NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	83		Excitement	6.4 [525]		MVP	Greg Buckner (PHI): +4.2%
San Antonio Spurs	77		Comeback	2.0 [276]		LVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): -29.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Buckner	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	11	54%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Eric Snow	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	12	56%	0.06	1	-0.03	12	83%	0.03
Derrick Coleman	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	15	54%	0.04	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Glenn Robinson	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	0.04	-0.00	15	50%	0.11	6	-0.17	2	100%	0.03
Kenny Thomas	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	11	46%	0.00	4	-0.07	4	50%	-0.01
John Salmons	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	10	57%	0.06	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.07
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	83%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.02	7	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	7	62%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	0	100%	0.02	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Bruce Bowen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	9	50%	0.03	3	-0.14	2	100%	0.02
Tony Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.12	-0.07	0.03	12	38%	-0.14	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.27,-0.27,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	-0.24	-0.11	-0.06	12	30%	-0.20	3	-0.10	13	23%	-0.14

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.8	31.3	18.4	32.3	2.6	38.4	150.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +21.9%

PHI +5.9%

PHI +22.7%

PHI +3.2%

SAS -3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	SAS	NBA	PHI	SAS	NBA
this game	16.2	14.5	15.7	87.4	83.7	100.5
season	16.2	15.9		96.7	100.1
opponent	15.8	15.8		92.7	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.6	16.5	15.0	18.1	16.2
SAS	13.8	16.2	13.2	15.3	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Coleman	64	64	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.35	10	-4	14	17.3	14.0	3.28	14.5	14.7	-0.26
Glenn Robinson	65	62	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.21	14	-8	22	16.4	15.9	0.50	15.1	13.3	1.83
Eric Snow	79	78	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.41	2	4	-2	16.3	15.7	0.59	14.2	16.2	-1.98
John Salmons	60	57	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.25	2	4	-2	15.7	17.2	-1.52	14.5	14.7	-0.20
Kenny Thomas	74	72	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.30	-1	7	-8	16.4	15.5	0.92	14.5	14.7	-0.21
Greg Buckner	70	67	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.02	5	1	4	16.6	15.3	1.31	14.6	14.3	0.29
Samuel Dalembert	27	26	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.08	1	5	-4	14.6	16.9	-2.25	14.2	14.7	-0.47
Kyle Korver	36	34	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	9	-12	14.9	17.1	-2.18	14.6	14.5	0.13

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Horry	30	31	0.19	-0.69	0.89	0.05	5	-11	16	15.0	14.3	0.69	15.0	16.8	-1.84
Jason Hart	18	18	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.05	7	-13	20	12.3	15.1	-2.73	13.3	16.9	-3.66
Ron Mercer	37	39	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.08	7	-13	20	14.9	14.3	0.65	15.2	17.0	-1.80
Manu Ginobili	14	15	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.00	1	-7	8	12.9	14.8	-1.98	17.1	16.1	0.98
Rasho Nesterovic	46	49	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.01	-9	3	-12	14.7	14.3	0.37	16.0	16.5	-0.42
Tim Duncan	78	80	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.43	-1	-5	4	13.8	18.4	-4.51	16.4	15.2	1.24
Malik Rose	30	30	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.26	-7	1	-8	15.6	14.0	1.53	17.3	15.7	1.59
Bruce Bowen	70	72	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.20	-11	5	-16	14.7	13.9	0.82	16.8	14.4	2.38
Hedo Turkoglu	63	64	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.37	-9	3	-12	14.5	14.7	-0.23	16.0	16.6	-0.60
Tony Parker	74	77	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.27	-13	7	-20	15.1	12.3	2.73	16.9	13.3	3.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.36,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.36,0.41,0.18,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 95, TOR 82	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.42,0.3,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.26,0.24,0.17,0.07,0.05,0,0,0	92.8%
ATL 85, IND 79	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.22,0.15,0.04,0.04,0.09,0	92.6%
BOS 89, POR 81	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.71,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.4,0.38,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.27,0.41,0.28,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.08,0	92.3%