inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 75 Excitement5.1 [800] MVPRichard Hamilton (DET): +9.1%
Detroit Pistons 94 Comeback1.1 [1136] LVPAndre Miller (DEN): -26.6%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nene0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.00957%0.0200.00560%-0.02
Michael Doleac0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.000.00367%0.041-0.0400%0.00
Francisco Elson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jon Barry0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021150%0.0010.0000%0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Voshon Lenard-0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.011152%0.032-0.0410%-0.02
Marcus Camby-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.02425%0.001-0.0400%0.00
Carmelo Anthony-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.012047%0.023-0.07367%0.01
Earl Boykins-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.10-0.02-0.03933%-0.003-0.0900%0.00
Rodney White-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.14-0.03-0.081010%-0.071-0.0300%0.00
Andre Miller-0.270,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27-0.17-0.090.001239%-0.116-0.15475%-0.00

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Richard Hamilton0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.110.010.041183%0.142-0.05250%-0.01
Mehmet Okur0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.030.001250%0.031-0.03667%-0.03
Darvin Ham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Darko Milicic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ben Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.00-0.00-0.00762%0.052-0.062100%0.02
Rasheed Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.02-0.010.011462%0.083-0.09450%-0.01
Tayshaun Prince0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.01-0.01940%-0.0100.0020%-0.03
Mike James0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.05-0.01-0.0420%-0.0210.0000%0.00
Corliss Williamson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.02669%0.054-0.09475%-0.01
Lindsey Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.0030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Chauncey Billups0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.03-0.01743%0.002-0.0700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.43.328.316.726.71.029.0128.4
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +38.7%
DET +3.8%
DEN -7.0%
DET +17.6%
DEN -3.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENDETNBADENDETNBA
this game15.516.315.783.3103.3100.5
season14.916.2101.699.2
opponent16.015.492.6101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN14.814.116.916.515.5
DET16.515.917.415.516.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Francisco Elson660.00-0.500.50-0.031-202111.315.8-4.5022.015.96.12
Jon Barry660.00-0.500.50-0.031-202111.315.8-4.5022.015.96.12
Nikoloz Tskitishvili660.00-0.500.50-0.031-202111.315.8-4.5022.015.96.12
Michael Doleac2325-0.22-0.280.05-0.08-5-14916.715.11.5015.116.7-1.61
Carmelo Anthony6161-0.25-0.250.00-0.01-8-11316.014.51.5516.715.41.32
Voshon Lenard6060-0.26-0.24-0.010.12-13-6-715.715.10.6516.216.5-0.25
Rodney White3032-0.27-0.23-0.050.05-11-8-314.815.9-1.1015.716.6-0.97
Earl Boykins3232-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.08-8-11315.115.8-0.7316.116.4-0.25
Nene7373-0.39-0.11-0.270.11-17-2-1515.914.11.8216.415.90.49
Marcus Camby7272-0.39-0.11-0.280.14-18-1-1715.515.6-0.0315.618.7-3.10
Andre Miller8182-0.41-0.09-0.320.12-18-1-1715.813.42.3215.919.7-3.75

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Corliss Williamson46440.60-0.100.71-0.1626-73313.718.9-5.1917.513.73.80
Mehmet Okur49480.370.130.230.04118316.016.6-0.6615.815.20.55
Chauncey Billups60570.360.140.22-0.141721516.316.20.1915.116.2-1.12
Rasheed Wallace67650.320.180.15-0.121541116.116.7-0.5715.615.30.30
Lindsey Hunter31320.310.190.110.01109116.116.4-0.3416.814.81.98
Ben Wallace60600.290.210.08-0.03118316.116.6-0.4515.914.81.05
Richard Hamilton59590.190.31-0.12-0.13118316.116.7-0.5715.316.1-0.81
Mike James32330.160.34-0.170.10217-1516.716.00.7215.115.8-0.70
Darvin Ham660.000.50-0.500.03-120-2122.015.96.1211.315.8-4.50
Darko Milicic660.000.50-0.500.03-120-2122.015.96.1211.315.8-4.50
Tayshaun Prince3940-0.100.60-0.710.07-625-3118.414.73.7614.016.7-2.72


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.63,0.65,0.73,0.76,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.77,0.66,0.63,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHA 79, POR 980.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.7,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.87,0.81,0.88,0.8,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.7,0.79,0.87,0.88,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,194.8%
ORL 95, MIA 1120.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.74,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.84,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.76,0.82,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.7,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,194.5%
MIL 70, ATL 850.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.7,0.78,0.8,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.68,0.68,0.8,0.74,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,194.5%