NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	98		Excitement	7.1 [431]		MVP	Kyle Korver (PHI): +14.9%
Boston Celtics	95		Comeback	22.1 [24]		LVP	Mark Blount (BOS): -24.3%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.06	0.08	-0.01	8	71%	0.17	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.04
Allen Iverson	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.06	0.07	22	61%	0.11	3	-0.07	5	20%	-0.05
Willie Green	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04	-0.08	0.09	-0.03	11	42%	0.09	3	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Marc Jackson	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	8	71%	0.05	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Josh Davis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	73%	0.04	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Aaron McKie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kedrick Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	14	37%	-0.06	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.03	0.10	-0.01	6	67%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.01	0.03	7	71%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.01	9	67%	0.06	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Jiri Welsch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	5	43%	0.02	1	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.15	-0.15	-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	4	67%	-0.06	4	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23	-0.23	-0.08	-0.16	-0.00	23	55%	-0.07	5	-0.17	18	78%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.02	-0.21	0.01	10	50%	-0.22	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	0.5	31.1	15.8	30.2	2.5	30.5	137.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +38.4%

PHI +3.3%

BOS -4.3%

PHI +11.7%

PHI +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	BOS	NBA	PHI	BOS	NBA
this game	15.8	15.0	15.5	104.3	102.2	104.0
season	13.9	14.4		101.1	104.7
opponent	16.0	15.8		104.1	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.6	17.4	16.3	14.6	15.8
BOS	16.0	11.4	13.1	20.6	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	46	47	1.03	-0.53	1.57	0.48	19	-16	35	14.7	16.9	-2.18	16.5	13.4	3.12
Samuel Dalembert	44	42	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.44	15	-12	27	14.6	16.8	-2.20	17.9	12.6	5.36
Willie Green	67	64	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.47	10	-7	17	15.4	16.8	-1.41	15.5	13.9	1.64
Allen Iverson	84	82	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.44	0	3	-3	16.0	14.4	1.58	15.2	13.5	1.64
Kenny Thomas	71	71	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.46	-1	4	-5	16.4	13.9	2.51	14.8	15.5	-0.73
Corliss Williamson	23	22	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.05	4	-1	5	13.9	16.4	-2.51	15.5	14.8	0.73
Josh Davis	1	1	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	6	-9	0.0	16.0	-15.98	4.0	15.1	-11.11
Brian Skinner	7	7	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.04	-2	5	-7	17.4	15.7	1.75	13.3	15.1	-1.84
Kedrick Brown	12	13	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.05	-7	10	-17	17.1	15.6	1.46	10.0	15.8	-5.80
Aaron McKie	32	34	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.14	-2	5	-7	17.0	15.2	1.76	13.5	15.8	-2.35
Marc Jackson	42	43	-0.34	0.84	-1.19	-0.14	-7	10	-17	17.1	14.7	2.41	12.7	17.0	-4.35
Andre Iguodala	41	39	-0.38	0.88	-1.25	-0.05	-11	14	-25	16.1	15.6	0.51	14.8	15.1	-0.25

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Jefferson	7	6	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-1	-1	11.6	15.3	-3.70	17.8	15.7	2.16
Tom Gugliotta	23	23	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.11	-7	4	-11	14.7	15.1	-0.39	14.9	16.1	-1.19
Walter McCarty	30	31	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.25	5	-8	13	13.6	15.7	-2.05	16.6	15.4	1.20
Marcus Banks	12	12	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.00	-4	1	-5	14.2	15.1	-0.94	11.7	16.4	-4.65
Paul Pierce	80	80	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.54	13	-16	29	14.6	17.2	-2.52	16.2	13.8	2.38
Jiri Welsch	48	47	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.10	-10	7	-17	15.0	14.9	0.11	14.6	17.0	-2.38
Mark Blount	73	75	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.46	8	-11	19	15.1	14.7	0.30	15.9	15.4	0.49
Tony Allen	12	13	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.06	-11	8	-19	16.9	14.7	2.21	14.0	16.1	-2.10
Gary Payton	51	53	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.50	7	-10	17	14.8	15.2	-0.41	17.1	14.1	2.95
Ricky Davis	76	77	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.36	-4	1	-5	15.3	13.7	1.57	16.2	13.9	2.28
Raef LaFrentz	53	53	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.27	-10	7	-17	16.3	13.3	2.96	15.4	16.4	-1.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.23,0.31,0.32,0.27,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.65,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.85,0.92,0.9,0.86,0.71,0.62,0.74,0.85,0.83,0.56,0.29,0.23,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 83, VAN 79	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.24,0.3,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.69,0.76,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.74,0.71,0.8,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.6,0.38,0.54,0.55,0.18,0	88.4%
UTA 97, DET 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.58,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.77,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.86,0.88,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.55,0.48,0.32,0.08,0	88.1%
IND 79, WAS 76	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.51,0.4,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.74,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.88,0.91,0.69,0.22,0.16,0.04,0	87.8%