NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	71		Excitement	4.9 [875]		MVP	Derek Anderson (POR): +5.9%
Portland Trail Blazers	83		Comeback	1.2 [1022]		LVP	Zach Randolph (POR): -20.9%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nenad Krstic	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.02	1	67%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Travis Best	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.01	0.04	12	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Awvee Storey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.01	0.03	11	58%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Zoran Planinic	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Buford	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	9	22%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Mourning	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	5	44%	-0.07	1	-0.01	6	17%	-0.09
Brian Scalabrine	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.03	-0.03	10	20%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.04	-0.03	0.08	18	50%	-0.10	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Jason Collins	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.16	-0.04	-0.01	8	17%	-0.12	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.03	-0.04	18	49%	0.10	1	-0.04	7	57%	-0.03
Travis Outlaw	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Geno Carlisle	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	11	55%	-0.00	2	-0.03	9	100%	0.02
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	42%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	4	40%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.11,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.24,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.15	-0.03	0.03	22	42%	-0.17	3	-0.04	11	64%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	1.8	32.0	14.8	27.2	2.5	29.3	129.1
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +24.1%

POR +8.8%

POR +18.0%

NJN -2.3%

POR +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	POR	NBA	NJN	POR	NBA
this game	15.8	16.9	15.5	80.7	94.3	104.0
season	16.0	15.8		99.2	101.2
opponent	15.6	15.6		105.4	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	16.9	13.2	16.9	16.9	15.8
POR	19.1	16.3	15.9	16.6	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Awvee Storey	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-14	16	8.0	15.9	-7.91	22.0	16.9	5.15
Jacque Vaughn	21	18	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-12	12	14.4	16.3	-1.89	15.8	17.2	-1.42
Nenad Krstic	25	24	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.08	2	-14	16	14.7	16.3	-1.53	14.4	17.9	-3.48
Zoran Planinic	19	20	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-10	8	12.9	16.6	-3.73	14.9	17.5	-2.60
Brian Scalabrine	51	52	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.01	-10	-2	-8	15.0	16.9	-1.85	15.7	18.7	-3.02
Alonzo Mourning	40	39	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.15	-5	-7	2	16.2	15.5	0.70	19.0	15.2	3.80
Rodney Buford	40	38	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.01	-11	-1	-10	15.6	16.0	-0.31	16.1	17.5	-1.41
Jason Collins	38	39	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.11	-7	-5	-2	17.8	14.3	3.42	19.7	14.7	4.95
Eric Williams	61	62	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.21	-4	-8	4	16.8	13.6	3.21	16.8	17.2	-0.35
Richard Jefferson	77	77	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.04	-13	1	-14	15.7	16.9	-1.25	17.0	16.3	0.73
Travis Best	67	70	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.13	-12	0	-12	16.3	14.4	1.89	17.2	15.8	1.42

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Anderson	71	72	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.05	14	-2	16	17.1	16.2	0.91	16.2	14.2	1.99
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	62	60	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.12	10	2	8	17.1	16.4	0.74	17.5	12.2	5.34
Zach Randolph	74	76	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.16	7	5	2	17.0	16.2	0.83	15.7	16.7	-1.08
Damon Stoudamire	44	46	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.05	10	2	8	18.1	15.7	2.41	16.7	14.9	1.75
Theo Ratliff	51	51	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.13	5	7	-2	19.0	14.1	4.93	15.9	15.7	0.20
Ruben Patterson	39	38	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.05	6	6	0	15.4	18.1	-2.74	13.8	17.3	-3.52
Darius Miles	40	39	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.05	5	7	-2	16.2	17.5	-1.30	15.2	16.3	-1.19
Nick Van Exel	43	42	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	8	-4	15.6	18.2	-2.64	14.7	16.8	-2.11
Joel Przybilla	11	11	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	9	-6	14.2	17.3	-3.12	17.4	15.6	1.77
Travis Outlaw	3	3	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	12	-12	7.3	17.2	-9.91	11.7	16.0	-4.30
Sebastian Telfair	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	14	-16	22.0	16.9	5.15	8.0	15.9	-7.91
Geno Carlisle	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	14	-16	22.0	16.9	5.15	8.0	15.9	-7.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.7,0.79,0.79,0.88,0.89,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 75, PHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.87,0.94,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
CLE 105, POR 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.72,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.81,0.73,0.74,0.83,0.92,0.88,0.77,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.9,0.97,0.98,1	94.6%
SAC 103, LAL 126	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.66,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.71,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.83,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%