NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	81		Excitement	3.6 [1081]		MVP	Antonio Davis (CHI): +6.8%
Chicago Bulls	92		Comeback	1.3 [998]		LVP	Jamal Crawford (CHI): -12.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeSagana Diop	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	40%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	11	55%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.03	12	59%	0.01	1	-0.01	8	87%	0.01
Jeff McInnis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	14	43%	0.00	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0	100%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Ira Newble	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	7	29%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dajuan Wagner	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Jason Kapono	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	7	33%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
LeBron James	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	17	45%	-0.07	3	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	11	62%	0.07	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Eddy Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	14	56%	0.07	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Linton Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	16	55%	0.04	2	-0.02	8	62%	-0.01
Eddie Robinson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Dupree	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.11	0.00	-0.09	15	34%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	1	62%	0.00	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.20	-0.00	-0.09	18	31%	-0.07	6	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.4	29.2	15.4	24.6	2.6	28.2	123.7
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +27.4%

CHI +14.1%

CHI +3.5%

CHI +5.0%

CHI +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	CHI	NBA	CLE	CHI	NBA
this game	15.5	16.7	15.7	90.0	103.4	100.5
season	15.7	15.2		99.8	94.6
opponent	15.4	15.5		101.3	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	17.9	16.2	15.5	12.5	15.5
CHI	16.4	13.8	17.3	19.6	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeSagana Diop	23	20	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.17	4	-15	19	13.6	16.1	-2.57	17.0	16.6	0.44
Ira Newble	12	11	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-9	7	8.3	16.6	-8.24	14.3	17.1	-2.78
Kevin Ollie	9	9	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-8	5	17.6	15.2	2.31	15.1	16.9	-1.78
Eric Williams	36	36	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.04	-7	-4	-3	18.6	13.4	5.13	16.6	16.8	-0.12
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	53	54	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-8	5	16.0	14.7	1.27	17.0	16.2	0.84
Dajuan Wagner	34	33	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.18	-2	-9	7	14.3	16.2	-1.86	17.2	16.4	0.85
Jason Kapono	25	26	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.10	-5	-6	1	15.9	15.3	0.56	16.8	16.7	0.14
LeBron James	76	76	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.17	-4	-7	3	15.2	17.2	-2.06	17.2	13.5	3.71
Carlos Boozer	68	68	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.02	-11	0	-11	15.5	15.3	0.21	16.4	17.6	-1.19
Jeff McInnis	81	80	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.14	-8	-3	-5	15.2	17.6	-2.31	16.9	15.1	1.78
Tony Battie	33	32	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.03	-14	3	-17	16.7	14.8	1.97	15.5	17.4	-1.84

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kirk Hinrich	68	68	0.60	-0.10	0.69	-0.02	21	-10	31	16.7	16.9	-0.20	16.2	13.3	2.92
Antonio Davis	63	66	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.07	11	0	11	16.4	17.5	-1.12	16.4	13.0	3.38
Eddy Curry	57	56	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.03	12	-1	13	17.2	15.8	1.40	16.3	14.1	2.19
Jamal Crawford	75	77	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.22	2	9	-7	17.3	13.8	3.47	15.2	17.4	-2.23
Tyson Chandler	50	50	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.19	3	8	-5	15.7	18.0	-2.35	14.3	17.0	-2.74
Jerome Williams	53	54	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.09	5	6	-1	16.9	16.5	0.40	15.3	15.7	-0.36
Linton Johnson	26	25	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.08	5	6	-1	15.5	17.2	-1.76	16.4	15.1	1.22
Ronald Dupree	50	51	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.27	-4	15	-19	17.1	16.3	0.80	14.3	17.0	-2.64
Eddie Robinson	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	11	-11	23.0	16.6	6.36	3.0	15.6	-12.62
Rick Brunson	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	11	-11	19.5	16.6	2.86	9.5	15.6	-6.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 99, GSW 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
PHI 83, LAC 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.92,0.89,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.98,0.98,1	96.5%
MIA 68, ORL 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.78,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%