NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	89		Excitement	7.0 [402]		MVP	Casey Jacobsen (PHX): +14.0%
Atlanta Hawks	85		Comeback	3.2 [155]		LVP	Jason Terry (ATL): -26.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Casey Jacobsen	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14	0.09	0.06	0.00	6	81%	0.14	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Howard Eisley	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.04	0.10	-0.02	5	50%	0.11	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
Shawn Marion	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04	-0.04	0.04	-0.03	19	48%	0.07	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.00
Tom Gugliotta	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zarko Cabarkapa	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	21	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	62%	0.01	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Jahidi White	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	1	60%	-0.01	3	-0.08	3	33%	-0.04
Leandro Barbosa	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	12	33%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Donnell Harvey	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	2	17%	-0.09	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.03

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dion Glover	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	2	67%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Chris Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	12	53%	0.01	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	12	57%	0.09	5	-0.17	4	100%	0.03
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	8	44%	0.01	2	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.17,-0.22,-0.27,-0.27,-0.24,-0.26,-0.25	-0.25	-0.17	-0.09	-0.01	17	46%	-0.04	7	-0.20	7	71%	-0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.12	-0.15	0.00	12	38%	-0.08	4	-0.19	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	1.7	26.3	16.6	27.5	2.0	41.1	143.4
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +23.5%

PHX +2.2%

ATL -11.2%

PHX +34.6%

PHX +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	ATL	NBA	PHX	ATL	NBA
this game	14.0	15.4	15.7	90.8	86.7	100.5
season	14.6	15.3		99.6	98.2
opponent	15.5	15.9		103.0	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	17.3	15.3	11.6	12.5	14.0
ATL	14.7	16.0	16.8	14.1	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Casey Jacobsen	82	81	0.82	-0.32	1.15	0.38	15	-11	26	13.3	17.6	-4.25	15.5	14.8	0.74
Joe Johnson	84	85	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.40	11	-7	18	13.6	16.6	-3.07	15.5	14.8	0.61
Shawn Marion	87	87	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.39	10	-6	16	13.7	16.4	-2.65	15.1	17.8	-2.75
Leandro Barbosa	59	61	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.10	19	-15	34	13.4	14.9	-1.43	16.1	14.2	1.91
Jahidi White	40	39	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.22	6	-2	8	13.5	14.4	-0.86	15.1	15.5	-0.41
Jake Voskuhl	41	45	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.06	8	-4	12	14.9	13.4	1.49	17.3	13.7	3.58
Tom Gugliotta	6	7	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.01	-5	9	-14	18.3	13.7	4.61	19.7	15.0	4.67
Howard Eisley	44	43	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.25	-14	18	-32	14.5	13.6	0.89	14.5	16.1	-1.63
Donnell Harvey	23	19	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	0.21	-19	23	-42	14.8	13.8	1.01	10.1	16.7	-6.61
Zarko Cabarkapa	24	23	-0.41	0.91	-1.31	-0.08	-11	15	-26	17.0	13.0	4.01	15.3	15.4	-0.10

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Crawford	30	30	0.17	-0.67	0.85	-0.06	8	-12	20	14.6	15.7	-1.17	15.2	13.5	1.71
Dion Glover	9	8	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.03	2	-6	8	18.6	15.1	3.50	17.0	13.7	3.26
Boris Diaw	48	51	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.06	0	-4	4	15.0	15.8	-0.78	14.6	13.4	1.25
Nazr Mohammed	12	12	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.04	3	-7	10	15.2	15.4	-0.24	17.0	13.6	3.41
Jacque Vaughn	77	75	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.39	7	-11	18	15.3	15.6	-0.25	13.8	14.6	-0.78
Jason Terry	82	83	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.31	0	-4	4	15.2	16.4	-1.27	14.4	11.7	2.77
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	79	77	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.30	-11	7	-18	15.7	14.1	1.64	13.6	15.6	-2.05
Theo Ratliff	76	75	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.39	-12	8	-20	15.8	13.9	1.95	13.7	15.1	-1.41
Stephen Jackson	75	76	-0.95	0.45	-1.40	-0.51	-15	11	-26	15.4	15.3	0.04	13.4	16.1	-2.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.72,0.64,0.52,0.39,0.32,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.29,0.17,0.25,0.15,0.16,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 106, POR 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.49,0.42,0.33,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.3,0.33,0.21,0.22,0.26,0.34,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.3,0.22,0.19,0.04,0.02,0.02,0	92.0%
SAC 93, DAL 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.29,0.21,0.24,0.16,0.18,0.1,0.22,0.43,0.57,0.47,0.31,0.4,0.34,0.19,0.12,0.22,0.09,0	91.5%
PHX 99, POR 90	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.3,0.47,0.57,0.47,0.26,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.11,0.22,0.04,0	90.9%