NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	94		Excitement	8.3 [196]		MVP	Sam Cassell (MIN): +25.2%
Houston Rockets	88		Comeback	3.1 [265]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (MIN): -13.9%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0.25	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.25,0.25	0.01	0.25	0.01	14	69%	0.40	5	-0.15	7	86%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0.20	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,0.2	0.02	0.19	0.01	18	60%	0.30	3	-0.10	9	100%	0.16
Ervin Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	9	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mark Madsen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14	-0.09	-0.06	-0.00	18	37%	-0.11	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.04

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yao Ming	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.08	-0.01	14	57%	0.17	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.08	0.08	-0.08	0.16	-0.00	11	61%	0.22	6	-0.14	6	50%	-0.05
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	18	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.02	-0.08	0.00	11	70%	0.13	4	-0.19	1	100%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	17	49%	-0.02	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	4	30%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.0	28.4	16.3	26.4	2.5	36.6	134.4
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU -0.0%

MIN +38.4%

HOU -15.2%

MIN +25.3%

MIN +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	HOU	NBA	MIN	HOU	NBA
this game	15.8	15.3	15.7	102.2	94.6	100.5
season	15.6	16.5		103.2	98.8
opponent	15.6	16.1		97.1	98.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.7	15.0	14.8	19.4	15.8
HOU	15.9	15.6	14.0	15.9	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trenton Hassell	53	54	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.39	16	-10	26	14.4	17.8	-3.37	14.3	16.8	-2.51
Latrell Sprewell	77	78	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.28	10	-4	14	16.1	14.3	1.86	15.6	13.9	1.72
Sam Cassell	71	72	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.18	9	-3	12	15.5	16.9	-1.34	15.2	15.9	-0.70
Ervin Johnson	60	57	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.19	6	0	6	16.0	15.5	0.50	14.9	15.9	-0.99
Kevin Garnett	78	78	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.18	6	0	6	15.5	17.5	-1.97	14.5	19.5	-5.03
Michael Olowokandi	15	16	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.18	2	4	-2	19.3	15.1	4.19	19.7	14.4	5.36
Mark Madsen	20	22	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.14	0	6	-6	17.1	15.5	1.63	18.6	14.3	4.30
Troy Hudson	21	21	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.14	-3	9	-12	16.9	15.5	1.34	15.9	15.2	0.70
Fred Hoiberg	20	21	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	11	-16	13.9	16.3	-2.40	14.5	15.5	-1.02
Gary Trent	10	11	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.00	-4	10	-14	10.8	16.4	-5.64	12.2	15.7	-3.55
Wally Szczerbiak	35	35	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	-0.12	-7	13	-20	18.0	14.5	3.46	16.1	14.8	1.29

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Jackson	19	19	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.05	6	-12	18	16.3	15.1	1.20	14.4	16.2	-1.84
Bostjan Nachbar	9	9	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.01	4	-10	14	15.8	15.3	0.52	16.1	15.8	0.32
Clar. Weatherspoon	37	35	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.01	4	-10	14	14.5	15.9	-1.42	15.4	16.1	-0.64
Maurice Taylor	78	78	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.35	-3	-3	0	15.2	15.7	-0.42	15.5	17.6	-2.14
Jim Jackson	87	87	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.30	-8	2	-10	15.2	16.7	-1.45	15.8	16.0	-0.18
Cuttino Mobley	90	88	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.34	-8	2	-10	15.4	14.0	1.36	15.8	16.2	-0.44
Steve Francis	74	73	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.27	-12	6	-18	15.1	16.3	-1.20	16.2	14.4	1.84
Yao Ming	71	71	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.29	-13	7	-20	15.8	13.6	2.19	16.4	14.0	2.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.23,0.14,0.15,0.27,0.47,0.46,0.76,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 107, CHA 105	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.57,0.48,0.38,0.12,0.17,0.29,0.33,0.19,0.45,0.45,0.16,0	91.1%
MIN 91, UTA 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.32,0.33,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.26,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.29,0.57,0.08,0	91.1%
NOP 101, CHA 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.25,0.33,0.29,0.45,0.34,0.26,0	90.8%