NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	91		Excitement	8.9 [112]		MVP	Mike Miller (MEM): +12.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	87		Comeback	7.5 [90]		LVP	Eric Snow (PHI): -31.9%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,0.13	-0.05	0.17	0.00	4	50%	0.20	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Pau Gasol	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	10	67%	0.26	3	-0.21	4	50%	-0.04
Bo Outlaw	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.02	8	53%	-0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	11	58%	0.06	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
James Posey	-0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	13	52%	0.05	2	-0.11	1	0%	-0.03
Earl Watson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	1	75%	0.00	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Shane Battier	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	10	50%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Stromile Swift	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	5	36%	-0.08	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Bonzi Wells	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23	-0.15	-0.08	-0.00	14	27%	-0.18	1	-0.05	5	60%	-0.03

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.04	0.01	5	100%	0.15	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.03	0.01	16	61%	0.08	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Amal McCaskill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	4	0%	-0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.08	0.00	6	25%	-0.09	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	8	38%	-0.07	3	-0.09	5	80%	0.01
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,-0.12,-0.31	-0.31	-0.08	-0.24	-0.00	27	51%	-0.19	4	-0.12	13	62%	-0.15
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.2,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32	-0.32	-0.17	-0.15	0.00	6	21%	-0.11	5	-0.21	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	2.7	26.0	15.8	26.1	2.5	41.5	143.7
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +52.0%

PHI -4.9%

MEM +18.1%

PHI -12.5%

PHI -2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	PHI	NBA	MEM	PHI	NBA
this game	15.5	14.2	15.7	93.8	89.7	100.5
season	15.3	16.2		102.3	96.7
opponent	15.8	15.7		99.5	100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.6	17.3	14.8	14.7	15.5
PHI	12.7	15.5	14.6	14.1	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	60	58	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.42	8	-4	12	15.2	16.1	-0.88	15.3	12.4	2.96
Shane Battier	50	51	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.38	9	-5	14	15.4	15.7	-0.36	12.5	16.0	-3.43
Earl Watson	49	50	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.23	10	-6	16	14.4	16.7	-2.24	15.1	13.1	2.03
James Posey	53	52	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.45	1	3	-2	15.3	15.8	-0.56	15.6	12.5	3.07
Mike Miller	51	49	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.44	0	4	-4	16.4	14.6	1.81	14.5	13.8	0.68
Bonzi Wells	62	62	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	1	2	15.1	16.3	-1.22	13.2	15.8	-2.53
Stromile Swift	37	38	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.06	5	-1	6	16.1	15.2	0.92	12.2	15.4	-3.28
Jason Williams	32	33	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.02	-5	9	-14	16.7	15.0	1.76	13.9	14.3	-0.42
Lorenzen Wright	57	57	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.04	-6	10	-16	15.5	15.6	-0.11	14.6	13.5	1.16
Bo Outlaw	34	35	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	-0.08	-5	9	-14	16.2	15.2	1.08	13.8	14.3	-0.51

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron McKie	47	46	0.30	-0.80	1.10	0.01	10	-14	24	14.0	14.3	-0.34	16.1	15.0	1.13
John Salmons	38	40	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.00	5	-9	14	15.1	13.6	1.52	16.6	14.8	1.90
Amal McCaskill	23	24	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.01	2	-6	8	14.4	14.1	0.31	15.9	15.4	0.51
Kyle Korver	24	24	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.10	2	-6	8	11.2	15.1	-3.86	16.2	15.3	0.95
Samuel Dalembert	49	49	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	-1	-2	15.3	13.0	2.24	15.4	15.7	-0.26
Glenn Robinson	82	80	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.40	-4	0	-4	14.0	15.1	-1.16	15.1	17.6	-2.49
Allen Iverson	84	86	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.40	-6	2	-8	13.4	18.9	-5.51	15.8	13.6	2.14
Eric Snow	70	70	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.37	-9	5	-14	15.2	11.3	3.91	14.8	17.4	-2.64
Derrick Coleman	68	66	-0.90	0.40	-1.29	-0.40	-17	13	-30	13.9	14.7	-0.81	15.1	16.4	-1.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.67,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.71,0.87,0.81,0.78,0.68,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 125, DAL 121	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.58,0.78,0.72,0.71,0.63,0.59,0.71,0.83,0.76,0.72,0.57,0.16,0	92.6%
SAC 102, LAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.67,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.78,0.58,0	92.2%
SAC 104, UTA 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.36,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.46,0.53,0.46,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.7,0.58,0.62,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.41,0.66,0.61,0.81,0.78,0.45,0.72,0	91.3%