NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	98		Excitement	8.0 [235]		MVP	Wilson Chandler (NYK): +33.2%
New York Knicks	104		Comeback	9.1 [124]		LVP	Metta World Peace (HOU): -21.4%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luis Scola	0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.17	0.08	0.11	0.01	11	62%	0.17	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Carl Landry	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.02	-0.03	9	67%	0.17	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.04
Brent Barry	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Von Wafer	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	56%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Brooks	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	9	65%	0.12	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Charles Hayes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.14	-0.03	-0.11	-0.00	20	45%	-0.08	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Rafer Alston	-0.18	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18	-0.07	-0.10	0.01	10	35%	-0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.21	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21	-0.14	-0.15	-0.07	19	27%	-0.24	1	0.03	2	100%	0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.11	0.22	-0.00	10	69%	0.37	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.05
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.08,0.12,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.04	0.00	15	59%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.00	8	55%	0.11	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
David Lee	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.06	0.01	13	55%	0.14	3	-0.09	5	60%	-0.02
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	0.01	11	55%	0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	12	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.5	28.6	17.4	25.0	2.0	34.2	134.5
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +58.0%

NYK +14.2%

HOU -15.0%

HOU -6.5%

HOU -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	NYK	NBA	HOU	NYK	NBA
this game	16.8	12.8	15.5	101.0	106.1	106.4
season	16.3	13.8		105.9	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.2		109.1	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.6	13.8	16.2	21.5	16.8
NYK	13.4	12.9	12.6	12.2	12.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Von Wafer	33	33	0.32	-0.82	1.13	-0.01	11	-17	28	14.9	17.7	-2.87	13.7	12.3	1.33
Aaron Brooks	40	43	0.19	-0.69	0.87	0.04	5	-11	16	16.9	16.7	0.26	12.6	12.9	-0.36
Brent Barry	27	27	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.04	6	-12	18	14.3	17.7	-3.48	14.9	12.0	2.95
Carl Landry	40	38	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.00	4	-10	14	15.8	17.5	-1.70	13.9	12.1	1.85
Charles Hayes	34	32	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.08	-2	-4	2	16.2	17.1	-0.87	14.2	12.1	2.13
Metta World Peace	69	70	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.22	-5	-1	-4	17.2	15.7	1.49	12.2	14.3	-2.10
Luis Scola	55	58	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.30	-10	4	-14	17.3	16.1	1.20	12.0	14.0	-2.01
Rafer Alston	63	62	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.35	-10	4	-14	16.4	17.4	-0.94	12.7	13.0	-0.34
Tracy McGrady	61	62	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.33	-12	6	-18	18.1	14.4	3.70	12.1	13.9	-1.79
Shane Battier	63	65	-0.83	0.33	-1.17	-0.34	-17	11	-28	17.8	14.9	2.82	12.3	13.7	-1.33

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nate Robinson	53	52	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.36	13	-7	20	12.7	12.9	-0.19	18.1	15.2	2.93
David Lee	83	82	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.39	11	-5	16	12.1	16.5	-4.42	17.0	15.3	1.70
Tim Thomas	57	56	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.46	8	-2	10	13.1	12.3	0.81	17.6	15.7	1.93
Chris Duhon	85	83	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.37	9	-3	12	12.4	15.5	-3.09	16.8	16.4	0.49
Wilson Chandler	58	56	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.32	7	-1	8	12.1	13.7	-1.59	17.2	16.2	0.96
Danilo Gallinari	25	27	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	6	-6	14.4	12.2	2.17	15.7	17.2	-1.53
Jared Jeffries	34	33	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.11	2	4	-2	12.6	12.9	-0.35	15.4	17.5	-2.14
Quentin Richardson	40	40	-0.35	0.85	-1.21	-0.06	-10	16	-26	13.9	12.0	1.97	15.8	17.5	-1.66
Al Harrington	55	56	-0.38	0.88	-1.25	-0.08	-10	16	-26	13.4	12.0	1.44	15.9	18.0	-2.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.41,0.31,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.32,0.55,0.65,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 100, MIL 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.28,0.42,0.34,0.15,0.14,0.26,0.14,0.24,0.28,0.32,0.45,0.78,0.97,1	92.2%
NOH 95, DAL 98	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.22,0.16,0.38,0.24,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.24,0.45,0.84,0.73,1	91.9%
BOS 96, IND 99	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.4,0.3,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.28,0.21,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.27,0.1,0.15,0.22,0.38,0.28,0.67,0.73,1	91.7%