NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	88		Excitement	8.3 [226]		MVP	Brendan Haywood (WAS): +7.4%
Washington Wizards	95		Comeback	4.6 [528]		LVP	Chris Duhon (CHI): -26.2%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Adrian Griffin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	5	40%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Frank Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	7	56%	0.07	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	11	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Eddy Curry	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.02,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.05	0.00	13	56%	0.01	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Andres Nocioni	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	10	62%	0.00	3	-0.09	6	67%	0.00
Ben Gordon	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.07	-0.00	11	50%	0.01	6	-0.18	2	100%	0.01
Kirk Hinrich	-0.20	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2	-0.02	-0.16	0.02	9	65%	-0.06	4	-0.14	5	100%	0.02
Chris Duhon	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.15	-0.11	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	5	-0.21	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.07	0.00	4	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	7	56%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Michael Ruffin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	5	56%	0.01	2	-0.05	8	37%	-0.04
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.04,-0.02,-0.03,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	25	53%	0.01	3	-0.11	14	79%	0.02
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	6	17%	-0.11	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.21	-0.21	-0.13	-0.08	0.00	15	41%	-0.18	1	-0.03	14	71%	-0.04
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.14	-0.12	0.00	18	33%	-0.24	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.5	28.6	15.4	29.4	1.7	41.2	144.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI -28.5%

WAS +0.4%

WAS +16.9%

WAS +61.3%

CHI -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	WAS	NBA	CHI	WAS	NBA
this game	16.3	14.1	15.5	93.6	100.0	104.0
season	15.1	14.7		100.1	104.7
opponent	15.5	15.4		105.5	98.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.9	14.9	17.1	16.5	16.3
WAS	13.7	16.4	13.6	13.0	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Davis	63	62	0.06	-0.56	0.61	0.03	1	-8	9	17.2	14.6	2.58	15.0	12.5	2.50
Adrian Griffin	1	0	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.02	-2	-5	3	1.0	16.5	-15.51	0.0	14.1	-14.15
Luol Deng	46	46	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-4	1	16.8	15.9	0.87	12.6	15.6	-2.94
Ben Gordon	48	48	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-3	-1	16.9	15.8	1.09	14.5	13.8	0.75
Chris Duhon	69	69	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.30	4	-11	15	15.7	18.2	-2.48	14.3	13.8	0.41
Frank Williams	18	18	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.04	-8	1	-9	17.8	16.0	1.85	10.3	15.1	-4.77
Tyson Chandler	61	63	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.36	1	-8	9	15.7	17.5	-1.76	14.3	13.8	0.46
Kirk Hinrich	53	56	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.24	-5	-2	-3	16.2	16.5	-0.30	14.7	13.3	1.47
Andres Nocioni	52	53	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.30	-3	-4	1	15.3	17.6	-2.31	14.5	13.7	0.82
Eddy Curry	59	60	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.22	-16	9	-25	16.9	15.4	1.50	14.1	14.2	-0.13

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Hughes	70	69	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.27	14	-7	21	13.3	16.4	-3.06	16.0	17.2	-1.17
Gilbert Arenas	82	83	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.22	15	-8	23	14.4	12.8	1.51	16.7	13.7	2.96
Brendan Haywood	62	60	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.37	9	-2	11	14.1	14.2	-0.15	16.5	16.0	0.53
Jared Jeffries	46	46	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.25	10	-3	13	13.2	15.0	-1.76	16.0	16.7	-0.75
Antawn Jamison	90	87	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.32	5	2	3	14.1	15.8	-1.74	16.8	10.7	6.08
Jarvis Hayes	47	47	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.10	-4	11	-15	15.5	12.8	2.66	16.7	16.0	0.68
Kwame Brown	12	13	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.02	0	7	-7	13.2	14.3	-1.03	16.8	16.3	0.50
Anthony Peeler	21	20	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	-0.03	-3	10	-13	13.3	14.4	-1.05	12.4	17.4	-4.94
Michael Ruffin	26	26	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	-0.03	-4	11	-15	15.0	13.8	1.17	15.3	16.7	-1.37
Juan Dixon	19	19	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.03	-7	14	-21	16.0	13.7	2.32	18.5	15.8	2.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.28,0.32,0.27,0.25,0.19,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.29,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.84,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 87, LAC 95	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.3,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.26,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.65,0.61,0.38,0.63,0.86,0.95,1	93.1%
ORL 99, MIA 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.1,0.14,0.2,0.28,0.19,0.24,0.34,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.48,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.38,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.46,0.47,0.63,0.86,0.84,1	91.3%
WAS 97, UTA 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.33,0.24,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.41,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.26,0.33,0.34,0.28,0.36,0.47,0.39,0.45,0.54,0.69,0.72,1	91.2%