NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	107		Excitement	2.3 [1238]		MVP	Sam Cassell (MIN): +8.5%
Memphis Grizzlies	90		Comeback	1.0 [594]		LVP	Bonzi Wells (MEM): -8.4%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.12	0.00	0.03	9	85%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.15	0.00	0.08	13	76%	0.08	0	0.00	8	100%	0.01
Latrell Sprewell	0.07	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	-0.00	0.02	13	71%	0.09	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	0.00	0.06	11	77%	0.05	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	9	45%	0.02	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oliver Miller	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	2	17%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.00	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	62%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Ervin Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	1	50%	-0.00	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	7	40%	-0.04	2	-0.02	6	67%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	8	61%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	2	78%	0.00	0	0.00	5	100%	0.00
Theron Smith	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Humphrey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	7	47%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	12	48%	-0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.10	0.00	-0.07	3	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.01	15	47%	-0.03	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	0.00	10	53%	-0.01	3	-0.06	10	80%	-0.01
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	0.03	10	40%	-0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	31.3	16.5	30.2	2.4	30.1	137.1
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +37.6%

MIN +3.9%

MIN +9.7%

MIN +0.1%

MEM -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	MEM	NBA	MIN	MEM	NBA
this game	16.3	15.9	15.7	120.2	100.0	100.5
season	15.6	15.3		103.2	102.3
opponent	15.7	16.1		100.5	98.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.8	13.5	16.3	19.7	16.3
MEM	20.2	16.5	15.0	12.5	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	57	58	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.32	28	-11	39	15.3	18.0	-2.67	17.1	13.7	3.42
Latrell Sprewell	54	53	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.05	14	3	11	15.7	17.1	-1.36	17.0	14.4	2.67
Wally Szczerbiak	58	58	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.06	10	7	3	16.2	16.5	-0.30	14.8	18.0	-3.22
Sam Cassell	45	45	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.11	15	2	13	15.4	17.2	-1.78	17.8	14.1	3.67
Michael Olowokandi	52	51	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.22	15	2	13	16.7	15.6	1.18	17.0	14.5	2.49
Mark Madsen	39	39	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.02	7	10	-3	15.5	16.8	-1.33	15.9	15.9	0.00
Darrick Martin	44	45	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.11	2	15	-13	17.2	15.4	1.78	14.1	17.8	-3.67
Trenton Hassell	31	32	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.06	7	10	-3	16.5	16.2	0.30	18.0	14.8	3.22
Fred Hoiberg	35	38	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.05	3	14	-11	17.1	15.7	1.36	14.0	17.3	-3.37
Ervin Johnson	12	13	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.05	0	17	-17	16.7	16.2	0.47	17.1	15.7	1.35
Oliver Miller	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	25	-33	19.2	15.9	3.30	9.0	16.7	-7.69
Gary Trent	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	25	-33	19.2	15.9	3.30	9.0	16.7	-7.69

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Theron Smith	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-18	19	5.0	16.0	-11.04	19.5	16.2	3.32
Ryan Humphrey	11	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.29	10	-27	37	10.6	16.7	-6.02	19.8	15.8	3.99
Bo Outlaw	38	37	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.08	2	-19	21	14.2	17.2	-3.05	17.2	15.6	1.64
Earl Watson	45	45	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.19	1	-18	19	14.7	17.2	-2.51	17.1	15.4	1.77
James Posey	49	48	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.05	-4	-13	9	16.5	15.3	1.20	16.9	15.5	1.43
Mike Miller	47	46	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.01	-6	-11	5	16.8	15.0	1.86	17.2	15.3	1.89
Lorenzen Wright	55	55	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.01	-8	-9	1	16.5	15.0	1.56	16.6	15.7	0.89
Shane Battier	41	41	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	-4	-9	15.3	16.5	-1.20	15.5	16.9	-1.43
Stromile Swift	29	29	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.28	-21	4	-25	16.8	15.5	1.34	13.5	17.6	-4.07
Bonzi Wells	35	35	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.16	-17	0	-17	16.4	15.6	0.78	14.5	17.4	-2.83
Jason Williams	45	44	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.18	-18	1	-19	17.2	14.7	2.51	15.4	17.1	-1.77
Pau Gasol	54	53	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	-5	-7	16.3	15.4	0.84	16.3	16.2	0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.24,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 105, OKC 80	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.33,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%
GSW 115, HOU 80	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.24,0.28,0.17,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
DAL 118, ORL 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%