inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 95 Excitement5.1 [832] MVPGreg Buckner (DEN): +3.8%
Denver Nuggets 104 Comeback1.0 [1225] LVPShaquille O'Neal (MIA): -19.6%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Christian Laettner0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.04-0.010.02475%0.0200.0000%0.00
Wesley Person0.000,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.00-0.00275%0.041-0.0400%0.00
Michael Doleac-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.02-0.020.02683%0.083-0.0900%0.00
Udonis Haslem-0.020,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.03-0.020.021061%0.021-0.04367%-0.01
Damon Jones-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.070.00-0.03333%0.023-0.0600%0.00
Rasual Butler-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.00-0.000.04454%-0.0500.00580%-0.00
Keyon Dooling-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.02333%-0.013-0.0500%0.00
Shandon Anderson-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.0100%0.003-0.0700%0.00
Eddie Jones-0.090,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.02-0.060.011446%-0.032-0.0600%0.00
Dwyane Wade-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09-0.01-0.050.031663%0.055-0.14978%0.01
Shaquille O'Neal-0.200,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.16-0.05-0.021043%-0.085-0.12825%-0.08

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Greg Buckner0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.01-0.01756%0.0400.00425%-0.05
Bryon Russell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.00275%0.0300.0000%0.00
Francisco Elson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.01-0.00747%0.0100.001100%0.01
Nene0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.01-0.01562%0.032-0.03667%-0.00
Marcus Camby0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.01-0.02557%0.032-0.034100%0.01
Carmelo Anthony0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.030.001965%0.126-0.15580%0.00
Andre Miller0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.02-0.00667%0.013-0.05367%0.00
Earl Boykins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.031348%-0.013-0.07786%0.01
Kenyon Martin0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.11-0.020.001343%-0.034-0.0920%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.22.525.915.825.42.339.4136.3
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +10.9%
DEN +9.0%
DEN +6.4%
DEN +23.4%
DEN +0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIADENNBAMIADENNBA
this game14.513.715.593.1102.0104.0
season15.714.8107.9103.8
opponent15.615.5102.3101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA15.514.115.613.014.5
DEN12.214.214.414.213.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Doleac3332-0.06-0.440.38-0.122-111313.614.9-1.3113.613.8-0.18
Christian Laettner4039-0.09-0.410.32-0.297-162315.014.20.7915.412.72.70
Wesley Person2525-0.09-0.410.320.03-4-5116.913.83.1314.113.60.48
Dwyane Wade6971-0.15-0.350.21-0.326-152114.314.9-0.5314.112.91.21
Keyon Dooling4949-0.17-0.330.16-0.05-4-5113.815.2-1.3914.712.81.88
Rasual Butler2123-0.18-0.320.14-0.03-5-4-114.214.6-0.3511.614.3-2.72
Shandon Anderson3533-0.19-0.310.12-0.01-6-3-313.715.0-1.3112.114.5-2.45
Eddie Jones7171-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.270-9915.113.21.8614.112.91.17
Damon Jones4240-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.14-90-913.015.6-2.5412.214.7-2.45
Shaquille O'Neal6969-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.06-134-1714.913.61.3114.013.20.74
Udonis Haslem5658-0.47-0.04-0.430.09-1910-2915.013.91.1013.314.2-0.94

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marcus Camby51520.480.020.460.0116-72313.813.60.1815.413.61.73
Greg Buckner59590.400.100.29-0.0214-51914.113.20.8816.112.43.67
Earl Boykins70700.360.140.210.2736-313.713.8-0.1013.516.7-3.16
Carmelo Anthony85850.300.200.100.2427-513.216.2-2.9514.415.2-0.86
Kenyon Martin78760.260.240.030.2127-513.016.1-3.1514.514.5-0.03
Andre Miller76760.190.31-0.120.22-110-1113.315.0-1.6714.015.9-1.88
Nene46480.190.31-0.130.1327-514.013.50.5213.815.2-1.38
Francisco Elson27260.180.32-0.140.1518-716.112.83.3115.314.21.06
Bryon Russell18180.140.36-0.21-0.0363315.313.41.9614.414.5-0.16


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.67,0.79,0.73,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.91,0.86,0.76,0.91,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 108, POR 1140.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.87,0.93,0.9,0.93,1,194.8%
SAS 91, IND 990.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.77,0.69,0.8,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.72,0.69,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.93,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.91,194.5%
CLE 72, CHH 900.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.83,0.89,0.82,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.8,0.85,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.91,0.96,1,1,1,1,194.3%