NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	95		Excitement	6.4 [535]		MVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): +26.2%
New York Knicks	85		Comeback	1.9 [287]		LVP	Kenyon Martin (NJN): -23.2%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0.26	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.03	0.21	-0.02	27	52%	0.26	0	0.00	13	92%	0.02
Brian Scalabrine	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.04	-0.02	4	60%	0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Kerry Kittles	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.11	-0.00	0.06	15	67%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Pack	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	7	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	16	47%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.16	-0.08	-0.00	16	36%	-0.10	4	-0.13	4	75%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.10	0.01	0.07	11	68%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.02	-0.02	13	48%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	-0.03	0.04	16	66%	0.10	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	0.02	0.02	23	37%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	10	41%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Kurt Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	4	30%	-0.04	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	7	29%	-0.05	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	1.7	27.2	17.3	27.3	2.5	29.5	127.1
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +27.4%

NJN +2.7%

NJN +3.8%

NJN +17.9%

NYK -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	NYK	NBA	NJN	NYK	NBA
this game	15.5	15.3	15.7	102.2	90.4	100.5
season	15.3	15.5		98.1	98.6
opponent	15.8	16.2		100.8	95.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.3	16.7	14.8	15.4	15.5
NYK	14.1	17.6	15.2	14.6	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Collins	87	88	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.19	11	-1	12	15.0	23.0	-8.01	15.2	17.3	-2.17
Richard Jefferson	70	70	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.21	8	2	6	16.3	13.1	3.21	15.6	14.5	1.02
Jason Kidd	82	84	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.22	7	3	4	15.0	19.0	-3.96	15.0	17.6	-2.58
Kenyon Martin	81	82	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.26	4	6	-2	15.6	14.9	0.68	14.8	18.9	-4.15
Kerry Kittles	66	67	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.26	2	8	-6	15.7	15.0	0.71	14.9	16.2	-1.30
Brian Scalabrine	40	40	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.02	7	3	4	14.9	16.0	-1.06	16.3	14.5	1.79
Lucious Harris	28	29	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.07	8	2	6	15.2	15.6	-0.37	16.0	15.0	1.07
Robert Pack	11	10	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	7	-4	19.0	15.0	3.96	17.6	15.0	2.58

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Othella Harrington	2	1	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.01	0	-10	10	13.5	15.3	-1.84	22.0	15.4	6.57
Shandon Anderson	21	21	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.01	-1	-9	8	17.6	14.6	2.93	16.7	15.2	1.56
Dikembe Mutombo	82	83	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-6	2	15.2	15.8	-0.61	15.2	18.4	-3.24
Moochie Norris	48	48	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.15	-1	-9	8	16.5	14.0	2.54	15.8	15.2	0.68
Charlie Ward	46	45	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-9	-1	-8	14.0	16.5	-2.54	15.2	15.8	-0.68
Antonio McDyess	50	50	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.22	-4	-6	2	16.0	14.5	1.59	15.7	15.3	0.42
Allan Houston	88	87	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.24	-5	-5	0	15.0	19.3	-4.31	15.6	14.3	1.25
Kurt Thomas	54	52	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.17	-12	2	-14	14.8	16.0	-1.18	15.7	15.2	0.55
Keith Van Horn	79	78	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.18	-14	4	-18	15.0	16.9	-1.87	15.1	17.7	-2.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.37,0.47,0.4,0.1,0.04,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 104, DAL 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.62,0.57,0.48,0.52,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0	93.7%
UTA 99, HOU 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.43,0.39,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0	92.6%
CHI 107, DAL 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.67,0.67,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.44,0.48,0.6,0.5,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.32,0.41,0.2,0.13,0.04,0.01,0,0.04,0	92.5%