NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	88		Excitement	2.6 [1208]		MVP	John Salmons (PHI): +8.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	113		Comeback	1.2 [1090]		LVP	Gilbert Arenas (WAS): -7.1%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Christian Laettner	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	69%	0.02	1	-0.01	8	87%	0.02
Steve Blake	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.05	12	70%	0.05	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	5	55%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	9	75%	0.06	5	-0.09	2	100%	-0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.11	0.00	-0.05	3	50%	-0.00	4	-0.05	6	33%	-0.02
Jarvis Hayes	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	-0.01	-0.04	11	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Gilbert Arenas	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.17	-0.00	-0.10	10	26%	-0.05	2	-0.02	7	71%	-0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.01	0.03	10	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	11	65%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Zendon Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	70%	0.06	0	0.00	8	75%	0.01
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	21	56%	0.06	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Amal McCaskill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	67%	0.00	1	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	8	56%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	8	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	5	33%	-0.03	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	1.8	27.1	15.7	29.6	2.8	26.3	130.1
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +18.5%

PHI +6.4%

PHI +7.5%

PHI +16.5%

PHI +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	PHI	NBA	WAS	PHI	NBA
this game	14.7	16.2	15.7	94.6	121.5	100.5
season	15.2	16.2		96.4	96.7
opponent	15.8	15.3		99.5	102.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.1	16.0	13.7	13.4	14.7
PHI	15.9	17.5	14.0	17.9	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Jeffries	43	42	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.17	-8	-17	9	13.7	15.6	-1.97	16.6	15.9	0.74
Christian Laettner	38	37	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.18	-11	-14	3	14.5	14.9	-0.44	17.3	15.5	1.81
Jarvis Hayes	41	43	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	-19	13	14.0	15.3	-1.39	17.3	15.4	1.90
Steve Blake	33	32	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.10	-4	-21	17	14.5	14.8	-0.33	18.2	15.2	2.97
Brendan Haywood	47	47	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.08	-11	-14	3	14.7	14.7	-0.02	15.2	17.3	-2.03
Juan Dixon	60	60	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.11	-12	-13	1	14.5	15.1	-0.56	16.5	15.7	0.79
Brevin Knight	33	33	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.13	-13	-12	-1	15.1	14.5	0.56	15.7	16.5	-0.79
Gilbert Arenas	60	61	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.33	-21	-4	-17	14.8	14.5	0.33	15.2	18.2	-2.97
Jerry Stackhouse	56	55	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.09	-18	-7	-11	15.5	13.5	1.98	16.1	16.4	-0.27
Kwame Brown	54	55	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.16	-21	-4	-17	15.5	13.6	1.92	15.4	17.5	-2.14

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glenn Robinson	54	54	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.08	17	8	9	16.1	16.5	-0.43	14.8	14.6	0.16
Allen Iverson	65	65	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.12	18	7	11	15.3	18.5	-3.24	15.4	13.2	2.17
Eric Snow	48	48	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.04	15	10	5	16.7	15.7	0.98	14.9	14.5	0.43
Kenny Thomas	61	61	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.16	17	8	9	16.4	15.9	0.55	15.0	14.2	0.88
John Salmons	47	46	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.15	14	11	3	14.8	17.7	-2.89	14.8	14.6	0.23
Samuel Dalembert	40	40	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.32	20	5	15	13.8	18.0	-4.19	15.0	14.5	0.56
Amal McCaskill	32	30	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	21	-17	16.8	15.9	0.88	14.3	14.9	-0.64
Zendon Hamilton	31	33	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.14	9	16	-7	17.0	15.9	1.10	15.0	14.6	0.37
Greg Buckner	19	19	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	23	-21	18.3	15.7	2.61	13.0	15.2	-2.18
Aaron McKie	31	32	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.11	6	19	-13	17.4	15.7	1.73	15.2	14.5	0.74
Willie Green	23	23	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.14	5	20	-15	17.9	15.7	2.23	13.4	15.2	-1.78
Kyle Korver	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	27	-29	19.6	15.6	3.93	11.9	15.2	-3.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 82, MIN 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
WAS 83, IND 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
WAS 85, PHX 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.9,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%