NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	100		Excitement	6.1 [575]		MVP	Kwame Brown (WAS): +8.0%
Washington Wizards	112		Comeback	1.0 [1089]		LVP	Elton Brand (LAC): -19.3%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie House	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	6	50%	0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	8	53%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Quentin Richardson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	21	51%	0.08	3	-0.10	5	100%	0.01
Keyon Dooling	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.05	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	12	56%	-0.03	1	-0.02	15	87%	0.03
Chris Kaman	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.02	-0.05	12	48%	0.02	5	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.14	-0.07	-0.02	15	41%	-0.08	4	-0.12	7	100%	0.03

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.02	12	71%	0.16	4	-0.08	7	86%	0.02
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	-0.01	0.01	12	72%	0.11	1	-0.03	8	75%	0.02
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	8	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	20	49%	0.02	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.04	-0.03	15	62%	0.08	5	-0.12	10	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.5	27.4	15.8	24.2	2.5	34.4	133.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +42.7%

WAS +12.6%

LAC -22.8%

WAS +17.6%

LAC -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	WAS	NBA	LAC	WAS	NBA
this game	16.4	14.1	15.7	106.4	117.9	100.5
season	15.5	15.2		101.3	96.4
opponent	15.3	15.4		102.4	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	17.4	16.6	15.0	16.7	16.4
WAS	13.3	15.4	15.0	12.8	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Melvin Ely	16	15	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.17	8	-20	28	17.7	16.1	1.62	15.3	13.8	1.48
Keyon Dooling	27	28	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.18	8	-20	28	16.5	16.4	0.16	15.7	13.4	2.36
Eddie House	33	32	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.06	3	-15	18	16.6	16.3	0.36	13.2	14.5	-1.31
Matt Barnes	12	13	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.28	-21	9	-30	14.7	16.7	-1.99	12.8	14.3	-1.43
Chris Wilcox	25	26	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.16	-6	-6	0	18.5	15.6	2.88	14.0	14.1	-0.17
Chris Kaman	58	58	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.07	-14	2	-16	16.3	16.6	-0.34	13.7	14.7	-0.97
Elton Brand	83	84	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.17	-6	-6	0	16.2	18.0	-1.81	14.6	10.2	4.41
Quentin Richardson	86	88	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.10	-11	-1	-10	16.2	18.7	-2.56	13.6	20.1	-6.54
Marko Jaric	76	77	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.06	-17	5	-22	15.7	19.3	-3.55	14.0	14.3	-0.24
Corey Maggette	54	54	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.32	-4	-8	4	17.0	15.6	1.36	14.2	13.9	0.28

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Hughes	90	90	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.11	15	-3	18	13.8	19.2	-5.40	16.6	13.0	3.56
Kwame Brown	85	84	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.16	10	2	8	13.9	15.6	-1.69	16.8	12.7	4.15
Jerry Stackhouse	76	75	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.09	18	-6	24	14.1	14.1	0.04	16.0	17.9	-1.87
Gilbert Arenas	88	86	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.14	7	5	2	14.3	11.1	3.18	16.2	19.1	-2.97
Brendan Haywood	47	47	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.03	10	2	8	14.5	13.7	0.80	16.6	16.3	0.30
Jared Jeffries	25	26	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.10	5	7	-2	14.6	13.9	0.65	17.1	16.1	0.98
Steve Blake	18	17	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.07	6	6	0	12.3	14.5	-2.23	14.8	16.8	-2.00
Etan Thomas	35	35	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.34	-8	20	-28	14.6	13.8	0.77	16.5	16.4	0.13
Jarvis Hayes	11	10	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.08	-3	15	-18	14.5	14.0	0.42	16.3	16.4	-0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.74,0.88,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.89,0.83,0.9,0.98,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 104, WAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.75,0.79,0.72,0.77,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.73,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.93,0.92,0.85,0.95,0.98,0.89,0.99,0.99,1	93.3%
CHI 76, NJN 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.73,0.83,0.81,0.85,0.74,0.62,0.63,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.66,0.75,0.83,0.91,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.3%
IND 126, CHA 133	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.7,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.93,0.9,0.99,1,1,1	93.1%