25	27	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.04	-8	-11	3	16.9	16.5	0.39	12.2	16.5	-4.28
Sasha Pavlovic	21	23	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.06	-9	-10	1	16.7	16.6	0.15	12.7	16.1	-3.45
Ira Newble	24	25	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.12	-11	-8	-3	19.2	15.6	3.61	13.6	15.8	-2.19
Scott Williams	27	28	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.05	-9	-10	1	17.3	16.3	0.99	12.6	16.4	-3.74
Drew Gooden	65	64	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.00	-10	-9	-1	16.5	16.9	-0.39	16.5	12.2	4.28
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	63	63	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.02	-11	-8	-3	16.3	17.3	-0.99	16.4	12.6	3.74
Eric Snow	65	65	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.10	-7	-12	5	16.2	17.6	-1.44	16.2	12.9	3.28
Jeff McInnis	78	77	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.06	-14	-5	-9	16.5	17.3	-0.85	15.4	14.1	1.37
LeBron James	78	78	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.10	-18	-1	-17	16.3	18.6	-2.29	15.6	13.3	2.24

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Brown	53	51	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.13	20	-1	21	15.0	15.5	-0.46	16.6	16.6	-0.03
Tim Duncan	70	70	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.12	17	2	15	15.4	14.6	0.86	16.6	16.6	-0.06
Tony Parker	65	67	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.03	11	8	3	14.7	16.5	-1.83	16.4	17.1	-0.65
Bruce Bowen	61	62	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.05	6	13	-7	16.3	13.1	3.18	16.7	16.5	0.20
Malik Rose	19	19	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.01	8	11	-3	15.0	15.3	-0.29	19.4	15.9	3.51
Robert Horry	34	33	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.02	7	12	-5	13.3	16.4	-3.04	15.0	17.5	-2.53
Beno Udrih	30	28	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.06	9	10	-1	16.6	14.5	2.09	16.2	16.8	-0.51
Manu Ginobili	41	41	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.01	7	12	-5	15.0	15.4	-0.42	17.7	15.7	2.08
Rasho Nesterovic	51	50	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.18	12	7	5	16.3	13.9	2.42	17.4	15.6	1.71
Brent Barry	18	17	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.06	6	13	-7	12.5	15.9	-3.40	15.4	16.9	-1.54
Mike Wilks	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	21	-23	14.6	15.3	-0.67	14.7	16.7	-1.94
Tony Massenburg	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	25	-31	15.4	15.2	0.16	12.0	17.0	-5.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.89,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 100, PHX 131	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.87,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
NYK 89, BOS 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
SEA 82, BOS 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%