NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	113		Excitement	4.9 [837]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (LAC): +14.1%
Charlotte Hornets	92		Comeback	1.1 [942]		LVP	Lance Stephenson (CHA): -14.0%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.16	0.04	0.06	13	81%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.04	0.03	16	69%	0.16	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.01	8	62%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	2	75%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	4	50%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.11	-0.00	0.10	12	63%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.01	0.03	5	79%	0.06	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Spencer Hawes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	23	45%	0.01	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.01	-0.00	7	77%	0.17	2	-0.07	8	87%	0.03
Brian Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.01	9	61%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	83%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.03	11	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	58%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.03	14	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	7	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	11	33%	-0.10	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	0.00	8	17%	-0.12	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	2.3	27.5	16.4	26.5	2.4	30.6	129.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +69.3%

CHA -21.6%

LAC +11.1%

CHA -9.4%

LAC +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	CHA	NBA	LAC	CHA	NBA
this game	16.0	16.2	15.1	127.0	102.2	104.2
season	14.6	15.6		110.5	98.9
opponent	15.1	15.3		102.6	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.7	16.8	15.6	17.0	16.0
CHA	16.6	15.3	17.9	15.0	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	68	69	0.73	-0.23	0.96	-0.24	33	-12	45	16.2	15.4	0.76	16.9	13.6	3.32
Blake Griffin	67	69	0.71	-0.21	0.91	-0.20	31	-10	41	16.3	15.1	1.22	17.3	12.4	4.94
JJ Redick	62	61	0.70	-0.20	0.90	-0.24	32	-11	43	16.4	15.2	1.13	17.7	13.0	4.72
DeAndre Jordan	70	70	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.19	27	-6	33	16.6	13.8	2.82	17.2	12.4	4.78
Reggie Bullock	34	35	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.03	11	10	1	16.1	16.0	0.12	18.3	14.8	3.56
Jamal Crawford	51	52	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.09	6	15	-9	16.0	16.0	0.02	14.1	18.9	-4.81
Spencer Hawes	19	20	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.07	-6	27	-33	13.8	16.6	-2.82	12.4	17.2	-4.78
Hedo Turkoglu	27	27	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.16	-9	30	-39	15.9	16.1	-0.23	14.6	16.8	-2.20
Jordan Farmar	25	26	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.09	-10	31	-41	14.7	16.5	-1.80	13.3	17.3	-4.07
Glen Davis	22	21	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.09	-10	31	-41	15.1	16.3	-1.22	12.4	17.3	-4.94

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bismack Biyombo	33	33	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.17	7	-28	35	13.7	17.6	-3.85	15.7	16.2	-0.45
Jannero Pargo	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.21	-7	-14	7	11.7	16.3	-4.66	15.2	16.0	-0.80
Gary Neal	29	27	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.09	0	-21	21	14.4	17.0	-2.54	15.5	16.2	-0.71
Brian Roberts	52	52	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.06	-7	-14	7	14.8	18.0	-3.17	16.2	15.7	0.48
Lance Stephenson	52	50	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.02	-7	-14	7	17.1	14.9	2.16	16.0	16.0	0.07
Marvin Williams	35	34	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.33	-19	-2	-17	16.7	15.8	0.85	16.5	15.7	0.84
Cody Zeller	55	55	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.21	-2	-19	17	15.8	16.7	-0.85	15.7	16.5	-0.84
Gerald Henderson	58	58	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.00	-14	-7	-7	17.3	14.2	3.07	16.3	15.5	0.81
Al Jefferson	57	56	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.28	-28	7	-35	17.6	13.7	3.85	16.2	15.7	0.45
Kemba Walker	76	76	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	0.20	-28	7	-35	16.5	14.6	1.89	15.9	16.9	-1.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 83, IND 65	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.24,0.16,0.17,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.16,0.19,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	95.5%
CLE 102, PHX 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.24,0.35,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.15,0.08,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.01,0,0,0	95.1%
SAC 95, SEA 77	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.47,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.24,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.11,0.15,0.05,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.6%