NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	105		Excitement	2.5 [1219]		MVP	Voshon Lenard (DEN): +14.8%
Phoenix Suns	92		Comeback	1.0 [572]		LVP	Joe Johnson (PHX): -7.1%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Voshon Lenard	0.15	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.16	0.00	0.01	17	84%	0.16	5	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Earl Boykins	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.03	12	62%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	10	67%	0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Chris Andersen	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Trepagnier	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	3	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney White	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Francisco Elson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	7	44%	0.00	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Miller	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	8	50%	-0.00	3	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Carmelo Anthony	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	11	50%	0.02	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	2	125%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.09	0.00	0.08	15	74%	0.03	3	-0.03	8	75%	0.01
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	18	62%	0.06	5	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	13	38%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zarko Cabarkapa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.05	10	61%	-0.00	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.11	0.00	-0.07	5	20%	-0.00	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Donnell Harvey	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	6	46%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.13	-0.00	-0.06	9	22%	-0.04	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.3	27.4	15.5	27.3	2.4	25.3	124.1
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +25.1%

DEN +4.4%

DEN +11.3%

DEN +8.5%

DEN +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	PHX	NBA	DEN	PHX	NBA
this game	17.5	13.8	15.7	114.1	100.0	100.5
season	14.9	14.6		101.6	99.6
opponent	15.9	15.4		103.6	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	15.7	18.5	16.7	19.2	17.5
PHX	15.0	14.9	12.1	13.5	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Miller	71	73	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.52	37	-24	61	16.1	22.2	-6.17	14.4	11.8	2.57
Marcus Camby	70	68	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.23	24	-11	35	17.2	18.4	-1.22	14.9	10.7	4.27
Voshon Lenard	73	71	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.12	20	-7	27	17.5	17.4	0.14	14.7	11.0	3.72
Carmelo Anthony	65	64	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.23	23	-10	33	17.1	18.4	-1.37	14.0	13.4	0.62
Nene	57	59	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.02	15	-2	17	16.0	19.9	-3.84	14.0	13.5	0.48
Earl Boykins	56	56	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.35	-9	22	-31	19.0	15.1	3.84	12.7	15.6	-2.93
Chris Andersen	16	17	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.22	-6	19	-25	18.3	17.3	1.01	11.4	14.4	-2.96
Francisco Elson	8	9	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	13	-13	21.0	17.1	3.86	12.4	14.0	-1.53
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	21	-29	19.6	17.2	2.38	14.4	13.8	0.69
Jeff Trepagnier	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	18	-23	19.2	17.4	1.82	9.4	14.1	-4.68
Ryan Bowen	6	7	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.17	-6	19	-25	15.8	17.6	-1.76	10.6	14.1	-3.52
Rodney White	23	22	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.57	-20	33	-53	21.0	16.3	4.75	12.0	14.4	-2.40

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Casey Jacobsen	48	48	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.47	14	-27	41	12.7	15.0	-2.29	17.7	17.2	0.48
Jahidi White	19	18	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-9	5	13.8	13.8	-0.05	17.9	17.4	0.58
Antonio McDyess	12	11	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	-7	1	15.2	13.6	1.64	15.0	17.8	-2.81
Amar'e Stoudemire	53	53	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.23	3	-16	19	13.2	14.7	-1.59	18.8	15.6	3.23
Howard Eisley	29	27	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.08	-9	-4	-5	14.0	13.7	0.30	15.7	18.2	-2.51
Zarko Cabarkapa	54	52	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.03	-10	-3	-7	13.5	14.3	-0.79	18.7	15.9	2.84
Donnell Harvey	45	48	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.07	-11	-2	-9	15.2	12.5	2.65	16.0	19.1	-3.05
Leandro Barbosa	54	56	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.10	-10	-3	-7	14.1	13.5	0.60	17.3	17.7	-0.45
Shawn Marion	76	76	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.05	-16	3	-19	13.3	16.2	-2.93	17.3	18.4	-1.16
Joe Johnson	70	71	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.04	-16	3	-19	14.5	11.6	2.88	17.7	16.8	0.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.19,0.24,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.19,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 112, UTA 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
HOU 124, LAC 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.24,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.23,0.24,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
LAL 103, WAS 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.12,0.18,0.19,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%