NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	99		Excitement	3.0 [1164]		MVP	Aaron Williams (NJN): +6.0%
New Jersey Nets	120		Comeback	1.4 [955]		LVP	Keith Bogans (ORL): -11.6%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rod Strickland	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.01	0.04	7	83%	0.04	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	10	65%	0.03	3	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	71%	0.04	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Reece Gaines	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	3	25%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	19	51%	0.00	3	-0.04	9	89%	0.01
Drew Gooden	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	6	57%	0.03	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03
Shammond Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	9	46%	-0.05	2	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
Keith Bogans	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	6	25%	-0.07	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	13	59%	0.06	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	83%	0.08	2	-0.02	6	50%	-0.03
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	12	65%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Zoran Planinic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	67%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	7	62%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	5	70%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.01	0.03	14	58%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	4	50%	0.00	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	3	75%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	0.00	0.06	15	60%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	3.6	31.4	16.8	30.3	3.5	26.6	137.2
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +37.5%

ORL -7.5%

NJN +3.1%

NJN +14.7%

NJN +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	NJN	NBA	ORL	NJN	NBA
this game	14.3	14.8	15.7	99.0	122.4	100.5
season	15.7	15.3		100.9	98.1
opponent	16.2	15.4		95.2	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.4	14.0	16.0	11.8	14.3
NJN	14.6	14.8	12.2	17.4	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Hunter	12	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-29	37	11.0	14.8	-3.78	17.4	14.4	3.02
Reece Gaines	40	40	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-21	21	13.5	14.8	-1.30	15.6	14.2	1.41
Andrew DeClercq	33	32	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.22	-10	-11	1	14.0	14.5	-0.45	16.2	14.1	2.07
Zaza Pachulia	57	55	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.03	-8	-13	5	13.3	15.7	-2.40	14.8	14.7	0.12
Tyronn Lue	38	37	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.18	-13	-8	-5	14.8	14.0	0.78	15.6	14.3	1.29
Shammond Williams	36	36	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.18	-2	-19	17	13.0	15.1	-2.03	15.5	14.4	1.12
Gordan Giricek	64	64	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.12	-6	-15	9	14.0	14.9	-0.87	15.6	13.1	2.48
Rod Strickland	51	48	-0.34	-0.17	-0.17	0.19	-18	-3	-15	14.5	14.1	0.37	13.4	16.0	-2.60
Keith Bogans	53	52	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.10	-15	-6	-9	15.6	12.9	2.79	13.8	15.9	-2.08
Juwan Howard	69	68	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.20	-19	-2	-17	15.7	11.2	4.55	14.0	16.4	-2.36
Drew Gooden	47	45	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.21	-22	1	-23	14.6	14.1	0.50	13.4	15.9	-2.52

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	58	60	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.08	17	4	13	14.2	15.6	-1.45	15.6	12.5	3.09
Kenyon Martin	64	66	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.39	26	-5	31	14.0	16.3	-2.30	15.2	12.6	2.55
Jason Kidd	61	62	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.30	21	0	21	14.0	16.1	-2.07	15.4	12.5	2.91
Rodney Rogers	45	46	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.20	17	4	13	14.8	14.7	0.06	13.5	15.0	-1.54
Kerry Kittles	53	54	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.22	17	4	13	13.8	15.8	-2.00	16.1	12.2	3.87
Aaron Williams	67	68	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.08	12	9	3	14.2	15.9	-1.66	13.9	15.2	-1.26
Lucious Harris	37	40	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.21	16	5	11	15.7	14.2	1.55	12.3	15.7	-3.34
Zoran Planinic	37	38	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.18	0	21	-21	16.1	14.0	2.07	12.5	15.4	-2.91
Brian Scalabrine	30	29	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.20	-4	25	-29	16.6	13.9	2.69	12.7	15.0	-2.26
Jason Collins	17	18	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	20	-19	16.5	14.4	2.06	16.2	13.9	2.24
Hubert Davis	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	31	-41	16.4	14.6	1.75	10.3	14.6	-4.35
Brandon Armstrong	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	29	-37	17.4	14.4	3.02	11.0	14.8	-3.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 74, BOS 114	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.43,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
MIL 95, DAL 114	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.72,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
NYK 83, NJN 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.77,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%