inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 79 Excitement6.6 [481] MVPCharlie Ward (SAS): +20.9%
Indiana Pacers 89 Comeback2.9 [676] LVPTim Duncan (SAS): -28.6%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Charlie Ward0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.110.09-0.00881%0.2100.0000%0.00
Ron Mercer0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.00-0.02560%0.031-0.0000%0.00
Hedo Turkoglu0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.02-0.01440%0.0100.00250%-0.01
Robert Horry-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01633%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Devin Brown-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.020.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Kevin Willis-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.00440%-0.031-0.022100%0.01
Bruce Bowen-0.080,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.04-0.030.01642%-0.032-0.0500%0.00
Manu Ginobili-0.130,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.06-0.060.01755%-0.023-0.12683%0.01
Rasho Nesterovic-0.170,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.14-0.05-0.02517%-0.093-0.0720%-0.02
Tony Parker-0.210,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21-0.12-0.080.011447%-0.056-0.162100%0.01
Tim Duncan-0.290,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.23,-0.25,-0.28,-0.29,-0.29-0.20-0.09-0.001833%-0.242-0.051267%-0.02

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Reggie Miller0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.210.030.091587%0.212-0.06250%-0.01
Anthony Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.030.05-0.01562%0.0900.003100%0.02
Jeff Foster0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.010.00567%0.0400.002100%0.01
Jonathan Bender0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.001100%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Scot Pollard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.01337%-0.0200.00250%-0.02
Jermaine O'Neal0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.06,-0.05,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.000.001948%0.021-0.044100%0.02
Jamaal Tinsley0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.04-0.01569%0.012-0.05333%-0.05
Fred Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.11-0.06-0.0160%-0.111-0.0500%0.00
Al Harrington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.11-0.05-0.00824%-0.112-0.0510%-0.02
Metta World Peace0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25,-0.25-0.25-0.22-0.08-0.051225%-0.125-0.13425%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.23.832.117.428.53.339.6148.9
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +37.7%
SAS -0.6%
IND +9.1%
IND +3.8%
SAS -0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASINDNBASASINDNBA
this game15.415.515.784.995.7100.5
season15.916.7100.1101.1
opponent15.715.894.792.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS16.214.715.415.415.4
IND14.518.014.015.915.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ron Mercer19200.21-0.710.920.094-141813.815.8-1.9813.516.1-2.55
Kevin Willis15140.20-0.700.90-0.038-182613.915.7-1.7717.615.22.38
Robert Horry49490.05-0.550.59-0.2811-213215.215.7-0.4616.614.32.29
Bruce Bowen6163-0.10-0.400.300.10-7-3-415.116.1-1.0314.318.1-3.77
Devin Brown44-0.16-0.340.18-0.10-2-8619.015.33.7417.015.51.52
Charlie Ward2524-0.19-0.310.11-0.190-101017.514.72.8220.213.96.34
Manu Ginobili5654-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.09-8-2-615.415.5-0.1615.815.20.59
Tim Duncan8686-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.06-111-1215.218.1-2.9514.923.6-8.68
Hedo Turkoglu4343-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.36-2-8616.014.91.0817.713.73.91
Tony Parker7171-0.510.01-0.51-0.07-155-2014.917.0-2.1314.120.4-6.31
Rasho Nesterovic3637-0.860.36-1.23-0.04-2818-4616.914.52.3514.916.0-1.14

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jermaine O'Neal56570.84-0.341.170.1623-133615.415.8-0.4415.515.30.14
Jeff Foster64640.63-0.130.770.1616-62214.917.0-2.1615.116.2-1.09
Fred Jones23220.470.030.440.2482619.114.44.7616.815.01.77
Anthony Johnson43430.430.070.360.2955017.414.03.4416.014.91.08
Metta World Peace78790.390.110.280.0711-11215.118.1-3.0815.614.51.08
Reggie Miller67670.270.230.04-0.0511-11213.720.2-6.5014.717.3-2.57
Jamaal Tinsley50500.070.43-0.36-0.0855014.017.4-3.4414.916.0-1.08
Scot Pollard2526-0.030.53-0.560.00-111-1216.015.40.6716.115.10.97
Jonathan Bender109-0.150.65-0.800.11-919-2819.215.14.0915.815.40.40
Al Harrington4948-0.420.92-1.340.14-1929-4817.213.73.5415.515.40.12


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.69,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.77,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 88, POR 940.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.34,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.62,0.63,0.74,0.84,0.96,0.95,0.98,1,0.93,192.6%
MIL 89, UTA 940.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.67,0.81,0.83,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.98,192.3%
LAC 92, NJN 1060.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.41,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.3,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.8,0.87,0.96,1,1,1,191.2%