NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	115		Excitement	13.6 [7]		MVP	Shane Battier (MEM): +23.0%
Golden State Warriors	113		Comeback	12.6 [52]		LVP	Nick Van Exel (GSW): -46.6%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.08,0.23,0.23	0.03	0.20	0.00	11	64%	0.30	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.01	14	54%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.02	0.01	8	56%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.04
Mike Miller	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.12,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.13	-0.16	-0.04	18	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	10	46%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Bo Outlaw	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Stromile Swift	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	11	52%	-0.02	1	-0.03	5	40%	-0.06
Earl Watson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	9	30%	-0.07	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.23,-0.34,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.02	-0.24	0.01	12	53%	-0.24	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.13

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	8	53%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	13	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.05
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	7	29%	-0.11	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16	-0.15	-0.05	-0.11	-0.00	5	50%	-0.10	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.26,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.23	-0.23	-0.02	-0.18	0.03	23	45%	-0.20	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.02
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.08	-0.16	-0.00	8	50%	-0.04	4	-0.20	2	50%	-0.01
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.38,-0.32,-0.32,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37	-0.37	-0.04	-0.32	0.01	14	57%	-0.29	3	-0.08	12	58%	-0.16
Nick Van Exel	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.16,-0.53,-0.53,-0.53,-0.53,-0.53,-0.53,-0.61,-0.61,-0.61,-0.5,-0.47	-0.47	-0.10	-0.40	-0.03	25	43%	-0.34	3	-0.12	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	23.7	2.3	24.4	15.7	25.1	3.3	28.6	2.4	13.4	2.4	22.4	163.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	2.0	17.4	2.0	17.4	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +110.0%

GSW -7.7%

GSW -70.6%

MEM +30.9%

GSW -12.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	GSW	NBA	MEM	GSW	NBA
this game	15.9	16.4	15.7	107.5	104.6	100.5
season	15.3	16.1		102.3	100.8
opponent	15.3	15.7		101.6	100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MEM	15.3	18.1	15.8	15.0	17.3	16.1
GSW	15.4	16.2	14.9	21.0	16.3	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Williams	83	83	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.50	8	-6	14	15.9	16.1	-0.26	16.5	16.4	0.06
Shane Battier	62	62	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.48	4	-2	6	15.7	16.3	-0.63	16.4	16.5	-0.17
Mike Miller	60	62	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.01	14	-12	26	16.2	15.5	0.70	17.2	15.5	1.68
Stromile Swift	42	41	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.47	-3	5	-8	15.6	16.2	-0.58	14.9	17.4	-2.56
James Posey	60	61	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.34	0	2	-2	16.1	15.7	0.40	16.1	16.9	-0.76
Pau Gasol	57	58	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.18	5	-3	8	15.7	16.2	-0.55	16.9	15.9	1.01
Lorenzen Wright	65	67	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.03	5	-3	8	16.2	15.6	0.58	17.4	14.9	2.56
Earl Watson	24	25	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	-0.06	-6	8	-14	16.1	15.9	0.26	16.4	16.5	-0.06
Bo Outlaw	35	35	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.12	-5	7	-12	16.5	15.6	0.88	16.4	16.5	-0.11
Bonzi Wells	37	35	-0.43	0.93	-1.35	-0.01	-14	16	-30	16.0	15.9	0.07	15.8	16.7	-0.91

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clifford Robinson	66	64	0.56	-1.06	1.62	0.24	11	-13	24	16.5	16.4	0.03	16.5	15.0	1.55
Mike Dunleavy	69	69	0.48	-0.98	1.46	-0.20	23	-25	48	15.1	18.8	-3.64	16.5	14.9	1.56
Speedy Claxton	31	30	0.37	-0.87	1.24	0.10	9	-11	20	14.9	17.1	-2.21	17.2	15.4	1.73
Calbert Cheaney	63	62	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.21	-11	9	-20	17.6	14.8	2.74	16.4	15.3	1.06
Erick Dampier	88	87	-0.76	0.26	-1.01	-0.46	-10	8	-18	16.4	16.6	-0.25	16.0	15.7	0.28
Brian Cardinal	59	60	-0.82	0.32	-1.13	-0.64	-6	4	-10	17.1	15.6	1.52	15.9	15.9	0.06
Nick Van Exel	80	79	-0.87	0.37	-1.24	-0.55	-11	9	-20	16.6	16.0	0.55	15.1	18.4	-3.29
Jason Richardson	84	84	-0.92	0.42	-1.33	-0.51	-14	12	-26	16.7	15.7	1.00	15.0	19.4	-4.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.59,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.87,0.89,0.87,0.8,0.72,0.57,0.73,0.54,0.45,0.57,0.57,0.18,0.5,0.61,0.45,0.22,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 100, LAL 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.8,0.79,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.78,0.78,0.96,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.33,0.27,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.67,0.42,0	88.3%
IND 97, PHI 103	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.61,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.35,0.39,0.52,0.59,0.67,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.8,0.89,0.79,0.92,0.81,0.78,0.69,0.77,0.77,0.95,1	87.8%
IND 92, PHI 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.49,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.53,0.4,0.32,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.63,0.74,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.71,0.83,0.77,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.81,0.64,0.55,0.73,1	87.3%