NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	89		Excitement	5.7 [715]		MVP	Tracy McGrady (HOU): +6.7%
Memphis Grizzlies	81		Comeback	1.2 [525]		LVP	Pau Gasol (MEM): -19.1%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.00	0.04	-0.02	19	60%	0.15	4	-0.08	12	92%	0.05
Jim Jackson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	10	67%	0.12	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Maurice Taylor	0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	69%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Tyronn Lue	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	87%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Yao Ming	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	7	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Scott Padgett	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14	-0.16	-0.01	-0.04	16	30%	-0.06	2	-0.07	5	60%	-0.02

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Williams	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	-0.00	-0.02	10	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	7	50%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	10	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	10	70%	-0.01
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	3	44%	-0.04	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	10	39%	-0.07	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.13	-0.05	-0.01	9	11%	-0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-0.05	-0.02	4	37%	-0.01	6	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.19,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.07	-0.05	0.07	14	57%	-0.08	5	-0.11	9	78%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	2.5	36.3	16.7	29.0	2.4	35.3	151.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +63.1%

HOU +3.7%

MEM -4.0%

MEM -12.3%

MEM -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MEM	NBA	HOU	MEM	NBA
this game	17.6	15.7	15.5	102.3	94.2	104.0
season	16.0	16.4		104.2	103.7
opponent	15.5	15.8		101.9	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	17.6	17.3	16.0	19.6	17.6
MEM	16.7	15.5	16.0	14.7	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy McGrady	76	75	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.27	13	-5	18	17.4	18.9	-1.51	15.8	14.7	1.11
Maurice Taylor	35	37	0.61	-0.11	0.71	-0.07	23	-15	38	14.4	19.7	-5.28	18.8	13.4	5.42
Charlie Ward	40	39	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.07	11	-3	14	15.5	19.4	-3.86	16.4	15.1	1.35
Yao Ming	40	42	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.12	8	0	8	16.1	18.9	-2.80	16.1	15.3	0.87
Jim Jackson	68	66	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.14	6	2	4	17.0	19.6	-2.55	15.9	15.1	0.78
Dikembe Mutombo	47	43	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.19	0	8	-8	18.9	16.1	2.80	15.6	15.8	-0.28
Tyronn Lue	47	47	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.19	-3	11	-14	19.4	15.5	3.86	15.1	16.4	-1.35
Ryan Bowen	5	4	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.03	0	8	-8	17.8	17.6	0.23	11.0	15.9	-4.93
Bostjan Nachbar	25	27	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	11	-14	19.6	16.8	2.88	15.6	15.8	-0.21
Scott Padgett	0	1	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.05	0	8	-8	0.0	17.6	-17.59	3.0	15.8	-12.85
Juwan Howard	52	49	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.33	-15	23	-38	19.7	14.4	5.28	13.4	18.8	-5.42

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Cardinal	29	29	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.18	9	-17	26	15.7	15.7	-0.01	18.4	17.2	1.29
Shane Battier	51	52	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.30	12	-20	32	13.8	18.5	-4.70	18.1	16.9	1.17
Stromile Swift	40	41	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.29	11	-19	30	13.2	17.9	-4.72	18.1	17.1	0.97
Mike Miller	40	41	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.29	11	-19	30	13.2	17.9	-4.72	18.1	17.1	0.97
Earl Watson	28	29	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.25	4	-12	16	15.5	15.8	-0.24	18.9	16.9	1.91
Jason Williams	58	58	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.02	-12	4	-16	15.8	15.5	0.24	16.9	18.9	-1.91
Lorenzen Wright	46	46	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	0.02	-19	11	-30	17.9	13.2	4.72	17.1	18.1	-0.97
Bonzi Wells	46	46	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	0.02	-19	11	-30	17.9	13.2	4.72	17.1	18.1	-0.97
James Posey	35	35	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	0.03	-20	12	-32	18.5	13.8	4.70	16.9	18.1	-1.17
Pau Gasol	57	58	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.08	-17	9	-26	15.7	15.7	0.01	17.2	18.4	-1.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.32,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.22,0.3,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 95, SEA 77	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.47,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.24,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.11,0.15,0.05,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.1%
LAC 113, CHA 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0	93.8%
MEM 103, CLE 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.3,0.21,0.32,0.29,0.16,0.21,0.16,0.18,0.1,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.23,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0	93.8%