NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	84		Excitement	2.0 [1255]		MVP	Zach Randolph (POR): +8.8%
Portland Trail Blazers	105		Comeback	1.0 [1236]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -7.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Banks	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.09	10	42%	0.02	2	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00
Jiri Welsch	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	47%	0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Brandon Hunter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.05	5	71%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.03	5	75%	0.00	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Chris Mihm	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	13	52%	0.01	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	11	46%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Mark Blount	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.14	0.00	-0.11	8	22%	-0.01	3	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Walter McCarty	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.11	-0.00	-0.05	9	28%	-0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.14	0.00	-0.06	13	37%	-0.02	4	-0.05	4	100%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.00	-0.04	19	60%	0.10	2	-0.01	7	71%	-0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.02	0.01	7	100%	0.13	4	-0.05	2	100%	-0.00
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	7	59%	0.02	0	0.00	8	87%	-0.01
Qyntel Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	11	57%	0.02	1	0.00	6	67%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	9	43%	0.01	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.02
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.07	5	20%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omar Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	64%	-0.00	3	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.0	27.2	15.4	27.7	2.3	28.4	129.2
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +36.2%

POR +4.2%

POR +1.6%

POR +6.5%

POR +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	POR	NBA	BOS	POR	NBA
this game	14.9	16.2	15.7	90.3	114.1	100.5
season	14.4	17.1		99.5	101.5
opponent	15.7	15.9		103.2	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.6	13.5	17.1	14.6	14.9
POR	16.8	16.5	15.6	16.0	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Hunter	19	20	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.35	12	-33	45	13.8	15.2	-1.35	15.4	16.4	-0.99
Michael Stewart	13	14	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.32	11	-32	43	13.6	15.1	-1.51	16.6	16.2	0.40
Walter McCarty	39	40	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.11	-5	-16	11	15.1	14.8	0.32	17.5	15.3	2.21
Jiri Welsch	55	55	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.27	5	-26	31	14.7	15.2	-0.41	16.9	15.2	1.74
Jumaine Jones	34	35	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.33	7	-28	35	14.0	15.4	-1.39	16.1	16.3	-0.18
Mark Blount	43	43	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.57	-33	12	-45	15.6	14.4	1.20	14.5	17.7	-3.22
Marcus Banks	71	70	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.03	-15	-6	-9	14.8	15.2	-0.41	16.2	16.4	-0.24
Paul Pierce	66	64	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.41	-29	8	-37	15.1	14.5	0.56	16.4	15.7	0.69
Ricky Davis	53	50	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.45	-32	11	-43	15.5	14.1	1.47	15.6	17.0	-1.33
Chris Mihm	72	69	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.27	-26	5	-31	15.0	14.7	0.26	16.5	15.3	1.23

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	70	72	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.12	14	7	7	16.9	14.2	2.63	14.8	15.2	-0.36
Damon Stoudamire	51	52	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.41	31	-10	41	16.1	16.4	-0.29	15.1	14.7	0.41
Derek Anderson	47	48	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.39	30	-9	39	16.7	15.7	0.97	15.1	14.8	0.31
Theo Ratliff	58	60	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.51	33	-12	45	16.1	16.4	-0.24	15.6	13.7	1.93
Darius Miles	62	63	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.43	28	-7	35	16.4	15.9	0.49	16.1	12.4	3.66
Ruben Patterson	22	22	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.10	0	21	-21	16.6	16.1	0.54	13.6	15.3	-1.73
Qyntel Woods	45	45	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.28	-9	30	-39	15.7	16.7	-0.97	14.8	15.1	-0.31
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	46	45	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.13	5	16	-11	15.1	17.3	-2.24	13.9	15.9	-2.03
Dan Dickau	29	28	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.18	-6	27	-33	15.4	16.6	-1.19	15.1	14.8	0.28
Omar Cook	30	30	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.61	-21	42	-63	17.0	15.8	1.19	13.3	15.7	-2.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 78, SEA 122	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
MEM 95, HOU 116	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.78,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
MEM 89, ORL 116	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.82,0.77,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%