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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Hornets 92 Excitement7.6 [289] MVPToni Kukoc (MIL): +11.9%
Milwaukee Bucks 87 Comeback2.0 [338] LVPBrevin Knight (MIL): -22.9%


New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Steven Smith0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.020.060.00460%0.0800.00250%-0.03
Robert Traylor0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.020.050.00475%0.111-0.0400%0.00
Jamaal Magloire0.060,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06-0.010.07-0.001168%0.184-0.121675%-0.03
P.J. Brown0.050,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.050.06-0.01-0.001363%0.121-0.06475%0.00
David West-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.00-0.00333%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Maurice Carter-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.000.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
George Lynch-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.0030%-0.0400.0000%0.00
David Wesley-0.070,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.000.021046%-0.041-0.03425%-0.04
Stacey Augmon-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14-0.08-0.050.01840%-0.082-0.054100%0.02
Shammond Williams-0.190,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19-0.08-0.100.021447%-0.064-0.142100%0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Toni Kukoc0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.020.08-0.02850%0.1200.0000%0.00
Joe Smith0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.03-0.01-0.011656%0.071-0.044100%0.03
Keith Van Horn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.010.01-0.020.02-0.00450%0.031-0.022100%0.01
Dan Gadzuric00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Desmond Mason0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.021045%0.021-0.022100%0.01
Brian Skinner0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.060.02-0.060.02959%-0.011-0.05475%0.00
Damon Jones0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.12-0.12-0.12-0.02-0.01825%-0.063-0.0600%0.00
Michael Redd0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.04-0.090.022151%-0.082-0.0711100%0.11
Brevin Knight0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23-0.23-0.10-0.120.0040%-0.152-0.0800%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.32.731.216.627.22.541.3143.8
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOH +52.8%
MIL -13.3%
NOH +13.7%
MIL -8.4%
NOH +5.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOHMILNBANOHMILNBA
this game16.616.915.7107.0101.2100.5
season16.015.399.3103.6
opponent15.515.7103.399.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOH17.316.415.317.316.6
MIL17.017.017.516.216.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamaal Magloire67690.68-0.180.860.3312-71916.616.50.1117.315.51.82
Stacey Augmon65660.59-0.090.680.387-2915.719.3-3.6717.116.30.82
David Wesley69700.460.040.420.286-1716.815.80.9917.315.41.91
Shammond Williams72730.400.100.300.2841315.820.3-4.4516.817.8-0.99
P.J. Brown71700.280.220.060.34-27-916.815.41.4016.917.2-0.32
Steven Smith17150.230.27-0.04-0.008-31116.116.7-0.5518.016.71.30
Robert Traylor19180.050.45-0.400.0505-516.116.7-0.6517.616.80.79
George Lynch28250.030.47-0.440.09-27-917.716.01.7116.417.1-0.69
David West1415-0.090.59-0.69-0.03-27-917.016.50.5314.817.4-2.58
Maurice Carter89-0.130.63-0.760.05-611-1723.615.87.7913.617.3-3.77

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Joe Smith60600.20-0.700.91-0.0910-152516.418.2-1.8116.616.30.30
Desmond Mason65640.11-0.610.72-0.014-91317.216.20.9217.513.83.74
Brevin Knight20200.00-0.500.50-0.031-6716.817.0-0.1721.215.16.11
Dan Gadzuric1211-0.05-0.450.400.07-4-1-316.916.9-0.0212.817.1-4.29
Brian Skinner6566-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.35-3-2-117.515.12.4317.015.21.77
Damon Jones6666-0.500.00-0.50-0.32-61-717.016.80.1715.121.2-6.11
Michael Redd6768-0.510.01-0.53-0.34-61-717.216.11.1315.520.7-5.27
Keith Van Horn4040-0.600.10-0.69-0.36-83-1116.117.6-1.4616.916.30.64
Toni Kukoc3535-0.710.21-0.92-0.33-138-2116.817.0-0.2716.816.40.41


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.28,0.3,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.25,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.63,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.41,0.59,0.47,0.38,0.15,0.15,0.1,0
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 111, WAS 1080.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.62,0.55,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.26,0.31,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.36,0.47,0.46,0.61,0.21,0.14,0.01,092.6%
DEN 111, LAL 1050.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.7,0.68,0.5,0.38,0.47,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.59,0.39,0.45,0.22,0.1,0.16,092.2%
UTA 109, ATL 1020.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.24,0.11,0.15,0.01,092.2%