NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	83		Excitement	4.3 [950]		MVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): +6.2%
Utah Jazz	65		Comeback	1.3 [433]		LVP	Michael Ruffin (UTA): -13.7%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Duncan	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	20	60%	0.06	0	0.00	12	42%	-0.11
Manu Ginobili	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.07	12	46%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Willis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Devin Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	3	57%	0.02	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Robert Horry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	6	21%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Tony Parker	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	11	42%	-0.01	2	-0.04	9	78%	0.01
Charlie Ward	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.03	7	57%	-0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	6	56%	0.01	1	-0.01	6	50%	-0.03
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Raul Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	6	58%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	56%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	7	53%	0.00	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	10	33%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	7	47%	-0.03	3	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	9	33%	-0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.00	7	14%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.8	27.7	14.8	32.2	2.5	27.4	130.4
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +30.9%

SAS +6.8%

SAS +1.5%

SAS +10.5%

SAS +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	UTA	NBA	SAS	UTA	NBA
this game	16.7	18.0	15.7	100.0	78.3	100.5
season	15.9	17.2		100.1	99.4
opponent	15.2	15.8		100.8	92.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.9	17.7	13.9	19.4	16.7
UTA	20.1	16.6	21.4	14.2	18.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	71	68	0.59	-0.09	0.69	-0.20	27	-9	36	17.0	15.2	1.75	18.9	13.6	5.31
Manu Ginobili	45	45	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.08	12	6	6	15.3	18.4	-3.14	17.3	18.7	-1.45
Tony Parker	55	54	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.05	13	5	8	17.5	15.2	2.31	18.8	16.4	2.31
Bruce Bowen	41	39	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.12	13	5	8	18.6	15.0	3.63	19.1	17.0	2.12
Hedo Turkoglu	46	46	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.11	12	6	6	17.3	16.0	1.30	19.3	16.2	3.08
Robert Horry	30	29	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.01	7	11	-4	13.7	18.5	-4.82	19.2	17.3	1.98
Rasho Nesterovic	39	41	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.14	1	17	-16	17.6	16.0	1.64	18.3	17.6	0.67
Charlie Ward	28	29	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.02	5	13	-8	15.2	17.5	-2.31	16.4	18.8	-2.31
Devin Brown	34	36	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	19	-20	15.6	17.5	-1.86	15.8	19.6	-3.79
Malik Rose	21	22	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	16	-14	19.4	15.8	3.59	14.2	19.3	-5.13
Kevin Willis	5	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	19	-20	13.6	16.9	-3.35	12.3	18.4	-6.06

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mo Williams	23	21	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.02	0	-18	18	13.0	19.9	-6.91	18.7	16.1	2.63
Raja Bell	30	31	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.04	-4	-14	10	16.6	18.7	-2.06	19.9	14.9	5.04
Raul Lopez	33	32	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-16	14	15.9	19.3	-3.39	17.1	16.5	0.62
Michael Ruffin	35	34	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.01	-5	-13	8	20.1	16.4	3.79	16.3	17.1	-0.77
Greg Ostertag	51	51	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.09	-12	-6	-6	17.9	18.1	-0.23	17.7	15.2	2.59
Sasha Pavlovic	42	43	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.03	-10	-8	-2	16.4	19.6	-3.23	16.3	17.2	-0.83
Jarron Collins	36	37	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.06	-7	-11	4	17.0	18.7	-1.63	15.6	17.7	-2.03
Mikki Moore	25	25	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.03	-8	-10	2	18.6	17.7	0.93	15.1	17.5	-2.39
Andrei Kirilenko	60	59	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.06	-12	-6	-6	18.1	17.4	0.72	17.8	14.0	3.81
Carlos Arroyo	40	41	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.03	-15	-3	-12	20.7	15.4	5.35	14.9	18.5	-3.65
DeShawn Stevenson	40	41	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.03	-15	-3	-12	20.7	15.4	5.35	14.9	18.5	-3.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.27,0.23,0.29,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 106, NOH 91	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.23,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.21,0.23,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
NYK 93, OKC 90	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	95.4%
GSW 118, DEN 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.35,0.3,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.27,0.18,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%