NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	100		Excitement	8.2 [209]		MVP	Eddie House (LAC): +26.2%
Los Angeles Clippers	102		Comeback	2.8 [619]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -29.3%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jiri Welsch	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.02	10	71%	0.09	2	-0.06	8	75%	0.03
Michael Stewart	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	8	45%	-0.00	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.09
Chris Mihm	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	9	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Brandon Hunter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.07	-0.02	14	61%	0.04	4	-0.11	10	70%	-0.00
Mark Blount	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	6	50%	-0.04	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02
Walter McCarty	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	-0.00	6	50%	-0.01	5	-0.12	4	75%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.29	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.14,-0.29	-0.15	-0.15	-0.01	19	40%	-0.18	4	-0.11	7	86%	0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.26	0.26	0.02	0.24	-0.00	11	55%	0.35	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.01	22	67%	0.14	4	-0.08	14	79%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	56%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Doug Overton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.00	-0.02	11	54%	0.03	7	-0.15	6	83%	0.01
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.10	-0.04	11	55%	-0.06	4	-0.07	7	86%	-0.06
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.22	-0.22	-0.09	-0.14	-0.01	3	0%	-0.18	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.7	0.7	31.5	15.7	32.4	1.8	46.4	160.1
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +36.3%

BOS -11.6%

LAC +18.7%

BOS -0.6%

LAC +7.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	LAC	NBA	BOS	LAC	NBA
this game	13.7	15.1	15.7	100.0	102.0	100.5
season	14.4	15.5		99.5	101.3
opponent	15.4	15.9		106.0	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	11.9	15.3	14.0	13.8	13.7
LAC	13.4	16.0	15.3	16.2	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Hunter	4	5	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.00	2	-4	6	13.0	13.7	-0.69	11.8	15.3	-3.52
Michael Stewart	12	12	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-2	2	11.6	13.9	-2.36	17.2	14.9	2.30
Jumaine Jones	18	16	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.02	-5	3	-8	17.5	12.8	4.68	17.9	14.6	3.26
Walter McCarty	42	42	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.01	-7	5	-12	13.9	13.5	0.42	13.9	16.0	-2.13
Jiri Welsch	91	87	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.42	6	-8	14	13.6	14.0	-0.37	15.5	12.8	2.64
Marcus Banks	38	40	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.27	0	-2	2	12.7	14.3	-1.62	15.2	15.1	0.10
Ricky Davis	83	84	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.52	6	-8	14	13.1	16.2	-3.10	14.9	16.6	-1.69
Mark Blount	56	58	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.39	-1	-1	0	12.7	14.8	-2.07	15.7	14.3	1.39
Chris Mihm	65	64	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.13	-11	9	-20	14.8	11.5	3.30	14.4	16.5	-2.12
Paul Pierce	91	92	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.48	0	-2	2	13.8	12.7	1.09	15.2	14.4	0.83

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marko Jaric	47	49	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.63	1	1	0	14.7	15.6	-0.91	13.6	13.7	-0.05
Keyon Dooling	66	64	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.39	7	-5	12	15.6	14.2	1.42	14.1	12.9	1.20
Corey Maggette	83	82	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.45	3	-1	4	15.5	13.2	2.29	13.9	12.4	1.48
Elton Brand	86	86	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.42	-3	5	-8	14.8	17.1	-2.25	13.5	14.4	-0.89
Chris Kaman	29	28	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.14	4	-2	6	15.2	15.1	0.14	12.9	14.0	-1.07
Eddie House	50	51	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	-1	4	16.0	14.3	1.68	13.3	14.0	-0.75
Chris Wilcox	38	38	0.15	0.34	-0.19	-0.02	6	-4	10	14.6	15.5	-0.86	13.2	14.0	-0.77
Doug Overton	10	10	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.01	0	2	-2	13.9	15.3	-1.38	12.1	13.8	-1.73
Matt Barnes	66	66	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.03	-2	4	-6	15.4	14.7	0.70	14.5	12.0	2.56
Quentin Richardson	25	26	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.08	-9	11	-20	13.4	15.7	-2.27	12.8	13.9	-1.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.47,0.43,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.32,0.37,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.75,0.84,0.79,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.82,0.85,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 91, MEM 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.44,0.42,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.84,0.88,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.5%
NYK 81, SAS 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.59,0.6,0.7,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%
NOP 84, IND 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.89,0.99,1,1	94.0%