NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	76		Excitement	1.5 [1313]		MVP	Bruce Bowen (SAS): +6.1%
San Antonio Spurs	109		Comeback	1.0 [1245]		LVP	Matt Harpring (UTA): -5.2%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarron Collins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.03	9	56%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keith McLeod	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	5	60%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	9	61%	-0.01	1	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	0.00	0.05	6	58%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	10	30%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.09	-0.00	-0.07	5	40%	-0.02	4	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Snyder	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	3	60%	-0.01	2	-0.01	4	50%	0.00
Raja Bell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	11	56%	-0.02	5	-0.03	5	60%	-0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	4	92%	0.07	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.11	0.00	0.05	6	88%	0.05	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	6	64%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	9	67%	0.03	3	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	1	100%	0.02	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mike Wilks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	4	50%	-0.00	3	-0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	7	78%	0.02	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	6	80%	0.01	2	-0.02	8	100%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	10	44%	-0.02	2	-0.01	7	57%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.5	27.3	16.5	29.4	2.4	31.5	132.3
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +39.0%

SAS +3.7%

SAS +2.7%

UTA -0.2%

SAS +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SAS	NBA	UTA	SAS	NBA
this game	18.0	14.9	15.5	87.4	123.9	104.0
season	16.7	16.3		102.3	105.8
opponent	15.6	15.1		98.4	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	19.2	15.8	18.1	19.1	18.0
SAS	15.0	14.2	15.5	15.2	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith McLeod	18	17	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-29	25	15.1	18.7	-3.63	12.8	15.5	-2.63
Kirk Snyder	46	46	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.16	-8	-25	17	17.3	18.8	-1.50	13.8	16.1	-2.30
Mehmet Okur	38	38	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.12	-10	-23	13	17.3	18.6	-1.29	14.7	15.1	-0.41
Carlos Arroyo	31	32	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.04	-8	-25	17	18.9	17.5	1.47	15.5	14.6	0.92
Gordan Giricek	53	53	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.20	-14	-19	5	19.0	16.4	2.64	14.8	15.2	-0.43
Howard Eisley	38	39	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.39	-21	-12	-9	18.6	17.5	1.05	15.4	14.6	0.79
Matt Harpring	51	54	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.06	-6	-27	21	18.2	17.7	0.55	16.0	13.2	2.78
Andrei Kirilenko	15	15	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.18	-16	-17	1	20.4	17.5	2.91	16.3	14.7	1.68
Raja Bell	31	32	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.30	-20	-13	-7	16.6	18.7	-2.09	14.7	15.1	-0.40
Carlos Boozer	55	55	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.51	-29	-4	-25	17.1	19.6	-2.49	14.9	15.1	-0.24
Jarron Collins	59	59	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.47	-29	-4	-25	18.8	16.2	2.62	15.0	14.9	0.12

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasho Nesterovic	45	46	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.31	25	8	17	14.7	15.2	-0.43	17.7	18.4	-0.71
Bruce Bowen	50	51	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.28	22	11	11	15.1	14.8	0.32	17.4	18.8	-1.39
Tim Duncan	50	49	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.23	20	13	7	15.2	14.6	0.59	17.4	18.8	-1.42
Manu Ginobili	40	38	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.33	23	10	13	16.6	13.6	2.99	17.7	18.2	-0.45
Beno Udrih	39	37	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.13	15	18	-3	14.8	15.1	-0.27	18.1	17.9	0.21
Malik Rose	36	34	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.02	8	25	-17	15.3	14.7	0.57	18.1	17.9	0.12
Brent Barry	37	35	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.08	10	23	-13	15.0	14.9	0.10	19.1	17.2	1.84
Tony Parker	43	44	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.19	13	20	-7	14.8	15.1	-0.34	16.9	19.1	-2.28
Devin Brown	41	42	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.22	10	23	-13	13.2	16.5	-3.27	17.7	18.2	-0.48
Robert Horry	28	28	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.14	5	28	-23	14.5	15.2	-0.70	18.8	17.6	1.23
Tony Massenburg	17	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.23	8	25	-17	14.8	15.0	-0.15	19.2	17.7	1.48
Mike Wilks	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.18	6	27	-21	15.7	14.8	0.92	22.0	17.2	4.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 67, LAL 113	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.5%
CHA 90, MIA 129	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.4%
DET 82, IND 114	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.2%