NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	107		Excitement	7.9 [290]		MVP	Fred Hoiberg (MIN): +11.3%
Golden State Warriors	99		Comeback	2.9 [205]		LVP	Troy Hudson (MIN): -18.2%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Hoiberg	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.07	0.00	3	83%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09	0.07	0.04	0.01	9	69%	0.09	0	0.00	11	91%	0.02
Michael Olowokandi	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	3	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	8	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.04	-0.00	15	47%	0.04	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Latrell Sprewell	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	17	44%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1	-0.01	-0.07	0.02	18	59%	0.02	4	-0.12	8	100%	0.05
Troy Hudson	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.06	-0.00	9	11%	-0.14	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.00	7	57%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	9	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Troy Murphy	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.02	17	64%	0.17	4	-0.15	5	80%	0.01
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	7	50%	0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06	-0.06	0.03	-0.11	-0.02	18	54%	0.02	1	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	12	43%	-0.09	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.04
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.05	-0.07	0.02	12	46%	-0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.4	2.7	30.1	15.8	24.2	2.6	31.4	127.1
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW -3.0%

MIN +16.5%

MIN +32.0%

MIN +4.8%

GSW -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	GSW	NBA	MIN	GSW	NBA
this game	14.7	14.9	15.5	109.2	102.1	104.0
season	15.8	15.0		106.2	102.3
opponent	15.2	15.9		104.7	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.5	15.4	15.3	12.6	14.7
GSW	13.9	14.0	14.7	16.9	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wally Szczerbiak	74	73	0.92	-0.42	1.33	0.27	22	-14	36	14.1	16.2	-2.10	15.4	13.3	2.11
Sam Cassell	74	74	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.23	17	-9	26	14.3	15.7	-1.44	15.3	13.5	1.78
Latrell Sprewell	73	74	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.14	19	-11	30	14.4	15.4	-0.99	15.5	12.7	2.80
Eddie Griffin	56	55	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.36	2	6	-4	13.6	16.1	-2.59	14.9	14.9	0.03
Kevin Garnett	88	85	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.04	12	-4	16	14.8	13.4	1.41	14.8	15.4	-0.62
Michael Olowokandi	21	22	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.24	-1	9	-10	16.0	14.3	1.64	15.3	14.7	0.57
Mark Madsen	31	32	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.11	3	5	-2	15.4	14.3	1.06	14.7	14.9	-0.19
Fred Hoiberg	24	24	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.04	-6	14	-20	15.6	14.4	1.22	13.4	15.4	-1.94
Troy Hudson	24	23	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.04	-9	17	-26	15.7	14.3	1.44	13.5	15.3	-1.78
Trenton Hassell	25	23	-0.48	0.98	-1.45	0.08	-19	27	-46	16.0	14.2	1.85	12.6	15.6	-2.97

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Calbert Cheaney	29	31	0.29	-0.79	1.08	-0.15	15	-23	38	13.2	15.6	-2.33	15.4	14.3	1.06
Adonal Foyle	36	37	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.05	8	-16	24	13.6	15.6	-2.06	15.1	14.4	0.76
Speedy Claxton	36	36	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.20	-12	4	-16	15.6	14.4	1.17	15.0	14.5	0.53
Mike Dunleavy	40	40	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.14	-12	4	-16	15.0	14.8	0.21	15.0	14.4	0.65
Derek Fisher	61	62	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.47	4	-12	16	14.4	15.6	-1.17	14.5	15.0	-0.53
Jason Richardson	81	80	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.26	-5	-3	-2	14.7	16.0	-1.35	14.8	13.8	1.02
Troy Murphy	91	92	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.32	-6	-2	-4	14.9	14.5	0.40	14.6	15.2	-0.54
Mickael Pietrus	44	45	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.26	-14	6	-20	16.2	13.7	2.51	13.5	15.7	-2.17
Clifford Robinson	67	67	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.16	-18	10	-28	15.5	13.4	2.14	14.4	15.1	-0.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.71,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.57,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.53,0.65,0.66,0.48,0.48,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.68,0.47,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 99, WAS 88	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.54,0.56,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.21,0.06,0.04,0	91.8%
TOR 89, WAS 86	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.15,0.32,0.08,0	91.5%
PHI 104, VAN 100	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.46,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.35,0.34,0.47,0.29,0.24,0.1,0	90.8%