NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	76		Excitement	8.8 [167]		MVP	Willie Green (PHI): +5.4%
Houston Rockets	77		Comeback	19.7 [99]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -31.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Willie Green	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.00	4	70%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kenny Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	14	47%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Josh Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.08	0.01	-0.10	-0.00	6	67%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.18	-0.03	-0.15	0.00	12	50%	-0.14	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.11
Andre Iguodala	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.13	-0.08	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	5	-0.17	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Korver	-0.28	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.28	-0.04	-0.24	0.01	12	40%	-0.26	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Allen Iverson	-0.32	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.28,-0.32,-0.32	-0.14	-0.18	-0.01	20	43%	-0.09	5	-0.23	6	67%	-0.03

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.11,0.04,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	6	47%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	7	57%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Andre Barrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	57%	0.03	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Yao Ming	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	10	59%	0.03	2	-0.06	14	86%	0.04
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.04,0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.02	-0.00	5	42%	0.04	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	7	43%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Reece Gaines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	6	19%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.25,-0.31,-0.31,-0.1	-0.10	-0.15	0.03	-0.02	23	33%	-0.09	1	-0.01	5	40%	-0.05
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	7	14%	-0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	1.7	29.4	15.6	29.1	2.4	34.6	134.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +38.1%

HOU +5.7%

PHI -9.9%

HOU +14.3%

HOU +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	HOU	NBA	PHI	HOU	NBA
this game	15.9	16.2	15.5	84.4	86.5	104.0
season	13.9	16.0		101.1	104.2
opponent	15.8	15.8		100.6	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.6	14.7	15.2	17.5	15.9
HOU	16.9	15.3	15.4	17.6	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Davis	18	18	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-4	7	14.1	16.4	-2.28	15.8	16.4	-0.59
Brian Skinner	20	19	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	0	-1	15.2	16.1	-0.94	16.3	16.2	0.02
Andre Iguodala	48	50	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.11	-6	5	-11	15.9	16.0	-0.04	16.6	15.8	0.71
John Salmons	15	15	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.03	-5	4	-9	13.1	16.5	-3.36	14.1	16.7	-2.62
Willie Green	15	13	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.00	-4	3	-7	15.5	16.0	-0.48	16.2	16.2	-0.02
Allen Iverson	75	76	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.47	3	-4	7	16.0	15.5	0.48	16.2	16.2	0.02
Kyle Korver	75	74	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.50	4	-5	9	16.5	13.1	3.36	16.7	14.1	2.62
Aaron McKie	42	39	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.58	5	-6	11	16.0	15.9	0.04	15.8	16.6	-0.71
Marc Jackson	70	70	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.50	0	-1	1	16.1	15.2	0.94	16.2	16.3	-0.02
Kenny Thomas	72	71	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.44	-4	3	-7	16.4	14.1	2.28	16.4	15.8	0.59

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Padgett	28	30	1.06	-0.56	1.62	0.56	17	-16	33	15.1	16.8	-1.72	16.0	15.9	0.15
Bob Sura	63	66	0.94	-0.44	1.38	0.59	12	-11	23	17.1	14.1	3.01	15.9	16.0	-0.03
Yao Ming	66	67	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.43	0	1	-1	16.6	15.3	1.33	15.7	16.5	-0.73
Tracy McGrady	79	79	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.47	-5	6	-11	16.5	14.3	2.19	16.0	15.7	0.23
Andre Barrett	44	45	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.13	5	-4	9	15.3	17.2	-1.84	16.2	15.6	0.58
Dikembe Mutombo	23	23	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.05	1	0	1	15.3	16.6	-1.33	16.5	15.7	0.73
Reece Gaines	37	37	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	11	-21	15.4	16.9	-1.49	16.1	15.8	0.30
Ryan Bowen	44	43	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.08	1	0	1	16.2	16.3	-0.08	15.4	16.4	-0.94
Juwan Howard	29	28	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.01	-5	6	-11	17.3	15.7	1.63	16.5	15.7	0.82
Maurice Taylor	32	32	-0.43	0.93	-1.36	-0.11	-11	12	-23	16.3	16.2	0.05	15.3	16.3	-0.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.19,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.16,0.24,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.07,0.19,0.54,0.85,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 95, DAL 98	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.22,0.16,0.38,0.24,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.24,0.45,0.84,0.73,1	92.0%
IND 88, CHH 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.54,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.17,0.21,0.15,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.39,0.54,0.77,0.97,1	91.1%
HOU 98, NYK 104	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.41,0.31,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.32,0.55,0.65,0.84,1	90.9%