NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	76		Excitement	1.6 [1268]		MVP	Hedo Turkoglu (SAS): +5.4%
San Antonio Spurs	105		Comeback	1.1 [1112]		LVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): -7.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donnell Harvey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	6	57%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Antonio McDyess	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Maciej Lampe	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.05	10	60%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Casey Jacobsen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02	1	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.10	0.00	-0.09	19	44%	0.00	3	-0.02	7	57%	-0.00
Zarko Cabarkapa	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	7	29%	-0.03	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.12	-0.00	-0.06	19	35%	-0.06	1	-0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Shawn Marion	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	0.00	-0.02	9	33%	-0.04	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.01	9	70%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	8	56%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	10	64%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	0.00	0.06	5	90%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	8	56%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	7	44%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.08	0.00	0.08	8	71%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	55%	-0.00	1	-0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	44%	-0.00	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	11	36%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	6	33%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	28.5	0.6	23.1	1.7	23.3	102.9
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +29.5%

SAS +4.0%

SAS +11.5%

SAS +1.9%

SAS +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAS	NBA	PHX	SAS	NBA
this game	16.5	16.0	15.7	85.4	119.3	100.5
season	14.6	15.9		99.6	100.1
opponent	15.8	15.9		92.7	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	17.8	17.5	15.7	15.1	16.5
SAS	14.1	16.8	15.6	17.6	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donnell Harvey	34	35	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.14	1	-30	31	15.4	17.3	-1.90	17.1	15.3	1.78
Zarko Cabarkapa	39	38	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-26	23	15.6	17.3	-1.72	16.7	15.5	1.23
Maciej Lampe	54	53	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	-20	11	15.6	18.0	-2.47	16.4	15.5	0.92
Antonio McDyess	32	32	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.33	-20	-9	-11	18.2	15.6	2.64	15.2	16.4	-1.20
Amar'e Stoudemire	60	57	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.46	-29	0	-29	17.2	15.1	2.06	15.5	16.9	-1.43
Casey Jacobsen	77	77	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.34	-25	-4	-21	16.5	16.7	-0.16	15.9	16.5	-0.61
Shawn Marion	60	60	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.45	-31	2	-33	17.1	15.2	1.91	15.6	16.9	-1.29
Joe Johnson	89	88	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.35	-29	0	-29	16.5	0.0	16.53	16.0	0.0	16.01

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Parker	50	51	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.60	36	-7	43	15.0	17.4	-2.43	17.5	15.2	2.35
Tim Duncan	33	35	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.45	27	2	25	13.9	17.3	-3.32	17.8	15.7	2.05
Bruce Bowen	43	43	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.60	32	-3	35	15.4	16.6	-1.11	17.3	15.8	1.54
Hedo Turkoglu	40	39	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.29	21	8	13	15.3	16.6	-1.26	17.9	15.4	2.53
Rasho Nesterovic	39	37	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.49	27	2	25	15.7	16.2	-0.53	17.0	16.2	0.85
Malik Rose	43	42	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.14	13	16	-3	16.1	15.9	0.25	16.9	16.2	0.62
Manu Ginobili	37	38	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.14	13	16	-3	15.5	16.4	-0.91	16.7	16.4	0.27
Devin Brown	43	45	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.25	-4	33	-37	16.9	15.2	1.75	15.2	17.9	-2.78
Robert Horry	31	33	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.14	-2	31	-33	17.4	15.2	2.17	15.4	17.2	-1.80
Kevin Willis	30	31	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.24	-7	36	-43	17.0	15.5	1.55	15.3	17.2	-1.90
Jason Hart	29	29	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.18	-6	35	-41	17.7	15.2	2.55	14.7	17.4	-2.73
Charlie Ward	22	22	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	34	-39	17.6	15.5	2.17	15.1	17.0	-1.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 90, DAL 115	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.89,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.3%
UTA 67, LAL 113	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.1%
UTA 76, SAS 109	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.1%