inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Hornets 76 Excitement8.3 [228] MVPLee Nailon (NOH): +27.3%
Utah Jazz 75 Comeback1.4 [657] LVPAndrei Kirilenko (UTA): -50.4%


New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Lee Nailon0.270,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.270.050.21-0.01973%0.312-0.044100%0.07
Chris Andersen0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.010.00287%0.041-0.03475%-0.00
J.R. Smith-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
George Lynch-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Junior Harrington-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.03-0.011136%-0.031-0.0400%0.00
David West-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.03-0.00520%-0.0700.0000%0.00
P.J. Brown-0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.05-0.05-0.02825%-0.0900.0000%0.00
Matt Freije-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.09-0.04-0.0260%-0.1200.0000%0.00
Jamaal Magloire-0.150,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.07-0.10-0.021454%-0.014-0.14967%-0.03
Darrell Armstrong-0.170,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.17-0.02-0.17-0.021142%-0.1700.002100%0.02
David Wesley-0.280,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.19,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28-0.11-0.19-0.02941%-0.104-0.184100%0.02

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Howard Eisley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.030.070.00480%0.151-0.05250%-0.01
Kirk Snyder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jarron Collins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.000.00-0.00167%-0.0000.00450%-0.02
Curtis Borchardt0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.000.000100%0.011-0.022100%0.01
Carlos Boozer0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.09-0.02-0.021033%-0.071-0.024100%0.02
Mehmet Okur0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.2,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.07-0.07-0.011236%-0.1300.00450%-0.04
Gordan Giricek0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16-0.16-0.04-0.110.011045%-0.092-0.0600%0.00
Raja Bell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.05-0.120.00737%-0.081-0.082100%0.01
Carlos Arroyo0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.2,-0.36,-0.36-0.36-0.12-0.25-0.01853%0.026-0.37367%0.00
Andrei Kirilenko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.5-0.50-0.06-0.45-0.011449%-0.462-0.04967%-0.44
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.01.828.326.325.52.631.2142.7
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA -18.0%
NOH +29.2%
NOH +12.3%
NOH +20.4%
NOH +6.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOHUTANBANOHUTANBA
this game17.916.015.589.488.2104.0
season16.516.797.7102.3
opponent15.115.7106.7105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOH16.517.518.119.517.9
UTA18.716.013.216.516.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
David Wesley58600.72-0.220.940.488-71518.516.52.0216.115.60.49
P.J. Brown68670.58-0.080.660.522-1317.121.1-4.0315.816.8-1.07
Darrell Armstrong64650.340.160.170.39-23-517.818.1-0.2715.617.3-1.72
Jamaal Magloire57590.320.180.150.098-71518.516.71.7115.716.7-1.01
David West17180.310.190.120.34-12-321.117.14.0316.815.81.07
Lee Nailon49520.300.200.100.42-45-918.417.21.2615.616.7-1.11
George Lynch25220.120.38-0.260.1201-118.417.70.6616.815.71.12
J.R. Smith980.070.43-0.37-0.023-2515.718.2-2.4916.016.00.01
Matt Freije16150.030.47-0.43-0.063-2514.118.8-4.7216.016.00.01
Junior Harrington3937-0.120.62-0.740.09-78-1517.618.2-0.6116.515.60.83
Chris Andersen2322-0.170.67-0.83-0.02-56-1117.518.0-0.5117.015.61.37

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Howard Eisley25240.09-0.590.680.061-2317.315.41.8919.417.32.06
Curtis Borchardt1515-0.03-0.470.45-0.030-1115.316.1-0.8020.017.42.56
Mehmet Okur5352-0.06-0.440.37-0.339-101915.716.5-0.8717.718.1-0.37
Kirk Snyder89-0.07-0.430.370.02-32-516.016.00.0115.718.2-2.49
Jarron Collins2526-0.22-0.280.060.08-109-1917.315.41.8318.017.80.21
Gordan Giricek5555-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.507-81515.616.8-1.2018.017.80.20
Andrei Kirilenko7472-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.444-5915.916.9-1.0618.017.20.87
Raja Bell3435-0.50-0.00-0.50-0.23-98-1717.015.31.6418.617.41.15
Carlos Boozer7676-0.520.01-0.53-0.46-21-315.916.6-0.6317.322.9-5.59
Carlos Arroyo6061-0.590.09-0.68-0.53-21-315.417.3-1.8917.319.4-2.06


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.12,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.46,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.45,0.26,0
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 76, TOR 740.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.27,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.21,0.17,0.22,0.26,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.4,0.32,0.28,0.32,0.17,091.9%
POR 100, MIL 990.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.2,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.08,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.22,0.24,0.43,091.7%
NYK 103, MIL 980.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.23,0.24,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.35,0.29,0.34,0.24,0.18,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.18,0.23,0.29,0.25,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.37,0.59,0.47,0.39,0.19,0.28,0.45,0.16,091.6%